Tipps FC Seoul Gwangju FC K League 1 02/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or FC Seoul wins the match

1. FC Seoul has a better home performance with a 20% win rate and an 80% draw rate compared to Gwangju FC’s 20% win rate and 20% draw rate in their away matches.
2. FC Seoul’s offensive and defensive potential at home is 36% and 43% respectively, while Gwangju FC’s away percentages are 36% and 64%. It appears that FC Seoul has a better defense at home.
3. In terms of probabilities, a draw or a win for FC Seoul is more likely based on the provided statistical data, with a calculated probability of 65.45%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics for FC Seoul at home and Gwangju FC away indicate a high number of goals scored and conceded. In the last 5 home matches for Seoul, a total of 15 goals have been scored (an average of 3 goals per match), and for Gwangju FC away, a total of 15 goals have also been scored (an average of 3 goals per match).

2. The average goals scored and conceded per match for FC Seoul at home and Gwangju FC away is over 2.5. FC Seoul has scored an average of 1 goal and conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Gwangju FC has scored an average of 1 goal and conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match away.

3. Betting statistics show a probability of 46.07% for over 2.5 goals in the match. This suggests that bettors largely expect a match with a number of goals exceeding 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Over their last 5 respective matches, FC Seoul and Gwangju FC have been scoring an average of one goal per match. This increases the probability of both teams scoring in their encounter.
2. At home, FC Seoul has scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches, while conceding 11 goals. On the road, Gwangju FC has scored 8 goals and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches. These statistics show that both teams have a strong offensive potential, while also having fairly porous defenses, which favors a score from both sides.
3. The success probability percentages indicate that both teams score with a probability of 55.5%. This probability is higher than the one indicated for both teams not scoring (44.5%), further strengthening the argument that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

FC Seoul 1-1 Gwangju FC

1. Recent match statistics from FC Seoul and Gwangju FC indicate that both teams have high probabilities of scoring, 36% and 36% respectively. They each average 1 goal per match, supporting the predicted score of 1-1.

2. For FC Seoul, playing at home, 80% of their recent matches ended in a draw, further strengthening the likelihood of a draw in the upcoming match.

3. From an overall statistics perspective, a draw has a success probability of 28.27%. Furthermore, when both teams score, the success probability is quite high at 55.5%. This favors a level score with both teams finding the back of the net.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

FC Seoul, at home, has one win and four draws in their last five matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 11.

Gwangju FC, away, has one win and one draw in their last five outings. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 10.

FC Seoul averages 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per home match. Their offensive and defensive potential are 36% and 43% respectively.

Gwangju FC, when playing away, scores 1 goal and concedes 1.8 goals on average per match. They have offensive and defensive potentials of 36% and 64% respectively.

The probability of FC Seoul winning is 37.17% (2.55). The chance of a draw is 28.27% (3.20). The likelihood of Gwangju FC winning the match is 34.55% (2.65).

The probabilities for a draw or a win for either FC Seoul or Gwangju FC are 65.45% and 62.83% respectively.

The odds for the match to have over 1.5 goals are 73.82% (1.33) and 46.07% (2.00) for over 2.5 goals. The probability of a match with less than 3.5 goals is 79.58% (1.25).

In 55.5% of cases, both teams score (1.78) and 44.5% do not score (1.95).

FC Seoul’s recent results at home are mixed with three defeats and only one win. On the other hand, Gwangju FC has lost their last four away matches.

These data therefore suggest an evenly matched game but with a higher probability of both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

At home, FC Seoul has shown a mixed performance with only one win in five matches (20%), while Gwangju FC hasn’t really shined away either with the same win rate. The stars seem to be aligned for a draw.

FC Seoul has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Gwangju FC has scored 8 away. On average, FC Seoul scores 1 goal per home match against 1.2 conceded, suggesting an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive one of 43%. On the other hand, Gwangju also scores 1 goal per match but concedes more: 1.8 per match, with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive one of 64%.

According to the probabilities, FC Seoul wins at 37.17% and Gwangju FC at 34.55%. Between these two options, the draw remains likely at 28.27%. However, the ‘draw or FC Seoul win’ choice presents an optimistic probability of 65.45%, higher than ‘draw or Gwangju FC win’ at 62.83%.

Regarding the number of goals, over 1.5 goals have a 73.82% probability of success, while under 3.5 goals rises to 79.58% chance of success.

Each team has over 50% chance of scoring: 55.5% for the ‘both teams to score’ option.

Based on these numbers, the forecast suggests a potentially close match with over 1.5 goals scored. The bet ‘draw or FC Seoul win’ could offer good value for money.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Overall, this match between FC Seoul and Gwangju FC is shaping up to be a tightly contested affair with plenty of offensive actions. The statistics suggest that FC Seoul is slightly favored, mainly due to their strong defensive performance at home compared to Gwangju FC’s offensive potential away from home. However, recent stats from both teams indicate that we could see a high-scoring game.

Based on our analysis, the most interesting bet for this match appears to be a draw or a win for FC Seoul, with a success probability of 65.45%. It is also likely that there will be over 2.5 goals in the match, given both FC Seoul and Gwangju FC’s tendency to score and concede goals. The both teams to score bet also looks promising with a probability of 55.5%.

In conclusion, while every football match comes with its uncertainties and surprises, this match between FC Seoul and Gwangju FC seems to offer several intriguing betting opportunities for savvy bettors. We always recommend betting responsibly and considering all available information before placing your wager.