Tipps FC Sion FC Winterthur Swiss Super League 10/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sion wins the match

1. Recent home performances from Sion are better than Winterthur’s away performances. Indeed, Sion has a 60% win rate and a 40% draw rate, while Winterthur only has one win in their last five away matches and no draws, indicating Sion’s clear superiority when playing at home.

2. The average goals scored by Sion at home are also higher than Winterthur’s away average, showing Sion’s better offensive efficiency. Additionally, Sion has a 79% offensive potential compared to Winterthur’s 64%, further strengthening their advantage in the match.

3. Based on the indicated probabilities, the likelihood of Sion winning or the match ending in a draw is 76.68%, which is significantly higher than the probability of Winterthur winning the match (23.32%). This trend is also supported by the corresponding odds, confirming this advantage for Sion.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Historical goal trends: Statistics show that Sion and Winterthur have a high goal rate. On average, Sion has scored 2.2 goals and conceded 1.2 goals per match at home, while Winterthur has scored 1.8 goals and conceded 0.8 goals away. These statistics suggest that there are good chances for the match to have more than 2.5 goals.

2. Teams’ home and away performances: In the last 5 matches, Sion at home has scored consistently and also conceded a decent number of goals. Similarly, Winterthur has shown a strong offensive performance away, scoring in almost every match, but has also conceded goals, which could lead to a high-scoring match.

3. Bookmakers’ projections: Betting odds suggest that there is approximately a 54.92% chance of the match having more than 2.5 goals, illustrating expectations of a high-scoring match based on past performances, team skills, and other factors.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their respective matches, Sion and FC Winterthur tend to score points at a steady pace. Sion has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match, while FC Winterthur has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match, indicating their strong offensive potential.

2. Despite Sion performing well in terms of defense with a defensive potential of 43%, statistics show that FC Winterthur has a lower defensive potential of 29%. This means Sion has a good chance of scoring against FC Winterthur.

3. Looking at the recent home clashes for Sion and away matches for FC Winterthur, both teams tend to have high-scoring games. Sion has scored in 4 out of their last 5 home matches, while FC Winterthur has managed to score in 4 out of their last 5 away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Sion 2-1 FC Winterthur

1. Sion’s home performance: in their last 5 home matches, Sion has won 3 games and lost 2, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per match. This is very close to our prediction of 2 goals for Sion.

2. FC Winterthur’s away performance: in their last 5 away matches, FC Winterthur has only won one game and lost 4, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match. This aligns with our forecast of just one goal for FC Winterthur.

3. Both teams to score probability: there is a 65.28% chance of both teams scoring. Considering both teams’ recent performances, a recent 2-1 scoreline seems to be the most plausible prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sion shows strength at home, with a 60% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored and conceded an equal number of goals, with 13 each. Winterthur struggles away from home, with only a 20% success rate and no draws, scoring 6 goals but conceding 8.

On average, Sion scores 2.2 goals and concedes 1.2 goals per home match, showing an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive record of 43%. Winterthur, when away, scores 1.8 goals but concedes fewer at 0.8 goals, with 64% offensive capability and 29% defensive.

The odds favor Sion: 44.56% chance of winning (odds of 1.95), compared to 23.32% for Winterthur (odds of 3.40). A draw also seems possible, with a 32.12% probability (odds of 3.75).

The bet “over 1.5 goals in the match” seems like the best option, with an 81.87% chance of success (odds of 1.20).

Given Sion’s recent home history of high-scoring games (4-0 against Lausanne, 1-3 against Villarreal, etc.) and Winterthur’s tendency to lose away (3-0 against Young Boys, 4-2 against Lugano, etc.), the option “both teams to score” appears interesting (65.28% probability, odds of 1.57).

In conclusion, a potentially offensive match with an advantage for Sion.

The potential number of goals

Sion is strong at home. They have won 60% of their last home matches, scoring no less than 13 goals. However, they have also conceded 13 goals, showing room for improvement in defense.

On the other hand, FC Winterthur’s away form is less impressive. They have only won 20% of their away matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 8.

Sion, at home, has an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 43%. They score an average of 2.2 goals per match and concede an average of 1.2 goals.

FC Winterthur, away, has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 29%. They score an average of 1.8 goals per match and concede 0.8 goals.

There is a 44.56% probability of Sion winning, and a 23.32% probability of FC Winterthur winning.

If draws are considered, the probability of Sion not losing is 76.68%. For FC Winterthur, this probability is 55.44%.

In terms of number of goals, there is a high probability (81.87%) of there being over 1.5 goals in the match. The percentage decreases to 54.92% for over 2.5 goals, and to 66.32% for under 3.5 goals.

Looking at both teams, the probability of each team scoring is 65.28%.

Based on these insights, a prediction could be to bet on Sion to win or draw, with a success probability of 76.68%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics suggest a clear advantage for Sion in this match against Winterthur, both in terms of home performances and offensive efficiency. It is also likely to see a total of over 2.5 goals in the match, given the current offensive performances of both teams and the average number of goals scored. The option for both teams to score also seems viable considering the offensive potential of both sides, although Winterthur’s defense could be a limiting factor. Betting on an exact score of 2-1 for Sion could be seen as an interesting value. Ultimately, all sports betting involves risks and it is up to each bettor to determine which risks they are willing to take based on their own assessments and risk appetite.