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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction FC St. Pauli VfL Osnabruck

    Tipps FC St. Pauli VfL Osnabruck 2. Bundesliga 12/05/2024

    Last update : 12/05/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    St. Pauli wins the match

    1. St. Pauli has an excellent home performance, with victories in 80% of its last 5 matches. With an average of 1.4 goals scored per home match, St. Pauli has shown a strong ability to navigate in its familiar environment.

    2. Osnabruck seems to struggle when playing away, only winning 40% of its last 5 matches and showing a weak defensive potential of 86%. They concede an average of 2.4 goals per away match, indicating difficulty in maintaining a solid defense away from home.

    3. The calculated probability for a St. Pauli win is 72.68%, significantly higher than that of a draw (17.01%) or an Osnabrück win (10.31%). This statistical data strongly supports the argument for a St. Pauli victory.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Over 2.5 goals in the match

    1. The average number of goals scored and conceded by St. Pauli at home and Osnabruck away in their last 5 matches corresponds to an average score of 2 goals per match for St. Pauli and 3 goals for Osnabruck, which exceeds the assumption of 2.5 goals per match.
    2. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 60.82%, which is a fairly strong probability to make this prediction.
    3. Looking at the latest matches of each team, St. Pauli had 3 out of 5 home matches with over 2.5 goals while Osnabruck had 3 out of 5 away matches with over 2.5 goals. This suggests a consistent trend towards high-scoring matches for these two teams.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: No

    1. Reduced offensive potential of Osnabruck away from home: With an average of only 0.6 goals per game in their last 5 away matches, Osnabruck has shown a lack of offensive power. This could struggle to break through St. Pauli’s defense.

    2. St. Pauli’s defensive performance at home: St. Pauli has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game at home in their last 5 matches, indicating a strong defensive performance that could prevent Osnabruck from scoring.

    3. Probability forecasts: The probability of both teams not scoring is 50.52%, slightly higher than the probability of both teams scoring (49.48%). This slight difference favors the prediction that both teams will not score.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Draw – odds: 6.25

    1. By analyzing recent performances, St. Pauli has a weaker defensive potential at home compared to Osnabruck away. They have conceded on average 1.6 goals against Osnabruck’s 2.4. St. Pauli’s defensive weakness could allow Osnabruck to score and lead to a draw.

    2. The odds of a draw have been evaluated at 17.01% by bookmakers. However, considering the recent performances of each team, it can be assumed that the actual probabilities of a draw are higher, making the odds of 6.25 for a draw underestimated. This is what we define as a ‘value bet’.

    3. From match statistics, Osnabruck has managed to secure a draw in 20% of their recent away games. Additionally, St. Pauli has also drawn in 20% of their recent home matches. There seems to be a significant possibility for a draw outcome in this match.

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    Bet on the exact result

    St. Pauli 2-1 Osnabruck.

    1. St. Pauli’s home performance: St. Pauli has a fairly strong home performance, winning 80% of their home matches. Furthermore, they have managed to score at least 1 goal in every home match, indicating a strong offensive potential.
    2. Osnabruck’s away performance: Osnabruck has weaker away performances, winning only 40% of their matches and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. This indicates that their defense is vulnerable and increases the likelihood of St. Pauli scoring at least 2 goals.
    3. Overall probability of St. Pauli winning: Taking into account the provided statistics, St. Pauli has a winning probability of 72.68%. This, combined with their home performances and Osnabruck’s away performances, lends weight to the probability of an exact score of 2-1 in favor of St. Pauli.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    St. Pauli, at home, shows a strong performance with an 80% win rate in the last 5 matches. Their attacking power averages 1.4 goals per match. However, their defense has conceded 9 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per match.

    On the other hand, Osnabruck, when playing away, has a lower efficiency, with only a 40% win rate. Their attack scores an average of 0.6 goals per match, while their defense has conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals per match.

    The highest probability for the upcoming match points to a St. Pauli victory at 72.68%. The draw or a St. Pauli win shows a convincing probability of 89.69%.

    There is also an expected outcome of over 1.5 goals in the match, according to 81.44% of the probabilities. Furthermore, the probability of under 4.5 goals in the match is fairly strong at 85.05%.

    In terms of scoring, the numbers are quite evenly split with a 49.48% probability for both teams to score and a 50.52% chance that it won’t happen.

    Analyzing past matches, it is observed that St. Pauli recently won a match 1-0 against Hansa Rostock, while Osnabrück had a 1-1 draw against FC Magdeburg.

    Overall, St. Pauli seems to be in a better position to win this match.

    The potential number of goals

    St. Pauli excels at home with an 80% win rate. They have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, showing a 50% attacking potential. However, they have also conceded 9 goals, indicating defensive vulnerability.

    Osnabruck has only won 40% of their away games, with a low 21% attacking potential but a solid 86% defense. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 12.

    The probability of St. Pauli winning is 72.68%. The chances of a draw are relatively low at 17.01%. Osnabruck’s victory is highly unlikely at 10.31%.

    In terms of goal expectations, over 1.5 goals have an 81.44% likelihood, suggesting an attacking game. Both teams have nearly equal chances of scoring, with a 49.48% probability.

    Considering the teams’ performances and probabilities, a bet on St. Pauli’s victory appears to be the safest option.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, this 2. Bundesliga match between St. Pauli and Osnabruck demonstrates a high likelihood of St. Pauli winning, supported by its exceptional home performances and Osnabruck’s weakness away from home. Betting on a total of over 2.5 goals also seems wise given the offensive potential of both teams. However, on the question of whether both teams will score a goal, the risk is more balanced, although there is a slight inclination towards a “No” outcome. Despite a low probability of a draw at 17.01%, the undervaluation of a possible draw outcome by bookmakers could offer an interesting value bet for bettors. It is important to exercise caution and not underestimate Osnabruck’s ability to surprise. The most likely exact score would be 2-1 in favor of St. Pauli. With the analysis of these different factors, bettors should be able to make an informed choice to make the most of this match.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction FC St. Pauli against VfL Osnabruck on 12/05/2024

    1. St. Pauli has an excellent home performance, with victories in 80% of its last 5 matches. With an average of 1.4 goals scored per home match, St. Pauli has shown a strong ability to navigate in its familiar environment.

    2. Osnabruck seems to struggle when playing away, only winning 40% of its last 5 matches and showing a weak defensive potential of 86%. They concede an average of 2.4 goals per away match, indicating difficulty in maintaining a solid defense away from home.

    3. The calculated probability for a St. Pauli win is 72.68%, significantly higher than that of a draw (17.01%) or an Osnabrück win (10.31%). This statistical data strongly supports the argument for a St. Pauli victory.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :FC St. Pauli to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
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    Bet option :VfL Osnabruck to win the game
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    Odd :
    Bet option :FC St. Pauli or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :VfL Osnabruck or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :FC St. Pauli or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :VfL Osnabruck or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :FC St. Pauli or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :VfL Osnabruck or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the FC St. Pauli vs VfL Osnabruck match!

    To not miss anything from the FC St. Pauli vs VfL Osnabruck match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 12/05/2024 in the 2. Bundesliga live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Osnabruck

    logo team a
    composition
    22Vasilj
    5Wahl
    8Smith
    3Mets
    24Metcalfe
    7Irvine
    10Hartel
    21Ritzka
    17Afolayan
    11Eggestein
    26Saad
    Lineups FC St. Pauli
    logo team a
    composition
    22Kühn
    5Ajdini
    25Wiemann
    33Beermann
    3Kleinhansl
    26Gnaase
    8Tesche
    17Joe
    11Makridis
    7Niemann
    10Okyere
    Lineups VfL Osnabruck

    Match Highlights FC St. Pauli vs VfL Osnabruck on 12/05/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the FC St. Pauli vs VfL Osnabruck match on 12/05/2024 at Millerntor-Stadion stadium.

    7'Oladapo Afolayan
    picto
    15'Eric Smith
    picto
    57'Lars RitzkaAdam Dźwigała
    picto
    58'Oladapo Afolayan
    picto
    66'Christian Joe ContehThomas Goiginger
    picto
    67'Noel NiemannJannes Wulff
    picto
    68'Marcel Hartel
    picto
    72'Eric SmithDavid Nemeth
    picto
    80'Charalambos MakridisLars Kehl
    picto
    80'Kwasi Okyere WriedtLex-Tyger Lobinger
    picto
    85'Oladapo AfolayanCarlo Boukhalfa
    picto
    85'Marcel HartelAljoscha Kemlein
    picto
    85'Johannes EggesteinAndreas Albers
    picto
    87'Dave GnaaseMaximilian Thalhammer
    picto
    90'Lars Kehl
    picto
    90'Adam Dźwigała
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between FC St. Pauli and VfL Osnabruck

    All statistics for the match between FC St. Pauli and VfL Osnabruck will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    FC St. Pauli
    VfL Osnabruck
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    64%
    36%
    Total Shots
    19
    3
    Shots on Goal
    7
    1
    Shots off Goal
    8
    1
    Corner Kicks
    4
    3
    Passing Accuracy
    90%
    80%
    Total Passes
    577
    332
    Successful Passes
    522
    264
    Fouls Committed
    11
    2
    Yellow Cards
    2
    0
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison FC St. Pauli against VfL Osnabruck!

    logo team

    Form state of FC St. Pauli in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team FC St. Pauli has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team FC St. Pauli has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of VfL Osnabruck in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, VfL Osnabruck has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that VfL Osnabruck has a form rating of %.

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    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match FC St. Pauli against VfL Osnabruck!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by FC St. Pauli in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by FC St. Pauli in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by FC St. Pauli
    FC St. Pauli has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by FC St. Pauli in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by FC St. Pauli
    FC St. Pauli has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by VfL Osnabruck in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by VfL Osnabruck in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by VfL Osnabruck
    VfL Osnabruck has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by VfL Osnabruck in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by VfL Osnabruck
    VfL Osnabruck has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of FC St. Pauli and VfL Osnabruck, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions FC St. Pauli vs VfL Osnabruck: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. The average number of goals scored and conceded by St. Pauli at home and Osnabruck away in their last 5 matches corresponds to an average score of 2 goals per match for St. Pauli and 3 goals for Osnabruck, which exceeds the assumption of 2.5 goals per match.
    2. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 60.82%, which is a fairly strong probability to make this prediction.
    3. Looking at the latest matches of each team, St. Pauli had 3 out of 5 home matches with over 2.5 goals while Osnabruck had 3 out of 5 away matches with over 2.5 goals. This suggests a consistent trend towards high-scoring matches for these two teams.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for FC St. Pauli and VfL Osnabruck!

    The last 5 winning predictions für FC St. Pauli

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für VfL Osnabruck

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for FC St. Pauli VfL Osnabruck?

    Finding a forecast for the FC St. Pauli VfL Osnabruck match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of FC St. Pauli VfL Osnabruck on 12/05/2024 in Millerntor-Stadion are the team's past performance in the 2. Bundesliga, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by FC St. Pauli at home and VfL Osnabruck away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 12/05/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of FC St. Pauli and VfL Osnabruck on 12/05/2024, you should examine their recent results in the 2. Bundesliga, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Millerntor-Stadion, FC St. Pauli could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of FC St. Pauli and VfL Osnabruck, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of FC St. Pauli and the away win rate of VfL Osnabruck, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 12/05/2024!

    The individual performances of players from FC St. Pauli and VfL Osnabruck can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 12/05/2024 at Millerntor-Stadion.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of FC St. Pauli and VfL Osnabruck, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by FC St. Pauli or VfL Osnabruck on 12/05/2024.

    author
    Author
    Alex - Winflix

    "Ca arrive..."

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