Tipps Feirense União de Leiria Segunda Liga 04/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Feirense wins the match.

1. Feirense has a very high draw rate performance when playing at home, as shown by the 60% draw results in its last 5 matches.
2. União de Leiria has a rather poor performance in away games, with only 20% wins and 40% draw results in its last 5 matches.
3. Probability statistics give a significant advantage to the “Draw or Feirense wins the match” prediction with a success probability of 69.59%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics for both teams show a low offensive productivity. Feirense has scored an average of 1 goal per home match while União de Leiria has scored an average of 1.4 goals per away match, indicating a weak offensive potential for both teams.
2. Feirense’s defensive statistics at home indicate that they concede an average of 2 goals per match, while União de Leiria concedes an average of 0.8 goals away. The chances of conceding goals are relatively low for Leiria, suggesting a total number of goals under 2.5.
3. Looking at the five recent home matches of Feirense and the five recent away matches of União de Leiria, it is clear that the matches have rarely exceeded a total of 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Translation: “1. Goals scored and conceded statistics: In their last 5 matches, Feirense has scored 4 goals and conceded 7, while União de Leiria has scored 5 goals and conceded 7. This shows that both teams have the ability to score, but also a defensive weakness leading to conceding goals.”

2. Translation: “2. Average goals per match: The statistics also show that Feirense averages 1 goal per match at home while União de Leiria averages 1.4 goals away. It is therefore likely that each team will score at least once in this match.”

3. Translation: “3. Past performances of both teams: The recent match results indicate that Feirense has struggled to win at home, but has managed to score in most of their matches. Similarly, União de Leiria, despite mixed performances away, has scored in several of their recent matches. These trends suggest that each team has a reasonable probability of scoring in the upcoming match.”

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Feirense 1-1 União de Leiria

1. At home, Feirense tends to draw in 60% of cases with an average of one goal per match. They concede an average of two goals per match, thus avoiding defeat.

2. União de Leiria away from home, draws in 40% of cases with an average of 1.4 goals per match, but only concedes an average of 0.8 goals, which strengthens the possibility of a draw with goals from both sides.

3. Statistics show a higher probability (74.23%) of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, but at the same time a strong probability (78.35%) of there being fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. This combination of probabilities supports the prediction of an exact score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Feirense struggles to win at home with no victories in their last 5 matches. The team scores very few goals (4) but concedes a lot (7 goals). However, they managed to secure a draw in 60% of the cases, which is not negligible.

União de Leiria also doesn’t shine away from home with half of their matches ending in draws (40%) and only one victory (20%). The team has scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals, an average record.

Feirense has a struggling defense with a potential of 71%. Their attack is even more in difficulty with a potential of 36%. União de Leiria scores a bit more and their defense is more solid with respective potentials of 50% and 29%.

In terms of predictions, the most likely outcome is a draw or a Feirense victory (69.59% chance). One can also bet on a match with less than 1.5 goals or less than 3.5 goals (78.35% chance).

Analyzing the recent matches doesn’t provide more insights except to note that Feirense often struggles against tough opponents. União de Leiria shows more consistency by avoiding defeat.

However, it’s important to remember that football is unpredictable and these statistics should be viewed as a trend, not a certainty.

The potential number of goals

Feirense has not won any of their last 5 home matches, with 4 goals scored and 7 goals conceded. The offensive potential is at 36% and the defense at 71%. On the other hand, União de Leiria has one win away, with 5 goals scored and 7 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is 50% and defense is at 29%.

Feirense has a 38.66% chance of winning, União de Leiria 30.41%, while a draw is at 30.93%. Betting on a draw or a Feirense win has a probability of 69.59%, while betting on a draw or a União de Leiria win has a probability of 61.34%.

When it comes to goals, it’s more likely (74.23%) that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match. On the other hand, less than 3.5 goals has a probability of 78.35%.

Both teams have a 56.19% probability of scoring. Take these statistics into account to make an informed bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, according to the analysis based on recent performances and statistical probabilities, the forecast favors a draw or a Feirense victory, with a success probability of 69.59%. The data also suggests a low score, with less than 2.5 goals in the match, and a reasonable probability that both teams will score.

The bet offering an interesting “value bet,” considering the potential reward compared to the probability of success, is the draw. Furthermore, the forecast for the exact score would lean towards a 1-1 draw.

It is important to note that these predictions, based on past statistics and current performances, should be used as a guide and not as certainty. To remain aware of the risks in sports betting, it is important to gamble responsibly. Ultimately, football, like all sports, can be unpredictable and full of surprises. Thus, every bet comes with its share of risks.