Tipps FK Jablonec Karviná Czech Liga 04/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the provided data, it seems challenging to predict a clear winner due to FK Jablonec’s low offensive potential at home and Karviná’s relatively low away win percentage. However, with FK Jablonec recently drawing in 60% of their home matches and Karviná having a history of draws on the road, it is plausible to anticipate a draw for this match. Therefore, my prediction would be “Draw.”

1. The low offensive potential of FK Jablonec at home: with only 4 goals scored in its last 5 home matches, the team does not seem capable of dominating offensively, thus reducing the likelihood of a win.

2. Karviná’s low away win percentage: The team has only won 40% of its last 5 away matches, which does not indicate a clear trend towards victory.

3. The recent history of draws for both teams: FK Jablonec has drawn in 60% of its recent home matches, while Karviná also has a recent history of draws away. This makes predicting another draw plausible.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The average goals per match for FK Jablonec at home and Karviná away does not exceed 2.5 goals: FK Jablonec has an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded, while Karviná has an average of 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded.

2. The previous performances of FK Jablonec at home and Karviná away show a tendency towards low-scoring matches. The last 5 home matches of FK Jablonec had less than 2.5 goals in 80% of the matches, and the last 5 away matches of Karviná had less than 2.5 goals in 60% of the matches.

3. Analyzing the offensive and defensive performances of both teams reveals a trend towards low-scoring matches: FK Jablonec has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 57%, while Karviná has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 36%. These numbers indicate that the chances of scoring are low for both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. FK Jablonec has only a 21% offensive potential in its last 5 home matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored per game, indicating a lack of scoring ability in this match.

2. Karviná has a strong defensive potential away from home, with a 36% rate in its last 5 matches, conceding on average only one goal per game. This limits FK Jablonec’s goal-scoring potential.

3. Recent results for both teams suggest low scoring, with fewer than 2.5 goals in most recent matches for each team, indicating a strong potential for both teams not to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

FK Jablonec 1-1 Karviná.

1. The past statistics show that FK Jablonec has a tendency to draw when playing at home, with 60% of their last 5 matches ending in a draw.
2. Karviná, when playing away, scores an average of one goal per match and also concedes an average of one goal per match, indicating that they are likely to score and therefore share points with FK Jablonec.
3. Both teams concede more goals on average than they score in their respective last 5 matches. This, combined with their higher defensive potential percentages than offensive potential, suggests that it is likely that each team will concede at least one goal, hence the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

FK Jablonec struggles at home. No victories in their last 5 matches with a 60% draw rate. They scored only 4 goals while conceding 6.

Karviná shows better performance away from home with a 40% win rate and 20% draws in the last 5 games. The goal balance is even with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Offensively, FK Jablonec is weak with only 0.6 goals per match. They concede on average 1.6 times per game.

On the other hand, Karviná averages 1 goal both scored and conceded when playing away.

In terms of betting, the forecast is uncertain with 0% probability for many bets, especially on either team to win.

However, two trends stand out: the match is predicted to have less than 3.5 and 4.5 goals (100% probability), and it is unlikely that both teams will score during the match (0% probability).

Looking at the recent head-to-head matchups: FK Jablonec suffered defeats against Plzen twice, while Karviná managed to win away against Zlin and Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

A tight match is expected, with a tendency towards lower scores.

The potential number of goals

In their last five home matches, FK Jablonec has not won any victories. They have drawn in 60% of the cases, indicating an average performance on their home turf. Their offensive capability is not at its best with only four goals scored.

As for Karviná, in their last five away matches, they have won 40% of the time and also scored more goals than FK Jablonec, with a total of 5 goals.

In terms of defense, both teams have conceded 6 goals each. This translates to an average of 1.2 goals per match for FK Jablonec and 1 goal per match for Karviná.

FK Jablonec’s offensive potential is limited to 21% compared to Karviná’s 36%. Based on these statistics, Karviná appears to be more aggressive and could make a difference in this match.

Regarding probabilities, there is no concrete value that makes the decision easier. However, an important piece of information is that the probability of both teams not scoring is 100%. This could suggest a low-scoring match.

In conclusion, Karviná’s strong defense and higher offensive potential could give them an advantage in this match. Additionally, it is highly likely to see fewer than 4.5 goals in this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between FK Jablonec and Karviná looks set to be tightly contested. Given the recent statistics of both teams, it seems reasonable to predict a draw, considering FK Jablonec’s low offensive potential at home and Karviná’s relatively low away win percentage. As for the total number of goals, the tendency for low-scoring matches from both teams suggests we could see less than 2.5 goals in this encounter. Furthermore, it seems unlikely that both teams will score based on their recent offensive performances. An interesting prediction could be a 1-1 draw. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed, and each bettor should consider their own risk factors and decide accordingly.