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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Flamengo Bolívar
Tipps Flamengo Bolívar Copa Libertadores 16/08/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Flamengo wins the match
1. Team Performance Comparison: Flamengo has a 60% home win rate in their last 5 matches, compared to only 20% for Bolívar in their last 5 away matches. This indicates a high probability of victory for Flamengo.
2. Offensive and Defensive Efficiency: Flamengo averages 1 goal scored at home and concedes 0.6 goals per match, while Bolívar averages 2.4 goals scored away but also concedes more goals (1.4 goals per match). This means Flamengo has a better defense, which could be decisive in winning the match.
3. Probability of Success: Based on the data, Flamengo has a 90.38% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Bolívar’s chances or even a draw. Additionally, the odds in the market are also favorable for Flamengo.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Over 2.5”
1. Flamengo has a strong tendency to score at home with an average of at least 1 goal per match in their last 5 games, and Bolívar has an average of 2.4 goals scored away. This could mean a total of over 2.5 goals for this match.
2. Over the last 5 matches, Flamengo and Bolívar have shown a capacity to concede goals, with an average of 0.6 goals conceded at home for Flamengo and 1.4 goals conceded away for Bolívar. It is therefore highly likely that both teams could concede over 2.5 goals in this match.
3. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 67.31%, which is higher than the probability of under 2.5 goals. This suggests that the game will be offensive and marked by goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams score: No
1. Flamengo has a strong defense at home, conceding only an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 home matches. They have also managed to keep two clean sheets in these matches, making it less likely for Bolívar to score.
2. Bolívar struggles to score away from home, with an average of just 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 away matches. They have failed to score in two of these matches, further supporting the argument that they may find it difficult to score against Flamengo.
3. The prediction suggests a 61.54% probability of both teams not scoring in the match. This high probability, combined with the recent stats of both teams, indicates a strong chance that both teams will not score during the match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw.
1. The draw percentage for Flamengo at home is 20%, while for Bolívar away it is 40%. This indicates a high likelihood of a draw.
2. The goal difference for goals scored and goals conceded by Flamengo at home and Bolívar away is low, 2 and -1 respectively. This suggests a potentially close match with fewer goals and, therefore, a greater likelihood of a draw.
3. The odds for a draw are 9, which is significantly higher than those for either team to win. This means the bookmaker considers the most probable outcome to be a draw. By betting on the draw, you are wagering on a less likely outcome, exposing yourself to less risk if you win, hence the term ‘value bet’.
Bet on the exact result
Flamengo 2-1 Bolívar
1. Flamengo has a strong probability of winning with an average of 60% home win rate in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, with a success probability of 90.38% for a Flamengo victory, the statistics clearly favor this team.
2. Despite a weaker offensive potential, Flamengo has managed to score at least one goal in every home match in their last 5 encounters. In comparison, Bolívar has an average of 2.4 goals per away match but also a higher average of goals conceded per match, at 1.4.
3. Market probabilities suggest there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 67.31%. Given the offensive capabilities of each team, a 2-1 scoreline for Flamengo seems plausible. Additionally, both teams have scored in their recent encounters, further supporting this prediction.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Flamengo is dominant at home, winning 60% of matches and drawing 20% of the time. They have scored 8 goals recently but have conceded more with 10 goals against.
On the other hand, Bolívar struggles more away from home, winning only 20% and drawing 40% of the time. Their attack is weaker with only 3 goals scored, but they have a better defense, conceding only 4 goals.
On average, Flamengo scores 1 goal per match at home and concedes 0.6. Bolívar has a higher offensive average at 2.4 goals per away match and concedes 1.4.
The probability of Flamengo winning is 90.38%, a very favorable statistic. A draw and a Bolívar win are much less likely, at 5.77% and 3.85% respectively.
The safest bet seems to be “Draw or Flamengo win” with a success probability of 96.15%.
In terms of goals, “Over 1.5 goals” with an 88.46% probability seems to be an attractive opportunity.
However, previous match histories show some uncertainty. Bolívar recently suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat against Flamengo, but also managed to draw 1-1 against Aurora and win 1-0 against Independiente Petrolero.
For Flamengo, they have had consistent performances with three 2-0 wins, a 1-1 draw against Palmeiras SP, and a 2-1 defeat against Fortaleza EC.
In conclusion, Flamengo seems to be in a strong position for the match, but there is uncertainty about the number of goals to expect. The safest choice, based on this data, would be “Draw or Flamengo win”.
The potential number of goals
Flamengo has a solid home performance, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They have an average offense, scoring 1 goal per match on average, but a strong defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match. However, they have also conceded more goals (10) than they have scored (8).
Bolívar, on the other hand, are less successful away from home, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches. They have scored fewer goals than Flamengo (3) but have also conceded fewer goals (4).
In terms of potential, Bolívar has a high offense at 86%, but their defense is lacking at 50%.
The probability of Flamengo winning the match is 90.38%. However, there is a 5.77% chance of a draw and a small 3.85% chance of Bolívar winning.
There is a 88.46% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match and a 67.31% probability of there being more than 2.5 goals.
Taking these statistics into account, Flamengo appears to be the favorite to win this match, likely with more than 1.5 goals scored in the match.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, it seems that Flamengo is clearly favored to win this CONMEBOL Libertadores match against Bolívar on their home turf, with a win probability of 90.38%. However, sports betting remains subject to the inherent uncertainty of any sporting competition, and as demonstrated by the statistics, a surprise, such as a draw or even a Bolívar victory, while less likely, is still possible. The odds also favor Flamengo, but offer an attractive payout in the event of a draw, which is a recurring outcome for these two teams. Furthermore, recent trends suggest that we may see over 2.5 total goals in this match, even though both teams may not appear to be capable of scoring. In summary, based on these predictions, “draw or Flamengo wins” with “over 2.5 goals” could be the most prudent bet to consider, however, all bets come with risks and the final decision always lies with the bettor.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Flamengo against Bolívar on 16/08/2024
1. Team Performance Comparison: Flamengo has a 60% home win rate in their last 5 matches, compared to only 20% for Bolívar in their last 5 away matches. This indicates a high probability of victory for Flamengo.
2. Offensive and Defensive Efficiency: Flamengo averages 1 goal scored at home and concedes 0.6 goals per match, while Bolívar averages 2.4 goals scored away but also concedes more goals (1.4 goals per match). This means Flamengo has a better defense, which could be decisive in winning the match.
3. Probability of Success: Based on the data, Flamengo has a 90.38% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Bolívar’s chances or even a draw. Additionally, the odds in the market are also favorable for Flamengo.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Flamengo vs Bolívar match!
To not miss anything from the Flamengo vs Bolívar match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 16/08/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Flamengo vs Bolívar
Lineups Flamengo
Lineups Bolívar
Match Highlights Flamengo vs Bolívar on 16/08/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Flamengo vs Bolívar match on 16/08/2024 at Estádio do Maracanã stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Flamengo and Bolívar
All statistics for the match between Flamengo and Bolívar will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Flamengo against Bolívar!
Form state of Flamengo in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Flamengo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Flamengo has a form rating of %.
Form state of Bolívar in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Bolívar has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Bolívar has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Flamengo against Bolívar!
Average goals scored by Flamengo in the current season.
Goals scored by Flamengo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Flamengo
Flamengo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Flamengo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Flamengo
Flamengo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Bolívar in the current season
Goals scored by Bolívar in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Bolívar
Bolívar has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Bolívar in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Bolívar
Bolívar has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Flamengo and Bolívar, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Flamengo vs Bolívar: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Flamengo has a strong tendency to score at home with an average of at least 1 goal per match in their last 5 games, and Bolívar has an average of 2.4 goals scored away. This could mean a total of over 2.5 goals for this match.
2. Over the last 5 matches, Flamengo and Bolívar have shown a capacity to concede goals, with an average of 0.6 goals conceded at home for Flamengo and 1.4 goals conceded away for Bolívar. It is therefore highly likely that both teams could concede over 2.5 goals in this match.
3. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 67.31%, which is higher than the probability of under 2.5 goals. This suggests that the game will be offensive and marked by goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Flamengo and Bolívar!
The last 5 winning predictions für Flamengo
The last 5 winning predictions für Bolívar
How do I find the best forecast for Flamengo Bolívar?
Finding a forecast for the Flamengo Bolívar match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Flamengo Bolívar on 16/08/2024 in Estádio do Maracanã are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Flamengo at home and Bolívar away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 16/08/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Flamengo and Bolívar on 16/08/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio do Maracanã, Flamengo could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Flamengo and Bolívar, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Flamengo and the away win rate of Bolívar, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 16/08/2024!
The individual performances of players from Flamengo and Bolívar can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 16/08/2024 at Estádio do Maracanã.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Flamengo and Bolívar, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Flamengo or Bolívar on 16/08/2024.
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