Tipps Flamengo Fortaleza EC Serie A 12/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Flamengo wins the match.”

1. Victories History: Flamengo has an impressive performance at home with a win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Fortaleza EC has a poor performance away from home with a 0% win rate in their last 5 matches.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Flamengo has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 43%, which is higher than that of Fortaleza EC with only 50% in offense and 29% in defense. This shows that Flamengo is more likely to score and less likely to concede goals.

3. Probability of Success: The forecast indicates that Flamengo has a success probability of 60.43% to win the match, which is much higher than Fortaleza EC’s success probability (14.44%) and the draw (25.13%). This suggests that Flamengo has a significant advantage.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The lack of offensive performance from Fortaleza EC: Considering the last 5 away matches, Fortaleza EC has scored only 1 goal, indicating a weakness in the attacking front.

2. The defensive solidity of Flamengo: Flamengo shows convincing defensive strength in home matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match.

3. The recent history of low-scoring matches: If we look at the scores of previous matches of these two teams, most have had less than 2.5 goals, suggesting a potential continuation of this trend.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Flamengo has a high probability of winning the match, with a probability of 60.43%, which means a higher potential to score goals than Fortaleza EC who, on the other hand, has a relatively low victory probability of 14.44%.

2. Fortaleza EC’s statistics for the last five away games show that they have a low offensive potential. They have only scored one goal in five matches and lost in 80% of the cases, suggesting they may not score in the upcoming match.

3. Flamengo, in their recent home games, has also displayed a good defensive performance by conceding on average only 1.2 goals per match. This, combined with Fortaleza EC’s low offensive potential, reinforces the assumption that one of the two teams, likely Fortaleza, will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Fewer than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Flamengo 2-0 Fortaleza EC

1. Home performances of Flamengo: Flamengo has had very good performances at home, with a win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, they have an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, which strengthens the idea that they could score 2 goals in the match against Fortaleza EC.

2. Away performances of Fortaleza EC: Fortaleza EC has shown poor performances in their away matches, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They also have a low average of 1.4 goals scored per match and have conceded 3 goals, highlighting their weaknesses in both attack and defense in away matches.

3. Statistical probability: The statistics also favor the exact score of 2-0 to Flamengo. There is a higher probability (74.33%) for the match to end with more than 1.5 goals and a relatively high probability (85.03%) for less than 3.5 goals. The combination of these probabilities suggests that the exact score of 2-0 for Flamengo is plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Flamengo, at home, wins 80% of their matches. In 5 matches, they scored 10 goals and conceded the same number.

Fortaleza EC, when playing away, has not won any of their last 5 matches. They scored 1 goal and conceded 3.

Flamengo has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 43%. Fortaleza EC has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 29%.

The probabilities lean in favor of Flamengo – 60.43%. A draw is likely at 25.13% and a Fortaleza EC victory at 14.44%.

There is a possibility of over 1.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 74.33%. Under 3.5 goals also have a chance at 85.03%.

There is a 45.45% chance that both teams will score.

Recall of Flamengo’s recent home matches, last victory was 3-0 against Millonarios Bogota.

For Fortaleza EC away, the record is less impressive, including a heavy 5-0 defeat against Cuiaba.

Make an informed choice, Flamengo seems to be the favorite.

The potential number of goals

Flamengo, at home, has a strong tendency to win with a 80% success rate. However, they have also conceded as many goals as they have scored, 10 in total. Fortaleza EC, on the other hand, struggles to win away from home, with no victories in their last 5 matches. They have only scored one goal and conceded 3, which is quite low.

Flamengo has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 43% at home. With an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, the game could see several goals. On the contrary, Fortaleza EC only has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 29% away from home. Their average of 1.4 goals scored per match is fairly average.

The probabilities favor Flamengo with a 60.43% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw is 25.13%. It seems less probable for Fortaleza EC to win, with only a 14.44% chance. A safe bet would be a draw or a Flamengo victory.

In terms of goals, the game seems to hover around 2-3 goals, given the probabilities. The highest probability (97.33%) is for less than 4.5 goals in the match. The probability of both teams scoring is 45.45%, so both teams could find the back of the net.

In summary, Flamengo appears to be the favorite but the match could be close with a higher probability for less than 4.5 goals in the match. Both teams could score, but Flamengo seems likely to secure the victory.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, Flamengo is clearly the favorite for this Serie A match against Fortaleza EC, due to its impressive home performances and Fortaleza’s history of weak away performances. With Flamengo having a success probability of 60.43% and Fortaleza only 14.44%, the wise choice for the 1X2 bet would be to bet on Flamengo’s victory.

Regarding the number of goals scored during the match, the safe bet would be under 2.5 goals, given Fortaleza’s weak offensive performance and Flamengo’s solid defense. This suggests a low-scoring match where both teams may not score. An interesting bet to consider would be under 3.5 goals, which seems plausible as statistics show a trend towards low scores for these two teams.

For the exact score, the prediction suggests a 2-0 win for Flamengo. This prediction is supported by the teams’ past performances and statistical probabilities.

In short, everything points to a victory for Flamengo against Fortaleza EC. However, in sports betting, luck plays an important role and there can always be surprises, so it is important to bet responsibly.