Tipps Flamengo Gremio Serie A 14/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Flamengo wins the match

1. Flamengo’s home performance: Flamengo has won 80% of their last 5 home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per match, demonstrating a strong offensive capability when playing at home.

2. Gremio RS’s away performance: Gremio RS only wins 40% of their away matches and has scored only 3 goals in total in their last 5 matches away from home. This shows a weak offensive capability when they are away.

3. Betting odds: The probability of Flamengo winning this match is 65.56%, much higher than Gremio RS’s 12.22%. The betting odds also support this prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Flamengo has a very high offensive potential at 71%. Based on its performances at home in the last 5 matches, the team has scored 10 goals, averaging 2 goals per match. This demonstrates its ability to score goals.
2. Gremio RS, although less performing, has still managed to score during its away games. Indeed, in its last 5 matches away from home, Gremio RS has scored 3 goals, averaging 0.6 goals per match.
3. The history of the encounters suggests a high-scoring match. Indeed, Flamengo’s recent home matches have often ended with more than 2.5 goals. This is also the case for some of Gremio RS’s away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Considering Flamengo’s recent home performances, they have a strong defensive record, conceding an average of 0.2 goals per match. This means they have a strong ability to prevent their opponents from scoring.

2. On the other hand, Gremio RS’s offensive record away from home is weak, averaging 1.2 goals per match. This suggests they may struggle to score against a team with a solid defense like Flamengo.

3. Probability statistics show a higher probability (57.78%) of both teams not scoring. Furthermore, analysis of the scores from Flamengo’s recent home matches and Gremio RS’s away matches indicates a limited number of games where both teams have scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Gremio RS wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Flamengo 2-1 Gremio RS

1. Flamengo’s offensive and defensive potential at home is respectively 71% and 7%. This means they have a strong ability to score goals and a low tendency to concede to their opponents.
2. Gremio RS has a slightly weaker defensive record away from home, with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match, hence the probability of scoring at least one goal. However, their offensive performances are not very high, with an average of 1.2 goals per match.
3. By analyzing the probabilities of all possible scenarios, Flamengo has a high probability of winning the match (65.56%). Furthermore, the probability of scoring more than 1.5 goals during the match is 70%.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Flamengo shows strong home performances with an 80% win rate. Gremio RS, on the other hand, only has a 40% win rate away. Flamengo has an offensive potential of 71% and defensive of 7%, while Gremio RS has 43% and 21% respectively.

Flamengo has scored 10 goals at home, whereas Gremio RS has scored 3 on the road. In terms of goals conceded, Flamengo is a bit more vulnerable with 12 goals against compared to 5 for Gremio RS.

Probabilities suggest a Flamengo win with a 65.56% chance. A draw is less likely at 22.22%, while the probability of a surprise win for Gremio RS stands at 12.22%.

Considering the number of goals, the trend is towards a match with over 1.5 goals (70%) but less than 3.5 goals (85.56%). The probability of both teams scoring is only 42.22%.

Recent match analysis confirms Flamengo’s strong form at home with clear wins against Millonarios Bogota, Bolívar, Corinthians SP, and Amazonas. Gremio RS, on the other hand, has shown more variability away with two wins and two losses.

In conclusion, Flamengo appears to be the favorite based on these data, but a surprise win by Gremio RS cannot be ruled out.

The potential number of goals

Flamengo shows an impressive strength at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. With 10 goals scored against 12 conceded, their offensive potential is 71% while their defensive potential is 7%.

Gremio RS, playing away, has won 40% of their last 5 matches, drawn in 20% of cases, scored 3 goals and conceded 5. Their offensive potential is 43%, and their defensive potential is 21%.

There is a 65.56% chance of Flamengo winning the match with odds of 1.45. A victory for Gremio RS is less likely with a probability of 12.22% and odds of 7.00.

The match will likely have less than 4.5 goals with a probability of 96.67% and odds of 1.12.

According to these statistics, the most likely scenario is Flamengo winning with less than 4.5 total goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all the statistics and analysis presented, it seems that Flamengo has the advantage in this home match against Gremio RS. Their home performances have been solid, as well as their offensive capability. However, Flamengo’s defense has shown some signs of vulnerability, which could provide opportunities for Gremio RS to exploit and potentially surprise.

In terms of betting, a Flamengo victory appears to be the safest bet, while bets on a total of over 2.5 goals in the match could also be wise given the offensive potential of both teams. The assumption that both teams will not score also seems to be supported by the statistics. Finally, for those looking for higher-risk, higher-reward bets, there may be a ‘value bet’ in a wager on a surprise victory for Gremio RS.

Nevertheless, anything is possible in the world of football, and it is always recommended to bet with caution and responsibility. Good luck to all those betting on this match!