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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Fluminense Atletico-MG
Tipps Fluminense Atletico-MG Copa Libertadores 19/09/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Fluminense wins the match
1. Home performance of Fluminense: Fluminense has a good record playing at home in their last 5 matches with a win rate of 60%. This indicates that Fluminense is comfortable on their own turf and could take advantage of this to avoid losing this match.
2. Defensive results of Atletico MG: Away from home, Atletico MG has conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 matches (8 goals conceded against 6 scored). This weak defensive record away from home gives Fluminense an advantage to win or at least secure a draw.
3. Probability of success: For the prediction “draw or Fluminense wins the match”, the success probability is 69.23%, which is favorable compared to other possible outcomes.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. The statistics show a trend towards a low number of goals in matches involving Fluminense and Atletico MG. Fluminense scores and concedes an average of 1.4 and 0.6 goals per match, while Atletico MG scores and concedes an average of 1 and 0.8 goals per match. This results in a combined average of 2.4 goals per match, which is below 2.5.
2. The recent matches of these two teams also support this trend. In none of Fluminense’s last 5 home matches and only in one of Atletico MG’s last five away matches, have there been more than 2.5 goals.
3. Market probabilities indicate that the most likely scenario is for under 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.52, compared to a probability of 35.71% for over 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Both at home and away, Fluminense and Atletico MG have relatively low goal averages, with 1.4 and 1 goal per match respectively. This indicates that both teams may struggle to score in this match.
2. The defensive statistics of Fluminense at home and Atletico MG away are also quite strong, conceding only 0.6 and 0.8 goals per match on average respectively. This suggests that both teams have a strong defensive ability that can prevent the other team from scoring.
3. The betting probabilities also support this prediction. The odds indicate a 52.75% chance of both teams not scoring. Additionally, the bet for under 2.5 goals in the match has odds of 1.52, strongly suggesting a low quantity of goals scored in the match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.52
1. Match history: The last 5 home matches of Fluminense and the last 5 away matches of Atletico MG have shown an average of goals scored and conceded per match that is less than 2.5.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Statistics for Fluminense and Atletico MG indicate that they have relatively low offensive potential (50% for Fluminense and 36% for Atletico MG) and solid defense (21% and 29% respectively), suggesting that there is a high likelihood of less than 2.5 goals scored in the match.
3. Probability of different outcomes: The “Under 2.5 goals in the match” option has a higher success rate than the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” (35.71%), indicating that it is more likely to have less than 2.5 goals in the match.
Bet on the exact result
Fluminense 1-1 Atletico MG.
1. Statistically, Atletico MG has a high draw percentage when playing away (40%) and has a stronger defensive capability than Fluminense with 29% against 21%. This suggests a tight score and the possibility of a draw.
2. Taking into account the average number of goals scored and conceded per match for both teams, they have scored less than two goals on average per match, which predicts a low-scoring game.
3. The highest probability rate given among the three possible outcomes of the match (win for either team or draw) is a Fluminense victory (36.26%), but closely followed by a draw (32.97%). This indicates a rather balanced match and with Atletico MG’s defensive potential, a 1-1 draw seems appropriate.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Fluminense has a strong performance at home with 60% wins in the last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals during these matches. Their offensive potential is estimated at 50%, while their defensive potential is evaluated at 21%.
On the other hand, Atletico MG has won 40% of away matches and drawn in 40% of cases. They have scored 6 goals and also conceded 8 goals. Their offensive potential is slightly lower than Fluminense’s, at 36%, and their defensive potential is at 29%.
The probabilities of Fluminense winning are 36.26% with odds of 2.45, while Atletico MG has a 30.77% chance of winning with odds of 3.10. The option of a draw or Fluminense win seems most likely, with odds of 1.36 and a 69.23% probability.
Regarding the number of goals, the probability of more than 1.5 goals is 70.88% and less than 2.5 goals is 35.71%.
For both teams, scoring is not a certainty. There is only a 47.25% chance of that happening, despite odds of 2.04.
In conclusion, given these statistics and probabilities, the match is likely to be balanced. Betting on “Draw or Fluminense wins the match” seems the safest option. Betting on “more than 1.5 goals in the match” could also be considered.
The potential number of goals
Fluminense is quite strong at home, with a recent 60% win rate. Their game is balanced, scoring and conceding 7 goals. Atletico MG struggles away, with just a 40% win rate. They have scored less (6 goals) but also conceded more (8 goals).
Fluminense, with 1.4 goals per home game, shows an offensive potential of 50%. Their defense is solid, conceding only 0.6 goals per game. Atletico MG scores less, 1 goal per game, and concedes more, 0.8 goals per game. Their offensive potential is 36% and defensive is 29%.
Considering the probabilities, the match could end in favor of Fluminense (36.26%) or in a draw (32.97%). By betting on a draw or Fluminense win, the probability is 69.23%.
More than 1.5 goals scored in the match seems likely (70.88%), while more than 2.5 goals is less certain (35.71%). Both teams might not score (52.75%).
Based on recent matches, Fluminense appears strong at home with several victories. Atletico MG has had mixed results away. For a prediction, betting on a Fluminense win or a draw, with a total of over 1.5 goals, seems reasonable.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the match between Fluminense and Atletico MG is shaping up to be tight and balanced, with a slight advantage in favor of Fluminense considering their recent home performances and the defenses of both teams. The most likely prediction is a win for Fluminense or a draw, with less than 2.5 goals scored during the match. Furthermore, it seems unlikely that both teams will score in this match, given their low average goals scored per match. Overall, for bettors, the safest bet would be “Fluminense to win or draw”, with a possibility of achieving an “under” of 2.5 goals in the match.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Fluminense against Atletico-MG on 19/09/2024
1. Home performance of Fluminense: Fluminense has a good record playing at home in their last 5 matches with a win rate of 60%. This indicates that Fluminense is comfortable on their own turf and could take advantage of this to avoid losing this match.
2. Defensive results of Atletico MG: Away from home, Atletico MG has conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 matches (8 goals conceded against 6 scored). This weak defensive record away from home gives Fluminense an advantage to win or at least secure a draw.
3. Probability of success: For the prediction “draw or Fluminense wins the match”, the success probability is 69.23%, which is favorable compared to other possible outcomes.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Fluminense vs Atletico-MG match!
To not miss anything from the Fluminense vs Atletico-MG match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 19/09/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Fluminense vs Atletico-MG
Lineups Fluminense
Lineups Atletico-MG
Match Highlights Fluminense vs Atletico-MG on 19/09/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Fluminense vs Atletico-MG match on 19/09/2024 at Estádio do Maracanã stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Fluminense and Atletico-MG
All statistics for the match between Fluminense and Atletico-MG will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Fluminense against Atletico-MG!
Form state of Fluminense in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Fluminense has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Fluminense has a form rating of %.
Form state of Atletico-MG in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Fluminense against Atletico-MG!
Average goals scored by Fluminense in the current season.
Goals scored by Fluminense in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Fluminense
Fluminense has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Fluminense in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fluminense
Fluminense has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Atletico-MG in the current season
Goals scored by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Fluminense and Atletico-MG, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Fluminense vs Atletico-MG: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The statistics show a trend towards a low number of goals in matches involving Fluminense and Atletico MG. Fluminense scores and concedes an average of 1.4 and 0.6 goals per match, while Atletico MG scores and concedes an average of 1 and 0.8 goals per match. This results in a combined average of 2.4 goals per match, which is below 2.5.
2. The recent matches of these two teams also support this trend. In none of Fluminense’s last 5 home matches and only in one of Atletico MG’s last five away matches, have there been more than 2.5 goals.
3. Market probabilities indicate that the most likely scenario is for under 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.52, compared to a probability of 35.71% for over 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Fluminense and Atletico-MG!
The last 5 winning predictions für Fluminense
The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico-MG
How do I find the best forecast for Fluminense Atletico-MG?
Finding a forecast for the Fluminense Atletico-MG match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Fluminense Atletico-MG on 19/09/2024 in Estádio do Maracanã are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Fluminense at home and Atletico-MG away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 19/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Fluminense and Atletico-MG on 19/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio do Maracanã, Fluminense could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Fluminense and Atletico-MG, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Fluminense and the away win rate of Atletico-MG, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 19/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Fluminense and Atletico-MG can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 19/09/2024 at Estádio do Maracanã.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Fluminense and Atletico-MG, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Fluminense or Atletico-MG on 19/09/2024.
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