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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Fluminense Cerro Porteno

    Tipps Fluminense Cerro Porteno Copa Libertadores 17/05/2024

    Last update : 17/05/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Fluminense wins the match.

    1. Fluminense has a 75% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than the probability of Cerro Porteno winning or even a draw.
    2. Fluminense’s home performances have shown that they have the ability to score goals, with an average of one goal per match, while also having a good defense comparable to Cerro Porteno’s.
    3. Despite Cerro Porteno winning the majority of their away matches, 60% to be exact, they have also conceded many goals, 10 in total, compared to Fluminense’s 8 at home. This suggests that Fluminense may have more opportunities to score against them.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Under 2.5 goals in the match

    1. Fluminense’s home record shows that they score and concede an average of 1 goal per match, which suggests a low-scoring game.
    2. Cerro Porteno also has a modest offensive and defensive record away from home, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match.
    3. Betting statistics show a higher probability of success (89.53%) for a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, with odds of 1.25, further supporting the assumption of a low-scoring game.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: No

    1. Defensive performances: In their last 5 matches, Fluminense has conceded an average of one goal per game while Cerro Porteno has only conceded 0.6 goals per match. This could indicate a strong defensive performance from both teams which could limit the chances of both teams scoring.

    2. Fluminense’s offensive potential: Fluminense has an offensive potential of 36%. This means the chances of scoring a goal are relatively low, further suggesting that both teams may not score in the match.

    3. Recent history: Looking at the recent matches of each team, we can see several games where both teams did not score. For Fluminense, this happened in one out of five matches, while for Cerro Porteno, it occurred in two out of five matches. This indicates that it is not uncommon for both teams not to score in their matches.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Cerro Porteno wins the match

    1. Cerro Porteno’s Away Performance: In their last 5 away matches, Cerro Porteno has won 60% of the games and scored an average of 1.8 goals per match, while the home team Fluminense has struggled with only a 40% win rate in these conditions.

    2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Cerro Porteno shows more convincing offensive and defensive statistics compared to Fluminense, with an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 21% against Fluminense’s 36% offensive and defensive efficiency.

    3. Odds Value: The odds for a Cerro Porteno victory are 9.00, while their success probability is only 5.81%. This indicates a “value bet” where the bookmaker’s odds are higher than the actual probability of the event. There is an opportunity to potentially make a higher profit on this bet.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Fluminense 1-1 Cerro Porteno

    1. The statistics from previous matches show that Fluminense has a 40% home win rate and a 20% draw rate at home, while Cerro Porteno has a 60% away win rate and a 20% draw rate. These figures demonstrate competitive balance between these two teams, favoring a potential 1-1 draw.

    2. The offensive and defensive performance of both teams is similar. On one hand, Fluminense averages scoring one goal per home match while also conceding a goal, and on the other hand, Cerro Porteno averages scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 0.6 goals away. From these statistics, we can deduce that both teams have the ability to score at least one goal each.

    3. Goal betting indicates a 66.86% likelihood of there being over 1.5 goals in the match and an 89.53% likelihood of there being under 3.5 goals in the match. These probabilities support the prediction of a 1-1 draw, as such a result falls within these goal ranges.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Fluminense, at home, wins 40% of the time. This is less than Cerro Porteno, who wins 60% of the time away. Cerro Porteno scores more, with 1.8 goals per match compared to 1 for Fluminense. Defensively, Fluminense concedes more goals than Cerro Porteno (1 against 0.6).

    In the last 5 home matches, Fluminense has scored 8 goals but conceded 10. Cerro Porteno has been more efficient away, scoring 9 goals and conceding the same as Fluminense.

    Probabilities suggest Fluminense winning at 75% with odds of 1.42. A draw is unlikely at 19.19% with odds of 4.00. Cerro Porteno’s victory is unlikely at 5.81% with odds of 9.00.

    The probabilities support a match with over 1.5 goals, at 66.86%. Less than 4.5 goals also have a high probability at 105.23%. Both teams to score offers a 40.7% chance with odds of 2.39, while a 59.3% chance for it not to happen with odds of 1.52.

    Looking at recent matches, Fluminense has experienced close games, with many draws or narrow wins. Cerro Porteno, on the other hand, has secured more decisive victories away.

    In conclusion, although Fluminense appears to be the favorite, Cerro Porteno’s recent away performances should not be overlooked. A bet on a match with over 1.5 goals could be a safe option.

    The potential number of goals

    Fluminense has been struggling at home recently with only 40% of wins and an average of one goal per match. The defense is concerning with 10 goals conceded in 5 games. On the other hand, Cerro Porteno performs well on the road and wins 60% of their away matches. Offensively, they are strong with an average of 1.8 goals per match, and their defense is solid conceding only 0.6 goals per match.

    Based on the data, Fluminense has a 75% chance of winning this match, with odds of 1.42. It’s a safe choice. However, it’s worth noting that a draw is also a possibility at 19.19% with attractive odds of 4.00.

    The numbers suggest that it will be difficult to see more than 2.5 goals in the match, with only a 43.6% chance of it happening. Both teams have shown a tendency towards low-scoring games recently.

    In conclusion, a Fluminense victory is likely, but a low-scoring match is also conceivable.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, statistics and analysis reveal several trends for this match between Fluminense and Cerro Porteno. Firstly, although Fluminense is the favorite, Cerro Porteno’s offensive and defensive potential away from home cannot be ignored. The match appears more likely to be low-scoring, as suggested by the Over/Under bet of under 2.5 goals. Additionally, it would seem preferable to bet on both teams not scoring.

    A safe bet would be to wager on a Fluminense victory, but a 1-1 draw could also be good value based on the recent performances and statistics of both teams. Furthermore, for bettors looking for higher potential gains, the bet offering an interesting value bet would be a Cerro Porteno win, even though it is riskier. Lastly, the recent performances of Fluminense at home and Cerro Porteno away suggest that over 1.5 goals could be scored.

    In summary, bettors should consider all this information to make an informed bet. It will also be essential to monitor playing conditions, last-minute news, and any potential changes in the teams to enhance the chances of success in their bets.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Fluminense against Cerro Porteno on 17/05/2024

    1. Fluminense has a 75% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than the probability of Cerro Porteno winning or even a draw.
    2. Fluminense’s home performances have shown that they have the ability to score goals, with an average of one goal per match, while also having a good defense comparable to Cerro Porteno’s.
    3. Despite Cerro Porteno winning the majority of their away matches, 60% to be exact, they have also conceded many goals, 10 in total, compared to Fluminense’s 8 at home. This suggests that Fluminense may have more opportunities to score against them.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Fluminense to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Cerro Porteno to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fluminense or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Cerro Porteno or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Fluminense or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Cerro Porteno or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fluminense or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Cerro Porteno or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno match!

    To not miss anything from the Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 17/05/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno

    logo team a
    composition
    1Fábio
    23Guga
    25Carlos
    8Martinelli
    12Marcelo
    5Alexsander
    45Lima
    21Arias
    10Ganso
    11Keno
    14Cano
    Lineups Fluminense
    logo team a
    composition
    13Jean
    2Benítez
    24Báez
    4Brock
    21Arzamendia
    11Iturbe
    6Carrascal
    26Piris
    10Domínguez
    19Churín
    20Viera
    Lineups Cerro Porteno

    Match Highlights Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno on 17/05/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno match on 17/05/2024 at Estádio do Maracanã stadium.

    14'Marcelo
    picto
    19'W. Viera
    picto
    34'Christian Javier Báez
    picto
    65'R. CarrascalJ. Morel
    picto
    65'D. ChurínT. Portillo
    picto
    70'Christian Javier Báez
    picto
    70'Christian Javier Báez
    picto
    74'Ganso
    picto
    75'Matheus Martinelli
    picto
    75'C. DomínguezR. De Jesús
    picto
    75'J. IturbeF. Carrizo
    picto
    79'G. CanoJohn Kennedy
    picto
    81'GugaRenato Augusto
    picto
    81'GansoFelipe Andrade
    picto
    84'W. VieraG. Aguayo
    picto
    90'KenoIsaac
    picto
    90'Ronaldo de Jesus Lopez
    picto
    90'Piris da Motta
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Fluminense and Cerro Porteno

    All statistics for the match between Fluminense and Cerro Porteno will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Fluminense
    Cerro Porteno
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    74%
    26%
    Total Shots
    17
    5
    Shots on Goal
    6
    2
    Shots off Goal
    6
    3
    Corner Kicks
    7
    0
    Passing Accuracy
    92%
    69%
    Total Passes
    613
    219
    Successful Passes
    564
    151
    Fouls Committed
    9
    15
    Yellow Cards
    1
    4
    Red Cards
    0
    1
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Fluminense against Cerro Porteno!

    logo team

    Form state of Fluminense in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Fluminense has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Fluminense has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Cerro Porteno in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Cerro Porteno has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Cerro Porteno has a form rating of %.

    buts
    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Fluminense against Cerro Porteno!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Fluminense in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Fluminense in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Fluminense
    Fluminense has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Fluminense in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fluminense
    Fluminense has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Cerro Porteno in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Cerro Porteno in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Cerro Porteno in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Fluminense and Cerro Porteno, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Fluminense’s home record shows that they score and concede an average of 1 goal per match, which suggests a low-scoring game.
    2. Cerro Porteno also has a modest offensive and defensive record away from home, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match.
    3. Betting statistics show a higher probability of success (89.53%) for a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, with odds of 1.25, further supporting the assumption of a low-scoring game.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Fluminense and Cerro Porteno!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Fluminense

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Cerro Porteno

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Fluminense Cerro Porteno?

    Finding a forecast for the Fluminense Cerro Porteno match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Fluminense Cerro Porteno on 17/05/2024 in Estádio do Maracanã are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Fluminense at home and Cerro Porteno away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 17/05/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Fluminense and Cerro Porteno on 17/05/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio do Maracanã, Fluminense could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Fluminense and Cerro Porteno, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Fluminense and the away win rate of Cerro Porteno, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 17/05/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Fluminense and Cerro Porteno can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 17/05/2024 at Estádio do Maracanã.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Fluminense and Cerro Porteno, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Fluminense or Cerro Porteno on 17/05/2024.

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    Author
    Alex - Winflix

    "Ca arrive..."

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