Tipps Fluminense Flamengo Serie A 23/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Flamengo wins the match.

1. Flamengo’s away statistics are more impressive than Fluminense’s home statistics. Flamengo has a 40% win rate while Fluminense has a 60% win rate. However, Flamengo also has a high draw percentage, indicating they rarely lose.
2. Flamengo has a higher offensive potential with an average of 2.6 goals scored per away match, compared to 1.4 for Fluminense at home. Additionally, Flamengo has a lower percentage of goals conceded, indicating a stronger defense.
3. Finally, the probability of Flamengo winning the match is 54.97%, which is significantly higher than Fluminense’s win probability of 18.85%. This indicates that Flamengo is favored in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have a strong offensive performance in their last 5 matches, with Fluminense averaging 1.4 goals per match and Flamengo 2.6 goals per match. This indicates a high likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in this match.
2. The record of the last 5 matches shows that both teams also tend to concede goals. Combining the goals scored and conceded by both teams in their last 5 matches results in an average of 3.8 goals per match.
3. Analyzing Fluminense’s recent home matches and Flamengo’s away matches, a high number of goals are also noticeable. For instance, Flamengo scored 6 goals in their match against Vasco Da Gama RJ, which is well above the 2.5 goal mark.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The history of Fluminense’s home matches and Flamengo’s away matches shows that both teams have a strong tendency to score goals. In all their recent matches, both at home for Fluminense and away for Flamengo, one or the other of the clubs has always scored.

2. Both teams have shown a strong offensive capacity in their recent matches. Fluminense averages 1.4 goals per home match and Flamengo 2.6 goals per away match. This high average suggests that it is likely that each team will succeed in scoring during the match.

3. The probability percentage of both teams scoring in this match is 46.07%, which, although slightly less likely than the opposite option (53.93%), still remains a significant chance, especially considering the recent performances and offensive efficiency of both teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Fluminense 1-2 Flamengo

1. Flamengo has a strong offensive potential away from home, with an average of 2.6 goals per match in their last 5 away games, giving them an advantage to score more goals compared to Fluminense, who has an average of 1.4 goals at home.

2. Flamengo has shown a better defensive performance, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 away games, while Fluminense has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match at home. This indicates that Flamengo is less likely to concede goals.

3. The betting odds demonstrate a significant advantage for Flamengo, with a win probability of 54.97% compared to 18.85% for Fluminense. This aligns with the recent performances and average goals scored and conceded by both teams to support a 1-2 scoreline in favor of Flamengo.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fluminense has had mixed results at home, with a 60% win rate and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. Their home attack averages 1.4 goals, but their defense concedes more, with 1.2 goals on average.

Flamengo, on the other hand, has a similar pattern away from home with a 40% win rate and draws. Their attack is more potent, scoring an average of 2.6 goals. Their defense is also stronger, conceding only 0.6 goals.

These statistics give Flamengo the edge, with a 54.97% chance of winning. However, Fluminense should not be discounted, with a 18.85% probability of winning.

In terms of goals, the most likely bet is over 1.5 goals, with odds of 1.36 and a 71.2% chance of success.

Recent matches show a trend towards high-scoring games. Flamengo has been dominant with impressive wins on the road.

Therefore, it is possible to see Flamengo come out on top in a match where over 1.5 goals are scored.

The potential number of goals

Fluminense has had an average performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. However, they have conceded more goals (10) than they have scored (9). Against Flamengo, their defense will need to be impeccable.

On the other hand, Flamengo has shown decent form away, with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have displayed a strong offensive capability with 9 goals scored, despite conceding 10. Their clash with Fluminense could be tight.

In terms of averages, Fluminense scores 1.4 goals at home, while Flamengo scores 2.6 away. Their offensive potential favors Flamengo (93% vs 50%). Defensively, Flamengo also dominates with 21% compared to Fluminense’s 43%.

The odds suggest that Flamengo is more likely to win the match (54.97% / odds of 1.72). However, the match could be close, with a 26.18% chance of a draw.

In terms of goals, the odds indicate a low-scoring match, with probabilities showing more than 1.5 goals (71.2% / odds of 1.36) and less than 3.5 goals (83.77% / odds of 1.25).

Both teams scoring is also a possibility, with a 46.07% success probability. However, the odds slightly favor only one team scoring (53.93% / odds of 1.80).

Analyzing the teams’ recent matches reveals that Flamengo tends to score a lot away, while Fluminense has an average defense at home. Exciting battles in Fluminense’s defensive zone can be expected.

My prediction for this match is a low-scoring game, with Flamengo likely to win and a good chance that both teams will not score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, considering the recent statistics, team form, probabilities, and offensive and defensive potential, it appears that Flamengo has a slight edge in this match against Fluminense. The highest probability of winning is attributed to Flamengo, reinforced by a better average of goals scored away. However, Fluminense also has good chances of scoring against Flamengo.

Regarding the number of goals, the probabilities and offensive performances of these teams suggest a high potential for more than 2.5 goals in this match. This total number of goals seems to be the most interesting value bet option.

In terms of BTTS (Both Teams To Score), although there is a slight inclination towards only one team scoring, the past performances and offensive capabilities of both teams still support the possibility of both teams scoring in this match.

Ultimately, based on the offensive and defensive performances of Flamengo and Fluminense, the most probable exact score seems to be a 1-2 in favor of Flamengo.

However, while statistics and probabilities provide important indications, it is important to remember that football remains an unpredictable sport and anything can happen during a match. While bettors can use this information to inform their bets, they should also exercise caution and bet responsibly.