Tipps Fluminense Gremio Serie A 02/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Fluminense wins the match.

1. Fluminense has a very good home record, winning in 80% of cases in their last 5 matches. They have also scored a total of 5 goals, averaging 1 goal per match, indicating a strong and efficient team on their own turf.

2. On the other hand, Gremio RS seems to struggle away from home, winning only 20% of their last 5 away matches. They have also conceded as many goals as they have scored (4 goals), reinforcing the idea that they may find it difficult to win against a strong home team like Fluminense.

3. In terms of the calculated probabilities, Fluminense has a higher probability of winning the match (42.78%) compared to Gremio RS (22.99%). This statistic gives an advantage to Fluminense in this particular match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive statistics of both teams are quite low with an average of less than 2 goals per match for Fluminense and Gremio RS, indicating a low probability of reaching over 2.5 goals in this match.
2. Fluminense’s defensive statistics are impressive, conceding only 0.6 goals per match at home in their last 5 matches. They have also managed to keep three clean sheets in their last five home matches. On the other hand, Gremio RS have conceded at least 1 goal in their last five away matches, so a low score is likely.
3. The odds for “under 2.5 goals in the match” are quite high at 1.62, suggesting that bookmakers also believe there is a low probability of having over 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The analysis of statistics shows that both teams have the ability to score goals in their respective matches. Fluminense has scored 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Gremio RS has scored 4 in their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is also worth considering. Fluminense has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 21% when playing at home, whereas Gremio RS has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 36% when playing away. These statistics suggest that both teams have the ability to score goals in the match.

3. Recent matches show that Gremio RS has been able to score goals in their away games, as seen in their matches against Atletico MG and RB Bragantino. Similarly, Fluminense has been able to find the back of the net in their home matches, as shown in their matches against Atletico PR and Cruzeiro MG.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Gremio RS wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Fluminense 1-1 Gremio RS

1. Fluminense’s home match statistics show a strong tendency towards low scores, with Fluminense averaging one goal scored per match and only conceding an average of 0.6 goals. This suggests a high likelihood of a low-scoring game from their end.

2. Gremio RS’s away results demonstrate a propensity for draws, with 40% of their last 5 matches ending in a draw. Furthermore, they tend to score and concede a similar number of goals (averaging 1.4 scored and 1 conceded), suggesting an ability to balance the match.

3. The indicated probabilities forecast a match with a lower number of goals. The probability of there being less than 3.5 goals in the match is 77.54%, indicating a low-scoring game. This trend is reinforced by the probability of both teams scoring being 50.27%, just above average.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fluminense has a strong home performance, with 80% of victories in their latest matches and an average of 1 goal scored per match. However, their defense has conceded a total of 5 goals.

On the other hand, Gremio RS is weaker away from home, only winning 20% of their latest matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match but also conceding 4 goals.

The odds suggest that Fluminense has a 42.78% probability of winning, but a draw should be considered as well, with a 34.22% probability.

It’s worth noting that betting on a total of under 4.5 goals in the match has an impressive success probability of 93.58%.

Recent match results indicate a trend of low scores for both teams.

Exercise caution with the “both teams to score” bet, as it’s nearly a 50/50 chance either way.

In conclusion, the match is likely to be close, with a slight advantage for Fluminense at home and a high chance of having less than 4.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Fluminense has been showing a strong performance at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. Despite a balanced record of 5 goals scored and conceded, they exhibit an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 21%. On the other hand, Gremio RS struggles away, with only a 20% win rate and a score of 4 goals scored and conceded. They have a higher offensive potential at 50% but also a more vulnerable defense at 36%.

The probabilities highlight Fluminense’s dominant profile with a 42.78% chance of winning, and a 77.01% chance for a draw or a Fluminense win. However, the match might not be high-scoring, with under 1.5 goals in the match priced at 2.85, while over 1.5 goals is at 67.38%.

As for both teams to score, the probabilities are nearly equal at 50.27% and 49.73%. The recent matches show a trend for Fluminense to win by a narrow margin, while the results for Gremio RS are more varied.

Based on these numbers, a prediction could lean towards a close match with a low number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the upcoming match between Fluminense and Gremio RS could very likely lean in favor of Fluminense. By maintaining a strong performance at home, Fluminense’s win rate and low average goals conceded make them the favorites in this match. However, despite their struggles away from home, Gremio RS has also shown their ability to resist adverse situations, thus offering the possibility of a draw or even a surprise win.

The number of goals in this match is expected to be relatively low, as both teams have strong defensive statistics and generally low goal-scoring performances. The bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is therefore favored.

Regarding the exact score, a 1-1 draw could be a good estimation, given the balanced offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams. Finally, the bet offering an interesting value bet according to this article is the one on ‘draw or Gremio RS wins the match’, with an advantageous odds of 1.80. It is important to remember, however, that sports betting is subject to many uncertainties and must be done responsibly.