Tipps Fluminense Gremio Copa Libertadores 21/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Fluminense wins the match.

1. Fluminense has shown notable performances at home, winning 40% of its last 5 matches with an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 64%. This trend enhances the probability of a win or a draw.

2. Gremio RS has an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 29% in its away matches. Although it has satisfactory performances, these statistics are lower than those of Fluminense, tilting the balance in favor of Fluminense.

3. Considering the success probabilities for each possible outcome of the match, a draw or a Fluminense win has a success probability of 79.68%, which is significantly higher than any other outcome. This high percentage is a strong indicator of this prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent match statistics indicate a trend towards low-scoring games for both teams. In Fluminense’s last 5 home matches, 3 games had less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, for Gremio RS, in their last 5 away matches, 4 games had less than 2.5 goals.

2. The average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their recent matches is low. Fluminense has an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and Gremio RS has 1.4 goals scored per match, giving a total average of 2.6 goals per match, close to the 2.5 goal mark.

3. Analysis of the offensive and defensive potential for each team shows that they have relatively similar but poor attacking performances (43% for Fluminense and 50% for Gremio RS) and strong defensive records (64% for Fluminense and 29% for Gremio RS). This combination may indicate that a low number of goals will be scored in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Performance of both teams: The statistics from the last matches show that Fluminense and Gremio RS have a goal-scoring capability. For Fluminense, in their last 5 home matches, they scored in 80% of the cases. For Gremio RS, in their last 5 away matches, they also scored in 80% of the cases.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: The offensive potential of Fluminense at home is 43%, while that of Gremio RS away is 50%. Furthermore, the defensive potential of Fluminense at home is 64% and Gremio RS away is 29%. These figures indicate that both teams have significant chances of scoring and conceding goals.

3. Probability of success: The statistics show a probability of 50.27% that both teams will score. These numerical data reinforce the prediction that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Gremio RS wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Fluminense 1-1 Gremio RS

1. Past Statistics: Past match statistics show that Fluminense tends to have close scores at home, with their last match being a draw and their wins coming by a narrow margin. On the other hand, Gremio RS has also had two recent draws in their away matches, indicating their ability to resist on the road.

2. Overall Performances: Both teams have a high percentage of draws, with 20% for Fluminense and 40% for Gremio RS. Additionally, they both have similar win rates at 40%. The probability percentage of a draw is also quite high at 35.83%.

3. Goals Scored and Conceded: On average, Fluminense scores 1.2 goals per match at home and concedes 1.8 goals, while Gremio RS scores 1.4 goals away and concedes 0.8 goals on average. Their offensive and defensive potential is quite similar, which could lead to an even score. Furthermore, the probability of less than 3.5 goals being scored during the match is 86.63%, supporting the prediction of a low-scoring game.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fluminense has a rather fluctuating performance at home, with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. With 5 goals scored and 6 conceded, their offensive game shows weaknesses.

On the other hand, Gremio RS is more stable away from home, winning and drawing in 40% of cases. With 7 goals scored and 8 conceded, their offensive efficiency is slightly more significant.

In terms of numbers, Fluminense averages 1.2 goals per game but concedes 1.8 goals, putting their offensive potential at 43% and defensive at 64%. In contrast, Gremio RS scores 1.4 goals and concedes only 0.8, giving them an offensive potential of 50% and defensive of 29%.

The probabilities favor Fluminense with a 43.85% chance of winning against 20.32% for Gremio RS. Furthermore, the chances of a draw or Fluminense’s victory are at 79.68%.

Regarding the number of goals, the match is likely to have less than 3.5 goals (86.63% probability).

As for the recent matches, Fluminense has had two wins, two draws, and one loss at home. On the other hand, Gremio has won twice, drawn twice, and lost once away.

In conclusion, Fluminense has a slight advantage, with a strategic end-of-match probability of less than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Fluminense, at home, has shown limited offensive ability, with only 5 goals in 5 matches. Its defense, with 6 goals conceded, has shown vulnerabilities.
Gremio RS has scored 7 goals in 5 away matches, demonstrating slightly superior offensive efficiency compared to Fluminense. Its defense, with 8 goals conceded, has been more vulnerable.
Fluminense has a 43.85% probability of winning and Gremio RS only 20.32%. A draw is also a possibility, with a probability of 35.83%.
It is likely (67.91%) that the match will have over 1.5 goals but less than 3.5 goals (86.63%). A scenario with over 4.5 goals is very unlikely (98.93% chance of under 4.5 goals).
Each team has about a fifty-fifty chance of scoring.
In conclusion, a Fluminense win, or a match with 1.5 to 3.5 goals, seems like a good bet. However, the match could end goalless on both sides.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, taking into account the statistics and previous performances of both teams, Fluminense seems to have the advantage for this CONMEBOL Libertadores match against Gremio RS. Despite limited offensive potential, Fluminense’s strong defensive performance at home could weigh heavily in the balance. However, it is important to note that Gremio RS has shown some solidity away from home, which suggests a fairly evenly matched encounter.

In terms of betting, a wager on a draw or a Fluminense win seems to be a good option, given the strategic probability of 79.68%. Also, considering the low-scoring trends of both teams, a bet on a total of under 2.5 goals in the match could be interesting. Furthermore, despite indications to the contrary, betting on a Gremio RS victory could represent good value given the current odds.

Nevertheless, despite the statistics and analyses, it is important to remember that football match results are unpredictable and can be influenced by many unforeseen factors. It is therefore recommended to bet with moderation and responsibility.