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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Fortaleza EC Atletico-MG

    Tipps Fortaleza EC Atletico-MG Serie A 17/10/2024

    Last update : 17/10/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Fortaleza EC wins the match.

    1. Fortaleza EC has an impressive home performance with a 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have also scored 9 goals in 5 matches, demonstrating their offensive capability when playing at home.

    2. Atletico MG has a low away win rate of 40%, with only 5 goals scored in their last 5 away matches. This indicates a lower offensive performance compared to Fortaleza EC in the latter’s home matches.

    3. According to probability statistics, Fortaleza EC has a 51.33% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Atletico MG’s win probability (20%). This indicates that, based on predictions, Fortaleza EC is more likely to come out on top.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Over 2.5 goals in the match

    1. Offensive and defensive potential of the teams: Based on previous match statistics, Fortaleza EC scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Atletico MG scores an average of 1.8 goals per away match. Their defensive trends also show that they concede an average of 1.8 and 1.2 goals per match respectively, indicating a high-scoring game.

    2. Head-to-head history: Recent matches at home for Fortaleza EC and away matches for Atletico MG have mostly seen over 2.5 goals being scored. Examples include Fortaleza EC 4 – 1 Bahia BA, Bahia BA 3 – 0 Atletico MG, Gremio RS 2 – 3 Atletico MG.

    3. Overall statistics: The calculated probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 44.67%, which is significantly higher compared to other scenarios (such as under 1.5 goals in the match), suggesting that the match is likely to see three goals or more.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    1. Both teams have shown good offensive form in their last five matches: Fortaleza EC has scored 9 goals at home and Atletico MG has scored 5 goals away, demonstrating their consistent attacking performances.

    2. Both teams have also proven to not be solid at the back, conceding 10 goals (Fortaleza EC) and 5 goals (Atletico MG) respectively in their last five matches. This hypothetically makes it likely that each team will concede at least one goal.

    3. Based on the data provided, both teams also have a relatively high probability of scoring. The average goals scored per match for Fortaleza EC at home is 1.2 and for Atletico MG away is 1.8, both above the 1 goal per match threshold, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Draw or Atletico MG wins the match: 2.00

    1. Even though Fortaleza EC has a strong home performance, winning 80% of their last 5 matches and drawing in 20% of the cases, they have conceded more goals (10) than they have scored (9).

    2. Atletico MG, although they have not managed to achieve a draw in their last 5 away matches, have a higher average of goals scored (1.8) than conceded (1.2). This indicates that they have the potential to score, despite their poor away performance.

    3. The forecast ‘Draw or Atletico MG wins the match’ has a success probability of 48.67%. Although this is below 50%, the odds of 2.00 offer potential value for such a result considering the analysis of the offensive and defensive potential of both teams.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Fortaleza EC 2-1 Atletico MG

    1. Recent Performances: Fortaleza EC has had better performances in their recent home matches, with an 80% win rate, compared to Atletico MG who has only won 40% of their away matches.

    2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Fortaleza EC has shown a 43% offensive potential and a 64% defensive potential at home compared to Atletico MG who has a 64% offensive potential and a 43% defensive potential away. This indicates a slight defensive advantage for Fortaleza.

    3. Probabilities: The probability of Fortaleza EC winning is 51.33% with odds of 1.80. This means there is a higher chance of Fortaleza EC winning the match. Furthermore, both teams scoring has a probability of 45.33%, which is quite high, supporting the prediction of a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Fortaleza EC.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Fortaleza EC has shown a strong performance at home, with 80% of victories in their last 5 matches. They scored 9 goals but conceded 10. Atletico MG struggles away, with only 40% of victories, and the same number of goals scored and conceded: 5.

    At home, Fortaleza EC can expect to score an average of 1.2 goals per match, but concedes 1.8. Their offensive and defensive potential stands at 43% and 64% respectively. Away, Atletico MG scores an average of 1.8 goals but concedes 1.2, with offensive and defensive potentials of 64% and 43% respectively.

    The probability of Fortaleza EC winning the match is 51.33%, while there is a 20% chance of Atletico MG winning. There is also a 28.67% chance of a draw.

    As for goals, the probability of more than 1.5 goals scored is 70%. However, if both teams score, this probability drops to 45.33%.

    Referring to recent matches, Fortaleza EC has won against Cuiaba, Bahia BA, and Rosario Central at home. Atletico MG lost to Palmeiras SP, Fluminense, and Bahia BA, but won against Gremio RS and Sao Paulo SP away.

    So, considering the statistics, the safest bet seems to be Fortaleza EC to win or a draw, with an 80% chance of success.

    The potential number of goals

    Fortaleza EC is in good form at home, with 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Their offensive potential is rated at 43% with 1.2 goals per match, while their defensive potential is at 64%. On the other hand, Atletico MG has a less impressive record away from home with a 40% win rate, but a strong offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 43%.

    The match seems to favor Fortaleza EC with a chance of winning at 51.33%. Furthermore, a draw or a Fortaleza EC victory is very likely at 80%.

    The expected number of goals could be around 1.5, with a 70% chance of having more than 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams are more likely not to score at 54.67%.

    The statistics and recent forms of Fortaleza EC at home and Atletico MG away from home indicate that this match could end in favor of Fortaleza EC with probably more than 1.5 goals in total.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, based on the detailed analysis of performances, statistics, and probabilities, the suggested prediction for the Fortaleza EC versus Atletico MG match favors Fortaleza EC. They have shown a strong performance at home, and with significantly superior offensive and defensive potential, the most likely outcome appears to be a victory for Fortaleza EC.

    The match is also likely to be high-scoring, with a high probability for over 2.5 total goals. It is also probable that both teams will score at least one goal each, given their demonstrated offensive capabilities in their recent matches.

    However, an interesting value bet would be “Draw or Atletico MG to win the match”, with odds of 2.00. Although Atletico MG has not been able to produce excellent away performances, their offensive capabilities compared to those of Fortaleza EC could lead to a surprising result.

    Ultimately, while on paper Fortaleza EC seems to have the advantage in this match, the outcome could depend on numerous unpredictable factors that may arise on match day. It is essential to remember that, despite all statistics and analyses, football is unpredictable, and anything can happen during the match.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Fortaleza EC against Atletico-MG on 17/10/2024

    1. Fortaleza EC has an impressive home performance with a 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have also scored 9 goals in 5 matches, demonstrating their offensive capability when playing at home.

    2. Atletico MG has a low away win rate of 40%, with only 5 goals scored in their last 5 away matches. This indicates a lower offensive performance compared to Fortaleza EC in the latter’s home matches.

    3. According to probability statistics, Fortaleza EC has a 51.33% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Atletico MG’s win probability (20%). This indicates that, based on predictions, Fortaleza EC is more likely to come out on top.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Fortaleza EC to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico-MG to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fortaleza EC or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Fortaleza EC or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fortaleza EC or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG match!

    To not miss anything from the Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 17/10/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG

    logo team a
    composition
    1Ricardo
    2Tinga
    19Brítez
    4Titi
    6Pacheco
    16Rossetto
    35Hércules
    11Marinho
    8Martínez
    21Moisés
    9Lucero
    Lineups Fortaleza EC
    logo team a
    composition
    22Everson
    26Saravia
    16Rabello
    3Fuchs
    25Mariano
    18Vera
    27Vitor
    45Alisson
    17Gomes
    30Palacios
    14Kardec
    Lineups Atletico-MG

    Match Highlights Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG on 17/10/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG match on 17/10/2024 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo stadium.

    15'Marinho
    picto
    48'F. Vera
    picto
    53'Bruno Pacheco
    picto
    59'Marinho
    picto
    60'B. Palacios Alzate
    picto
    67'J. LuceroBreno Lopes
    picto
    68'E. MartínezYago Pikachu
    picto
    71'B. PalaciosCaio Maia
    picto
    76'MoisésRenato Kayzer
    picto
    80'AlissonGustavo Scarpa
    picto
    80'Igor GomesRobert Santos
    picto
    82'P. Monteiro
    picto
    83'Tinga
    picto
    85'Matheus RossettoZé Welison
    picto
    86'Renato KayzerPedro Augusto
    picto
    89'C. Maia
    picto
    89'Paulo VitorOtávio
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Fortaleza EC and Atletico-MG

    All statistics for the match between Fortaleza EC and Atletico-MG will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Fortaleza EC
    Atletico-MG
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    46%
    54%
    Total Shots
    14
    18
    Shots on Goal
    1
    5
    Shots off Goal
    8
    9
    Corner Kicks
    7
    3
    Passing Accuracy
    80%
    88%
    Total Passes
    382
    446
    Successful Passes
    307
    392
    Fouls Committed
    9
    10
    Yellow Cards
    1
    3
    Red Cards
    2
    0
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Fortaleza EC against Atletico-MG!

    logo team

    Form state of Fortaleza EC in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Fortaleza EC has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Fortaleza EC has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Atletico-MG in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.

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    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Fortaleza EC against Atletico-MG!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Fortaleza EC in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Fortaleza EC in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Fortaleza EC
    Fortaleza EC has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Fortaleza EC in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fortaleza EC
    Fortaleza EC has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Atletico-MG in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
    Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
    Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Fortaleza EC and Atletico-MG, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Offensive and defensive potential of the teams: Based on previous match statistics, Fortaleza EC scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Atletico MG scores an average of 1.8 goals per away match. Their defensive trends also show that they concede an average of 1.8 and 1.2 goals per match respectively, indicating a high-scoring game.

    2. Head-to-head history: Recent matches at home for Fortaleza EC and away matches for Atletico MG have mostly seen over 2.5 goals being scored. Examples include Fortaleza EC 4 – 1 Bahia BA, Bahia BA 3 – 0 Atletico MG, Gremio RS 2 – 3 Atletico MG.

    3. Overall statistics: The calculated probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 44.67%, which is significantly higher compared to other scenarios (such as under 1.5 goals in the match), suggesting that the match is likely to see three goals or more.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Fortaleza EC and Atletico-MG!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Fortaleza EC

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico-MG

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Fortaleza EC Atletico-MG?

    Finding a forecast for the Fortaleza EC Atletico-MG match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Fortaleza EC Atletico-MG on 17/10/2024 in Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Fortaleza EC at home and Atletico-MG away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 17/10/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Fortaleza EC and Atletico-MG on 17/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza EC could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Fortaleza EC and Atletico-MG, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Fortaleza EC and the away win rate of Atletico-MG, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 17/10/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Fortaleza EC and Atletico-MG can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 17/10/2024 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Fortaleza EC and Atletico-MG, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Fortaleza EC or Atletico-MG on 17/10/2024.

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    Alex - Winflix

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