Tipps Fortaleza EC Gremio Serie A 20/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for the match is: Draw or Fortaleza EC wins the match.

1. Fortaleza EC has a strong home performance in their last 5 matches, winning 60% of these games.
2. Gremio RS has a variable away performance, winning only 40% of matches and drawing in 20% of cases, showing uncertainty in their performances when playing away.
3. The success rate of the prediction “Draw or Fortaleza EC wins the match” is 79.37%, which is the highest among all other predictions. This high assurance rate of victory favors such a prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics from previous matches show that both teams have an average of goals scored and conceded that is below 2.5. On average, Fortaleza EC scores 1 goal and concedes 0.8 goals per match, while Gremio RS scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1 goal.

2. The head-to-head history shows few goals scored. In fact, in the last 5 home matches of Fortaleza EC, only 2 matches had more than 2.5 goals. Similarly, only 1 match in the last 5 away games of Gremio RS exceeded this 2.5 goal mark.

3. The odds offered by bookmakers support this prediction. The probability of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals is estimated at 78.84%, with odds of 1.65, which reflects a strong conviction from bookmakers on the outcome of this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Fortaleza EC has shown a strong offensive performance when playing at home, having scored in four of their last five home matches, proving their efficiency in front of goal.
2. Gremio RS has also demonstrated a certain offensive potential by scoring in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
3. Probability analysis indicates that “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 50.79%, slightly higher than the “Both teams not to score” alternative. This, combined with the past offensive performances of both teams, suggests a good potential for both teams to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Gremio RS wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Fortaleza EC 1-1 Gremio RS

1. Fortaleza EC’s home statistics clearly show a solid defense with only 6 goals conceded in the last 5 matches, and an attack that still manages to score regularly with 6 goals scored, in line with their average goals scored and conceded per match.

2. Gremio RS has a rather effective away attack with an average of 1.4 goals per match, but also a solid defense with only 3 goals conceded in the last 5 matches. They have also drawn in 20% of cases, which could mean they are capable of achieving a result on the road.

3. The probability of a draw is 35.98%, which is a significant possibility. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 50.79%, which reinforces the idea of a tight match ending in a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fortaleza EC is strong at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they score an average of 1 goal per game and also concede almost one goal per game (0.8).

Gremio RS has won 40% of their recent away matches. They score more (1.4 goals per game) and also concede an average of 1 goal.

The probability of Fortaleza EC winning is estimated at 43.39%. The probability of a draw is at 35.98%. Gremio RS has a 20.63% chance of winning.

In terms of total goals, the most likely outcome is a total of fewer than 4.5 goals with a probability of 96.3%.

Recent matches have shown few goals, suggesting a potentially tight and close game. Each team has an equal chance (50.79% and 49.21%) of scoring.

Based on these numbers, a tight match with few goals is likely. However, Fortaleza EC has the home advantage. A safe bet could be “Under 4.5 goals in the match” with odds of 1.06.

The potential number of goals

Based on the statistics, Fortaleza EC has a strong home form, winning 60% of their matches and balancing their goals scored and conceded at 6. On the other hand, Gremio RS has only won 40% of their away matches, each team scoring and conceding 3 goals.

Fortaleza EC’s offensive potential at home stands at 36% with a 29% defense rate. In comparison, Gremio RS has a 50% offensive potential away from home with a 36% defense rate.

Overall, Fortaleza EC has a 43.39% chance of winning, while Gremio RS has only 20.63%. The probability of a draw is 35.98%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a high probability (96.3%) that there will be fewer than 4.5 goals in the match.

Looking at past matches, Fortaleza EC tends not to concede goals at home, while Gremio RS has scored in most of their away matches except one.

In conclusion, a reasonable prediction would be for fewer than 4.5 goals and a likely win for Fortaleza EC. However, there could also be a chance for both teams to score, considering their previous matches.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the elements analyzed in this article, several trends emerge for the match between Fortaleza EC and Gremio RS.

1. Team form, especially at home for Fortaleza EC and away for Gremio RS, suggests a possible victory for Fortaleza EC or a draw.

2. Most indicators point to a match with less than 2.5 goals. The previous performances of both clubs, as well as the bookmakers’ odds, lead us to predict a rather closed match with few goals.

3. However, statistics also show that both teams have effective attacks. Thus, it is entirely possible that each team will manage to score during the match.

4. Regarding the most interesting value bet, “Draw or Gremio RS wins” seems to offer an attractive option considering the probabilities and odds offered.

5. Finally, an exact score prediction could suggest a 1-1 draw, a hypothesis supported by the statistics and probabilities previously discussed.

In summary, this Serie A match promises to be close and tactical, with probably few goals. But football being unpredictable, these predictions should be taken with caution. Always remember to bet responsibly.