Tipps Fortaleza EC Palmeiras Serie A 27/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“ Palmeiras SP wins the match “

1. Palmeiras SP has shown excellent away performance, winning in 80% of cases and scoring an average of 2 goals per match with an offensive potential of 71%, giving them a significant advantage compared to Fortaleza EC with an average of 0.6 goals per match and a home offensive potential of 21%.

2. The defensive potential of Palmeiras SP is also superior to that of Fortaleza EC, with 14% and 57% respectively. This means that Palmeiras SP concedes fewer goals per match (0.4) than Fortaleza EC (1.6).

3. The odds provided also favor Palmeiras SP, with a probability of 41.05% to win the match, compared to 28.42% for Fortaleza EC. Furthermore, the probability of Palmeiras SP winning or drawing the match is 71.58%, which is quite high.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The high offensive potential of Palmeiras SP: away from home, Palmeiras SP scores an average of 2 goals per match, which significantly contributes to reaching the over 2.5 goal threshold.

2. The low defensive potential of Fortaleza EC: at home, Fortaleza EC concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match, providing Palmeiras SP with multiple opportunities to score.

3. The statistics of their respective matches: in the last 5 matches of each team, a total of 20 goals were scored by Palmeiras SP away from home and 7 goals by Fortaleza EC at home. This indicates that both teams have the ability to score and increases the likelihood of there being over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Fortaleza EC has scored goals in 80% of their last home matches, and Palmeiras SP has scored goals in 100% of their last away matches. This is a clear indication that both teams have strong offensive potential.
2. Palmeiras SP has conceded goals in 60% of their recent away matches, while Fortaleza EC has conceded goals in 100% of their last home matches. This shows that both teams have leaky defenses.
3. Furthermore, the statistics presented indicate a 57.37% likelihood of both teams scoring. This is a fairly robust percentage that confirms the trend observed in the first two points.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Palmeiras SP wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Fortaleza EC 1-2 Palmeiras SP

1. Palmeiras SP has shown a better offensive performance, scoring an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 away games, compared to Fortaleza EC’s 0.6 goals per home match. They have an offensive potential of 71% against Fortaleza EC’s 21%.

2. Palmeiras SP has a higher probability of winning than Fortaleza EC, with odds of 41.05% against 28.42%. Furthermore, the fact that the match is being played away from home further favors Palmeiras SP, who have shown better performances on the road.

3. It is also worth noting that “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 57.37%. This means there is a strong likelihood that each team will score at least one goal during the match. Given Palmeiras SP’s offensive performances, a 1-2 scoreline is plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fortaleza EC has shown strength at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. However, their defensive performances are concerning, having conceded 8 goals during this period.
Palmeiras SP excels away from home, also winning 80% of their last 5 matches, with a considerable attacking strength of 13 goals. Their defensive performances are also impressive, conceding only 13 goals.
The highest probability is for Palmeiras SP to win the match at 41.05%. However, the possibility of a draw or Palmeiras SP winning the match is also strong, with a probability of 71.58%.
In terms of total goals, it is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals in the match with a probability of 81.58%.
Analyze this data to make an informed choice. However, football is unpredictable and any result is possible.

The potential number of goals

Fortaleza EC appears strong at home with an 80% win rate. However, they score few goals (0.6 on average) but concede more (1.6 on average). Their offensive strength is only at 21%, while their defense performs at 57%. This could be challenging against an attacking Palmeiras SP team.

Palmeiras SP has a strong away performance, winning 80% of matches and averaging 2 goals per game. They defend well, conceding only 0.4 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 71% and defensive of 14%.

The probability of Fortaleza EC winning is 28.42%, while Palmeiras SP has a higher chance at 41.05%. A draw is at 30.53%.

In terms of goals, there is a likelihood of over 1.5 goals (76.32%), while over 2.5 goals drops to 47.89%.

There is also a high probability of both teams scoring (57.37%).

Considering these stats, Palmeiras SP seems to hold an advantage. However, Fortaleza EC’s strong home performance may help them withstand the challenge.

A favorable bet could be: ‘Over 1.5 goals in the match’ with a success probability of 76.32% and odds of 1.33.

Please note that betting predictions always depend on various factors and do not guarantee the final outcome.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, Palmeiras SP appears to be the favorite for this match due to their outstanding performance in previous games, especially with their offensive and defensive potential. A likely score would be 2-1 in favor of Palmeiras SP based on advanced statistics. Additionally, the bet “Both teams to score” seems to be an interesting option to consider for this match.

However, despite Palmeiras SP’s apparent dominance, the home factor of Fortaleza EC should not be overlooked as it could play a significant role. Ultimately, it is essential to analyze all these data, as well as other factors such as current odds, playing conditions, and other unpredictable elements, before making a decision on a bet. As always in sports betting, nothing is ever guaranteed, and it is important to bet responsibly.