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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Fortaleza EC Sao Paulo

    Tipps Fortaleza EC Sao Paulo Serie A 28/07/2024

    Last update : 28/07/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    “Fortaleza EC wins the match.”

    1. Fortaleza EC has had a great performance at home in its recent matches: winning 100% of the games. Furthermore, it has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 36% which is superior to Sao Paulo SP.
    2. Sao Paulo SP has a weak performance when playing away. They only win 20% of the time and have an offensive potential lower than Fortaleza EC (only 43%).
    3. The probability of Fortaleza EC winning the match is higher than that of Sao Paulo SP (38.12% versus 29.28%). Moreover, the analysis of previous matches shows that Fortaleza EC has won the majority of its home games while Sao Paulo SP has a weak performance away from home.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    “Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match”

    1. On average, at home, Fortaleza EC scores 1.8 goals per match and concedes 1 goal. Similarly, Sao Paulo SP, when playing away, scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 0.6 goals. The total of goals scored and conceded per match for both teams does not exceed the threshold of 2.5 goals.

    2. Sao Paulo SP’s performance away from home shows that the team struggles to score goals, with only 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches.

    3. The calculated probabilities for this match favor “Under 2.5 goals in the match” with odds of 1.60 compared to 2.30 for “Over 2.5 goals in the match”. The numbers indicate a tendency towards a low-scoring match.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    1. In the last 5 home matches of Fortaleza EC, the team has always scored at least one goal, showcasing a strong offensive performance. Additionally, their defenses have allowed opposing teams to score on multiple occasions, suggesting that there is a good chance Sao Paulo SP will also score.

    2. Despite a mixed performance away from home, Sao Paulo SP has managed to score in the majority of their last 5 matches. Considering the number of goals Fortaleza EC has conceded in their home matches, it is likely that Sao Paulo SP will score during the match.

    3. The offensive and defensive potential of each team, measured by the average goals scored and conceded per match, indicates that there is usually a steady flow of goals in matches involving these two teams. This increases the probability that both teams will score in this match.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    “More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

    1. Fortaleza EC has shown a strong offensive performance in their recent matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per home match.
    2. Sao Paulo SP tends to concede goals in their away matches, with an average of 0.6 goals per match.
    3. The recent home matches of Fortaleza EC and away matches of Sao Paulo SP have shown a frequency of more than 2.5 goals.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Fortaleza EC 2-1 Sao Paulo SP

    1. Fortaleza EC’s prior home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Fortaleza EC has always won, including a 2-1 victory over Juventude. This trend suggests a strong performance by the team when playing at home.

    2. Offensive and defensive potential of each team: Fortaleza EC has a higher offensive potential (64%) than Sao Paulo SP (43%). At the same time, Fortaleza EC has also shown greater defensive resilience with 36% compared to Sao Paulo SP’s 21%. This indicates that Fortaleza EC has the ability to score more goals and concede fewer against them.

    3. Sao Paulo SP’s away performance: Sao Paulo SP has a low 20% win rate in their away matches. Additionally, they have an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and concede an average of 0.6 goals, indicating difficulty in scoring and maintaining their defense away from home. This suggests a possible defeat against a team like Fortaleza EC that performs well at home.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Fortaleza EC is in great form at home with 5 wins out of 5 and 12 goals scored. However, they have also conceded 12 goals, showing a leaky defense. On the other hand, Sao Paulo SP struggles away from home with only 1 win and 2 draws in 5 matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 8.

    Fortaleza has an average of 1.8 goals per game at home and concedes 1 goal on average, presenting a strong attacking potential of 64%, against a more fragile defense at 36%. In contrast, Sao Paulo scores less with 1.2 goals per game away and a solid defense (0.6 goals conceded). Their attacking potential is limited to 43%, and their defense stands at 21%.

    Despite their different form levels, the numbers indicate a win probability of 38.12% for Fortaleza against 29.28% for São Paulo. A draw is considered at 32.6%. The odds slightly favor Fortaleza with 2.35 compared to 3.10 for Sao Paulo.

    Taking into account the respective performances, there is a 70.72% chance of Fortaleza winning or the match ending in a draw (odds at 1.36). In contrast, the probability of a positive result for Sao Paulo (win or draw) is 61.88%.

    The probability of the match having over 1.5 goals is 66.85% with odds at 1.44. However, the likelihood of the match having fewer than 3.5 goals is very high, at 91.16% with odds at 1.20. Each team has approximately 50% chance of scoring.

    By using these analyses, you would be better guided in your predictions for this match between Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo SP.

    The potential number of goals

    Fortaleza EC has been performing well at home with a victory in their last 5 matches. In these matches, the team has scored 12 goals, the same number of goals conceded.

    São Paulo SP has been struggling away from home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. The team has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals.

    Fortaleza EC has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 36%, while São Paulo SP has 43% and 21% respectively.

    In total, the probability of Fortaleza EC winning is 38.12%, a draw is 32.6%, and a victory for São Paulo SP is 29.28%.

    Regarding the number of goals, there is a 66.85% probability that the match will have more than 1.5 goals. The probability is 35.36% for more than 2.5 goals and rises to 103.87% for less than 4.5 goals.

    Finally, there is a fairly equal probability of both teams scoring or not, with 50.28% and 49.72% respectively.

    Prediction: a balanced match with a slight advantage for Fortaleza EC. Prediction of more than 1.5 goals in the match.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, our analysis leads us to favor Fortaleza EC as the winning team in the match against Sao Paulo SP, due to their excellent home performance and superior offensive potential. Furthermore, although Fortaleza stands out with a higher number of goals scored, the analysis suggests a match with less than 2.5 goals due to Sao Paulo SP’s difficulty in scoring away from home. However, the probability of both teams scoring is quite high and should not be overlooked. Ultimately, while the bet “over 2.5 goals in the match” is considered an interesting value bet, caution is advised. Indeed, Sao Paulo SP’s performance away from home seems to indicate a weaker offensive potential compared to Fortaleza EC. Analyzing the various data thus favors a strong advantage for Fortaleza EC winning the match with a score of 2-1.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Fortaleza EC against Sao Paulo on 28/07/2024

    1. Fortaleza EC has had a great performance at home in its recent matches: winning 100% of the games. Furthermore, it has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 36% which is superior to Sao Paulo SP.
    2. Sao Paulo SP has a weak performance when playing away. They only win 20% of the time and have an offensive potential lower than Fortaleza EC (only 43%).
    3. The probability of Fortaleza EC winning the match is higher than that of Sao Paulo SP (38.12% versus 29.28%). Moreover, the analysis of previous matches shows that Fortaleza EC has won the majority of its home games while Sao Paulo SP has a weak performance away from home.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Fortaleza EC to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fortaleza EC or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Fortaleza EC or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fortaleza EC or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo match!

    To not miss anything from the Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 28/07/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo

    logo team a
    composition
    1Ricardo
    19Brítez
    13Kuščević
    25Cardona
    6Pacheco
    35Hércules
    88Sasha
    11Marinho
    16Rossetto
    26Lopes
    79Kayzer
    Lineups Fortaleza EC
    logo team a
    composition
    23Rafael
    2Vinícius
    32Ferraresi
    28Franco
    6Welington
    27Rato
    21Bobadilla
    16Gustavo
    11Nestor
    31Juan
    9Calleri
    Lineups Sao Paulo

    Match Highlights Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo on 28/07/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo match on 28/07/2024 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo stadium.

    4'Renato Kayzer
    picto
    12'Luciano
    picto
    57'Welington
    picto
    58'Rodrigo NestorFerreira
    picto
    58'JuanLuciano
    picto
    65'E. Britez
    picto
    67'Breno LopesMoisés
    picto
    70'D. Bobadilla
    picto
    73'HérculesK. Andrade
    picto
    73'Renato KayzerJ. Lucero
    picto
    73'Wellington RatoErick
    picto
    73'D. BobadillaLiziero
    picto
    80'L. Zubeldia
    picto
    80'K. Andrade
    picto
    83'MarinhoYago Pikachu
    picto
    84'Lucas SashaPedro Augusto
    picto
    89'Hercules
    picto
    89'Hercules
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo

    All statistics for the match between Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Fortaleza EC
    Sao Paulo
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    37%
    63%
    Total Shots
    11
    9
    Shots on Goal
    2
    1
    Shots off Goal
    5
    3
    Corner Kicks
    3
    10
    Passing Accuracy
    75%
    86%
    Total Passes
    276
    482
    Successful Passes
    208
    413
    Fouls Committed
    15
    17
    Yellow Cards
    3
    3
    Red Cards
    1
    0
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Fortaleza EC against Sao Paulo!

    logo team

    Form state of Fortaleza EC in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Fortaleza EC has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Fortaleza EC has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Sao Paulo in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Sao Paulo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Sao Paulo has a form rating of %.

    buts
    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Fortaleza EC against Sao Paulo!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Fortaleza EC in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Fortaleza EC in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Fortaleza EC
    Fortaleza EC has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Fortaleza EC in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fortaleza EC
    Fortaleza EC has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Sao Paulo in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. On average, at home, Fortaleza EC scores 1.8 goals per match and concedes 1 goal. Similarly, Sao Paulo SP, when playing away, scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 0.6 goals. The total of goals scored and conceded per match for both teams does not exceed the threshold of 2.5 goals.

    2. Sao Paulo SP’s performance away from home shows that the team struggles to score goals, with only 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches.

    3. The calculated probabilities for this match favor “Under 2.5 goals in the match” with odds of 1.60 compared to 2.30 for “Over 2.5 goals in the match”. The numbers indicate a tendency towards a low-scoring match.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Fortaleza EC

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Sao Paulo

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Fortaleza EC Sao Paulo?

    Finding a forecast for the Fortaleza EC Sao Paulo match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Fortaleza EC Sao Paulo on 28/07/2024 in Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Fortaleza EC at home and Sao Paulo away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 28/07/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo on 28/07/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza EC could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Fortaleza EC and the away win rate of Sao Paulo, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 28/07/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 28/07/2024 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Fortaleza EC or Sao Paulo on 28/07/2024.

    author
    Author
    Alex - Winflix

    "Ca arrive..."

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