Tipps Fortaleza FC Deportivo Pereira Primera A 13/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Fortaleza FC wins the match”

1. Fortaleza FC has a higher home win rate, with a 48.66% probability of winning the match, which is higher than the probability for Deportivo Pereira to win the match, which is 18.72%.

2. Based on their recent match statistics, Fortaleza FC seems to have a stronger defense at home than Deportivo Pereira does on the road. In fact, Fortaleza FC concedes an average of 0.6 goals during their home matches, while Deportivo Pereira concedes an average of 1.2 goals during their away matches.

3. In their last home encounter of Fortaleza FC against Deportivo Pereira, Fortaleza FC emerged victorious. This could indicate a trend towards repeating this result.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The average number of goals scored per match by Fortaleza FC at home and Deportivo Pereira away are 1.2 and 1 respectively. The combined averages of these two are less than 2.5 goals.
2. In the last five home matches of Fortaleza FC, four of them had a total of goals scored less than 2.5. Similarly, three out of the last five away matches of Deportivo Pereira had less than 2.5 goals.
3. Both teams have an average offensive potential: 43% for Fortaleza FC and 36% for Deportivo Pereira. This may suggest that the match will be more focused on defense, hence fewer goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Looking at the previous statistics of both teams, we can see that Fortaleza FC has a strong defensive performance at home, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per match. Additionally, in 2 of their last 5 home matches, they managed to keep a clean sheet.

2. Deportivo Pereira has had varying offensive performances away from home, averaging 1 goal per match. However, they failed to score in 2 of their last 5 away matches, indicating some inconsistency in their ability to score on the road.

3. The odds for both teams not to score are 1.62, suggesting a probability of 57.22%. This indicates that bookmakers expect it to be more likely for a match to not have both teams scoring, based on their past and current performances.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 32.62% probability of success: 3.20

Bet on the exact result

Fortaleza FC 1-1 Deportivo Pereira.

1. The statistics of both teams in their last 5 matches suggest that Fortaleza FC and Deportivo Pereira have scored an average of 1.2 goals and 1 goal per game respectively, indicating that a 1-1 scoreline is reasonably plausible.

2. Fortaleza FC has a high draw rate at home (40%), while Deportivo Pereira has a low draw rate away (0%), which could increase the likelihood of a draw here. Additionally, considering the probability of a draw (32.62%), the 1-1 scoreline, the most common scenario for a draw, seems plausible.

3. In their last meeting in Fortaleza, the score was 1-0 in favor of the home team. Given Deportivo Pereira’s apparent offensive improvements (averaging 1 goal scored per game in their last 5 outings), they could score against Fortaleza this time, potentially resulting in a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fortaleza FC has a variable home performance with 40% of wins and draws. Fortaleza has scored 4 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 home matches.

Deportivo Pereira, on the other hand, has won 2 of their last 5 away matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 7 goals.

Fortaleza FC’s offensive potential at home is 43% and their defensive potential is 21%. Deportivo Pereira scores an average of 1 goal per match and concedes an average of 1.2 goals in their away games, with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 43%.

According to the probabilities, Fortaleza FC has nearly a 50% chance of winning. However, the probability of Deportivo Pereira winning the match is only 18.72%.

There is an 81.28% probability of a draw or a Fortaleza win, and a 51.34% probability of a draw or a Pereira win.

Regarding the number of goals, the probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is 60.96%. The probability of less than 3.5 goals is 88.24%.

Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is 42.78%. In their recent matches, Fortaleza FC won 1-0 against Deportivo Pereira at home, while Deportivo Pereira lost 2-0 to Deportivo Pasto away.

Based on these statistics and probabilities, a prediction favoring Fortaleza FC can be considered, although anything is possible in football.

The potential number of goals

Fortaleza FC is strong at home with a win rate of 40% and a draw frequency of 40%. Deportivo Pereira, on the other hand, has succeeded in winning 40% of its away matches.

In terms of offensive potential, Fortaleza FC stands at 43% at home, while Deportivo Pereira is at 36% away. On the defensive side, Fortaleza FC is more robust with 21% against 43% for Deportivo Pereira.

In the last five home matches, Fortaleza FC has scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 0.6 goals per match. In comparison, Deportivo Pereira has scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 1.2 goals per match in its away games.

The highest probability predicts a win for Fortaleza FC or a draw at 81.28%. A victory for Deportivo Pereira would not be a surprise either, with a success probability of 18.72%.

In terms of the number of goals, the most likely probability is less than 3.5 goals at 88.24%. There is also a 60.96% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored.

Both teams have chances to score, but slightly in favor of yes with a success probability of 42.78% against 57.22%.

Based on the stats, Fortaleza FC seems to be in the lead for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In short, Fortaleza FC appears to be the favorite team for this match, due to its strong home performances and visible defensive records in the statistics. Deportivo Pereira’s offensive statistics seem slightly unstable compared to their opponents, which could influence the final score. According to the probabilities, a draw could represent an interesting value bet, especially considering a 1-1 draw is a likely scenario based on the teams’ past performances. However, football is an unpredictable sport and surprises are always possible. It is therefore recommended for bettors to exercise caution and only bet within their financial means.