Tipps Fortaleza FC Jaguares Primera A 08/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Fortaleza FC wins the match”

1. Fortaleza FC has a stronger home performance compared to Jaguares de Cordoba’s away performance. In fact, Fortaleza FC wins 40% of its home games, while Jaguares de Cordoba has not secured any victories in its recent away matches.

2. Fortaleza FC has a superior offensive and defensive potential than Jaguares de Cordoba. They score on average 1 goal per match, compared to 0.6 for Jaguares de Cordoba, and their defensive potential is also higher.

3. Predictive statistics support Fortaleza FC’s victory with a success probability of 61.11% compared to only 13.89% for Jaguares de Cordoba.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Historical performance: The match history indicates that Fortaleza FC has an average of 1 goal per home match and Jaguares de Cordoba has an average of 0.6 goals per away match, giving us a combined total of 1.6 goals per match, which is below 2.5.

2. Defensive performance: Both Fortaleza FC and Jaguares de Cordoba have shown good defensive performances, with an average of 1.4 goals and 0.6 goals conceded per match respectively. These statistics suggest that both teams might take a defensive approach to the match.

3. Jaguares de Cordoba’s recent form: Jaguares de Cordoba has struggled to score in their recent away matches, failing to score in their last 5 away matches. This suggests they might find it difficult to score against Fortaleza FC.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Jaguares de Cordoba have a very low offensive performance in their away games, with an average of 0.6 goals per match and no victories in their last 5 matches.
2. Fortaleza FC demonstrate some defensive solidity at home, with a defensive potential of 50% and conceding an average of only 1.4 goals per match.
3. In Jaguares de Cordoba’s last 5 away matches, they have failed to score a single goal, highlighting a persistent weakness in their attacking play on the road.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.65

Bet on the exact result

Fortaleza FC 1-0 Jaguares de Cordoba

1. The history of Fortaleza FC’s home matches highlights a strong tendency towards low scores, as they have scored only one goal in 3 of their last 5 matches. Their ability to score goals at home is therefore proven.

2. Jaguares de Cordoba shows offensive weakness in their away games, failing to score any goals in their last 5 matches on the road. This reinforces the idea that Fortaleza FC is likely to keep a clean sheet.

3. Statistics show that the match outcome is very likely to favor Fortaleza FC with a probability of 61.11%, which is significantly higher than the other two possibilities. It is therefore logical to bet on a score where Fortaleza FC comes out on top. Given the low tendency to score many goals, a 1-0 scoreline seems like a good choice.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fortaleza FC, at home, has had inconsistent performance with two wins, one draw, and two losses. They have scored 5 goals and conceded the same number. Their offensive potential is at 36% and defensive at 50%. In contrast, Jaguares de Cordoba, away, has yet to win, with two draws and three losses, without scoring. They have a low offensive and defensive potential, 21%.

Thus, Fortaleza has a 61.11% probability of winning, with odds at 1.59. Jaguares, on the other hand, has a 13.89% chance of winning, with odds at 5.90. A draw, less likely, is priced at 3.75 with a 25% chance.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 75% chance of having more than 1.5 goals (odds at 1.40), so perhaps an eventful match. The probability rate is at 86.11% for fewer than 3.5 goals.

In conclusion, Fortaleza FC seems better positioned to win, with a match where the number of goals may remain moderate. This could lead to predictions on a Fortaleza win or a match with fewer than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Fortaleza FC, at home, has an average performance with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 5 goals, an average of 1 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match, showing a balance in offense and defense.

Jaguares de Cordoba, on the other hand, has not won any of their last 5 away matches, but has managed to draw in 40% of the cases. They have scored 0 goals and conceded only 1 goal, an average of 0.6 goals scored and conceded per match. Their offensive and defensive performance is therefore weak.

According to the probabilities, Fortaleza FC has a 61.11% chance of winning the match compared to only 13.89% for Jaguares de Cordoba. A draw is also likely at 25%.

Regarding goals, there is a 75% chance that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a probability of 51.67% for more than 2.5 goals.

Finally, past performances suggest that both teams will not score, with a probability of 55.56%.

Based on these numbers, I predict a win for Fortaleza FC with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, a thorough analysis of the performances of both teams indicates that Fortaleza FC has a significant advantage as the home team, with statistics showing strong home performance and superior offensive efficiency. On the other hand, Jaguares de Cordoba seems to struggle to score and win away games. Furthermore, the goal statistics of each team show a high probability of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals. Therefore, a solid prediction would be to expect a win for Fortaleza FC with fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. For bettors seeking more value, a precise score of 1-0 in favor of Fortaleza FC could also be considered. However, as is customary in sports betting, it is crucial to bet responsibly and not consider these predictions as guarantees, as the actual outcome of the match always remains uncertain and unpredictable.