Tipps France Luxembourg Matchs amicaux 05/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for this match is: France wins the game.

1. France has a strong offensive potential established in its last 5 home matches, with an average of 4.6 goals per match, as well as solid defensive performances, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. In contrast, Luxembourg, in its last 5 away matches, has shown weaker offensive potential, with an average of 1.4 goals per match, and a more vulnerable defense, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.

2. The match history shows a clear superiority of France. France has won 80% of its last 5 home matches and has shown very good performance on the field, as evidenced by scores such as France 14 – 0 Gibraltar or France 4 – 1 Scotland. Furthermore, Luxembourg has performed less well away from home, with only 40% of matches won.

3. The odds strongly indicate a probability of victory in favor of France. The odds for France to win are 1.02, which represents a very high probability of winning compared to the odds of 81 for a Luxembourg win. Thus, based on these odds, bookmakers also expect a victory for France.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. France has an average of 4.6 goals per home match in its last 5 games, which is significantly higher than 2.5 goals. This indicates a strong trend of high number of goals in their matches.
2. Luxembourg scores on average 1.4 goals per away match, although it is lower than France’s average, it would combine with France’s average to exceed 2.5 goals.
3. Comparing the recent matches of each team, it can be observed that several games have surpassed the 2.5 goals threshold (France 3 – 2 Chile, France 14 – 0 Gibraltar, France 4 – 1 Scotland, Georgia 2 – 0 Luxembourg, Portugal 9 – 0 Luxembourg), which reinforces the hypothesis of a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. In its last 5 home matches, despite France having a high average of goals scored (4.6 per match), they also have a high number of goals conceded (1.4 per match), showing a defense that can be breached.

2. Luxembourg has only scored 4 goals away in their last 5 matches, with an average of 0.8 goals per game, indicating a low offensive potential to score against a team like France.

3. Looking at Luxembourg’s recent away matches, there seems to be a trend of struggling to score against teams with stronger defenses (9-0 against Portugal and 2-0 against Georgia), with the goals they scored coming against weaker opponents.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

France 4-1 Luxembourg

1. France shows a remarkable performance at home with an average of 4.6 goals per match, significantly surpassing the average goals scored by Luxembourg away (1.4 goals). This indicates that the French team has a strong offensive potential that could lead to several goals.

2. Statistics demonstrate that Luxembourg has a weaker defense with an average of 1 goal conceded per match away, compared to France which concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home. It is therefore likely that Luxembourg will concede more goals during this match.

3. By analyzing previous matches, it is notable that in their last home match, France achieved a 4-1 score against Scotland, which aligns with the prediction. Additionally, Luxembourg has also shown a tendency to score at least one goal in their away matches, supporting the prediction of a 4-1 score in favor of France.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

France performs strongly at home. 4 wins out of 5. Averaging 4.6 goals per match. Luxembourg performs average on the road. 2 wins out of 5. Scores 1.4 goals per match.

France’s defense is generous. Conceded 23 goals in 5 matches. Luxembourg, on the other hand, conceded 4 goals in 5 matches. Both defenses are leaky.

France’s victory is priced at 1.02. It’s low. A draw is at 15.00. Very low probability as well. Luxembourg to win at 81.00. A high odds for a low probability outcome.

France’s offensive potential is at 164%. Luxembourg is at 50%. France has a strong attack. Luxembourg less so.

Many goals are predicted. Over 1.5 goals at 1.06. Over 2.5 goals at 1.25. Over 3.5 goals at 1.70. Risky bets.

France often wins but also concedes. Luxembourg scores little but defends well. Mismatched game. Advantage to France.

The potential number of goals

France seems to be in good form at home. In their last 5 matches, they have won 80% and scored 23 goals. Their defense is solid, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. The offensive potential is high at 164%.

On the other hand, Luxembourg is not as fresh. With a win rate of only 40% in away matches and 4 goals scored, their form is inconsistent. Their defense remains tough, conceding 1 goal per match.

When comparing performances, France is stronger both offensively and defensively. It could potentially be a match with over 2.5 goals. The odds confirm this.

There is a potential for under 4.5 goals, with a success probability of 100% and odds of 1.52. However, considering France’s attack, over 3.5 goals could be tempting.

As for the final verdict, the probabilities lean towards a win for France. The statistics are in their favor. The chances of Luxembourg winning are minimal.

In conclusion, considering the statistics and odds, a victory for France with under 4.5 goals in the match seems to be a good bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the current performances, match histories, and odds, the selection of France appears to have a significant advantage over Luxembourg for this friendly match. This doesn’t mean a guaranteed win, of course – it’s sports, after all – but the probability clearly favors the home team. Statistics and recent form also suggest that we could see a number of goals, with France likely contributing heavily to this total. Despite Luxembourg’s modest offensive potential, France’s ability to score multiple goals is notable, making them a likely candidate to surpass the 3.5 goals threshold. Furthermore, given the low probability of Luxembourg finding the back of the net, bettors may consider the “Both Teams to Score: No” option. An exact score of 4-1 in favor of France could also offer an interesting value for those looking to bet on a bolder wager.