Tipps France Poland Euro 2024 25/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

France wins the match.

1. The home performance statistics of France are superior to those of Poland away. Indeed, France has won 60% of its last 5 home matches, while Poland has only won 20% of its away matches.

2. France has a better defensive performance at home compared to Poland away. On average, France only concedes 0.4 goals per match at home, while Poland concedes 1.4 goals away.

3. The odds, which reflect the probabilities estimated by bookmakers, also support a victory for France, with a success probability of 68.04% for this scenario.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Taking into account the number of goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches, both France and Poland have averaged 1.4 goals scored per match, resulting in a total score of 2.8 goals, exceeding the 2.5 goals target.

2. The calculated probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 56.7%, which is higher than 50% and indicates a moderate to strong likelihood that the match will see at least 3 goals.

3. Looking at the history of their recent matches, France has scored a high number of goals in some games, such as against Gibraltar (14 goals), and Poland has also shown offensive potential by scoring 2 goals against the Faroe Islands. These past performances suggest that both teams have the ability to produce a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Match History: Over their last 5 respective matches, France and Poland have shown an ability to score goals. France has scored 20 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Poland has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Offensive Potential: The average goal statistics per match indicate that France and Poland have a 50% offensive potential. This suggests that both teams have an equal probability of scoring goals in this encounter.

3. Probability of “Both Teams to Score” Event: Based on statistics, the probability of both teams scoring in this match is 51.55%, which serves as a strong argument for this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

France 2-1 Poland

1. France’s Home Performance: France has a good home performance, winning 60% of their last 5 matches and scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match, supporting the idea of at least two goals scored by France. Additionally, the probability of France winning the match is 68.04%.

2. France’s Defensive Performance: On average, France only concedes 0.4 goals per match at home, indicating a strong defense. However, Poland has shown they can score away from home, scoring at least one goal in 3 of their last 5 matches on the road.

3. Poland’s Away Performance: Poland has had a relatively weak performance away from home, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, they have also shown attacking potential, as they also score an average of 1.4 goals per match, which could result in at least one goal from their side.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

France has had a good track record at home, winning 60% of their last matches. They have also been scoring goals, with a total of 20 goals. However, it should be noted that they have conceded the same number of goals.

On the other hand, the situation is bleaker for Poland. With only a 20% win rate away from home, Poland has only scored 5 goals and conceded 8.

A closer look reveals that France scores and concedes around 1.4 goals per match at home. Their offensive potential is at 50% and defensive at 14%.

Poland, when playing away, has similar statistics with 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match. They have an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 50%.

In terms of predictions, France appears to be favored with a 68.04% probability of winning. The draw has a probability of 18.56% and Poland only stands at 13.4%.

As for the number of goals, over 1.5 goals is the most likely scenario with a probability of 78.35%. The less likely scenario is under 1.5 goals, with only 4.32% probability.

Regarding both teams to score, it is almost balanced – 51.55% say “yes” and 48.45% say “no”.

Analyzing the previous matches of both teams, it is worth noting that France suffered a significant defeat against Germany but managed to crush Gibraltar with 14 goals. Poland had tough matches, winning only against the Faroe Islands and experiencing defeats against Albania, Moldova, and the Czech Republic.

It appears that France has an advantage in this match, based on statistics and the overall tone of previous encounters. In football, anything can happen, but the trend seems to point towards a French victory.

The potential number of goals

France has a good record at home, winning 60% of their matches and drawing 20%. It’s worth noting that they have scored a total of 20 goals, despite a fragile defense that has conceded the same number of goals.

On the other hand, Poland has only won 20% of their away matches, with a draw in 20% and a total of 5 goals scored against 8 goals conceded.

In terms of offense, both teams score an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, France has a better defense, conceding only 0.4 goals per match, while Poland concedes as many as they score.

The probability of France winning is 68.04%, while the probability of a draw is 18.56%. Poland has only a 13.4% chance of winning.

There is a high probability (78.35%) that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals, and a 56.7% chance that there will be more than 2.5 goals in total.

Historically, France has managed to defeat Canada and Luxembourg without conceding, but suffered a defeat against Germany. In contrast, Poland has struggled away from home, with losses against Albania, Moldova, and the Czech Republic.

In summary, France seems stronger than Poland, especially when playing at home. However, the French defense needs to tighten up to avoid surprises. A match with more than 1.5 goals seems very likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics, past performances, and bookmakers’ odds tend to favor a victory for the French team against Poland. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, so betting on over 2.5 goals is a plausible scenario. Moreover, recent performances of both teams suggest that it is likely for both teams to score in this match. The draw also presents an interesting value bet despite a lower success rate. In terms of exact score, a 2-1 victory for France seems to be the most realistic based on previous performances. To place bets, it will be interesting to establish a betting strategy combining these different aspects.