Tipps Frosinone Modena Serie B 27/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

According to the provided data, the most likely betting formula would be “Draw or Frosinone wins the match.” However, the data also mentions a higher offensive potential for Modena away from home. Taking this factor into account, “Draw or Modena wins the match” could also be a viable option.

1. Frosinone’s Home Performance: Frosinone has a strong tendency to draw at home, with 60% of its last 5 matches ending in draws. This is a good indicator that the possibility of a draw is significant.
2. Modena’s Away Performance: Modena has shown a reasonable performance away from home, with 40% of its matches ending in draws and 20% in victories. This, coupled with an offensive potential of 57%, supports that Modena also has chances to win or draw.
3. Frosinone’s Defensive Inconsistencies: Frosinone has a relatively weak defensive potential at home, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match. This suggests that Modena could score even when playing away. Therefore, there is a high probability that the match will end either in a draw or with a Modena win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Over the last 5 home matches of Frosinone, the majority of them (60%) have resulted in a draw with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match, indicating a trend towards low-scoring matches.
2. Modena has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 away matches, which is below the average of 2.5 goals that is the threshold for our Under 2.5 bet.
3. Both teams have a higher defensive potential than offensive potential (79% for Frosinone and 36% for Modena). This defensive trend may limit the number of goals scored during the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown some defensive vulnerability in their respective last 5 matches. Frosinone has conceded 10 goals at home while Modena has conceded 4 goals away, indicating a tendency to conceed goals.

2. Despite not having a high win percentage, both teams have shown they can score goals, with an average of 1.2 goals per match for Frosinone and 1.6 for Modena, indicating some offensive potential.

3. Looking at the results of their recent matches, there have been a good number of matches where both teams have scored. For Frosinone at home, this has occurred in 2 out of their 5 matches and for Modena away in 2 of their matches as well. This means it is common for both teams to score in their respective matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Draw”

Bet on the exact result

Frosinone 1-1 Modena.

1. Frosinone has a strong tendency to draw at home, doing so in 60% of cases in their last 5 matches, which is a strong indicator for a draw score like 1-1.
2. The average number of goals scored and conceded by Frosinone and Modena in their last 5 matches corresponds to a final score of 1-1. Frosinone averages 1.2 goals per match at home, while Modena averages 1.6 goals per match away.
3. Frosinone and Modena have relatively high defensive statistics. Frosinone’s defensive potential is at 79% and Modena’s at 36%; these numbers indicate an ability to limit goals conceded, suggesting a tighter match and a low final score such as 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Frosinone, in their last 5 home matches, have had a mixed record: 1 win and 3 draws. Unfortunately, they have conceded 10 goals, averaging 2.2 per match.

On the other hand, Modena, in their last 5 away matches, have shown similar performance with 1 win and 2 draws. Their attack is slightly more effective, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

The match appears to be evenly balanced. However, Frosinone struggles to secure victories at home, with only a 20% success rate. Modena, on the other hand, is not more successful away from home: also 20% wins.

The goal statistics suggest that the total score of the match could be low. Less than 3.5 goals have been scored in 100% of recent cases for Frosinone at home and Modena away.

Both teams have rarely managed to score in the same match, as evidenced by a 100% success rate for “both teams to not score”.

Based on these figures, the prediction could lean towards a low-scoring match and potentially a draw.

The potential number of goals

Frosinone, at home, has a 20% win rate in the last 5 matches, with a high number of draws (60%). With 6 goals scored and 10 conceded, their defense leaves something to be desired. Their offensive potential is at 43%, while defense is only at 79%.

On the other hand, Modena has a 20% win rate away from home. Their 4 goals scored and 4 conceded reflect a solid defense. They have an offensive potential of 57% and a defense of 36%.

Past scores of Frosinone at home show inconsistency: sometimes they score, sometimes they don’t. Modena’s away matches show some consistency with frequent goals scored.

The probability seems to indicate that both teams will not score (100% probability) and that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match (100% probability). It appears that this match will be low-scoring in terms of offense.

In conclusion, given Frosinone’s instability and Modena’s solid defense, a safe bet would be to wager on under 3.5 total goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Frosinone and Modena appears to be an interesting spectacle for bettors. Statistics indicate a high likelihood of a draw with a tendency towards low scores, which is crucial when considering the Over/Under 2.5 option. The “Draw” bet seems to be a particularly attractive value bet, given the historical performance of Frosinone at home and Modena away. Bets on both teams to score should also be considered due to their defensive vulnerability shown in previous matches. Finally, for punters looking to bet on the exact score, a 1-1 scoreline could be an appealing option based on the average goals scored and conceded. Keep considering these key factors to maximize your betting experience on Frosinone vs Modena in Serie B.