Tipps Frosinone Salernitana Serie A 26/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Frosinone wins the match”

1. Recent performance comparison: In their last 5 home matches, Frosinone has been more successful in terms of maintaining a draw with a rate of 60%, while Salernitana struggles to win or maintain a draw away from home.

2. Offensive and defensive potential evaluation: Frosinone has slightly better performance in both attack and defense compared to Salernitana. With a home offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 43%, Frosinone is better positioned than Salernitana, which has an away offensive potential of only 21% and defensive potential of 86%.

3. Direct match result probability: Success probability statistics indicate a 67.03% chance for Frosinone to win the match compared to a 13.74% chance for Salernitana.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Low scoring statistics: Both teams have scored a low number of goals in their last 5 matches (Frosinone scored 5 goals and Salernitana 4 goals). Additionally, Frosinone does not have a remarkable home performance, indicating a low probability of a high-scoring match.

2. Low offensive potential: Both teams have shown a low offensive potential in their last 5 matches, with Frosinone having a 36% potential at home and Salernitana only having a 21% potential away. This means they are not likely to score many goals.

3. Defensive performances: Salernitana has a high defensive potential away (86%), which could influence the number of goals scored by Frosinone. Despite Frosinone conceding a slightly higher average of goals (1.2 goals per match), the combination of these defensive elements implies a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Based on the last 5 matches, Frosinone, although not securing victory, managed to score goals in each of their home matches, totaling 5 goals. Similarly, Salernitana has been able to score despite their away losses, tallying a total of 4 goals.

2. Statistics also show that both teams have relatively weak defenses, each conceding 8 goals in their recent matches – Frosinone at home and Salernitana away. This suggests that both teams are likely to allow the other to score.

3. Lastly, the probability of both teams scoring has been given as 56.04%, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (43.96%). This statistic further confirms that, based on the available data, it is more likely that both teams will manage to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Frosinone 1-0 Salernitana.

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Frosinone has scored an average of 1 goal per game, which aligns with the predicted score. Furthermore, their offensive potential at home is at 36%, enhancing the likelihood of scoring a goal against Salernitana.

2. In Salernitana’s last 5 away games, they have failed to secure a win, only managing one draw and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game. Their defensive potential is particularly weak away from home (86%), giving Frosinone a great opportunity to score at least once.

3. Probability success statistics suggest that it is more likely for Frosinone to win the match (67.03%) or for it to end in a draw (19.23%) than for Salernitana to win (13.74%). Moreover, the “Frosinone win or draw” option has a high success probability of 86.26%. These figures support the 1-0 prediction in favor of Frosinone.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Frosinone, at home, has not won in the last 5 matches, but ended in a draw 3 times. They have averaged 1 goal per match while conceding 1.2 per match. Salernitana, away, also has no victories in the last 5 games with a low average score of 0.6 goals per match and a high 2.4 goals conceded per match.

The odds favor Frosinone with a 1.52 odds demonstrating an advantage. A 67.03% probability of winning. A draw remains a viable option at a 19.23% probability.

In terms of goals, there seems to be a trend towards higher scores; ‘Over 1.5 goals in the match’ exhibits a success probability of 82.97% with an interesting odds of 1.19. There appears to be a reasonable chance of both teams scoring at a 56.04% probability.

Based on recent performances, Frosinone has held their own against strong teams like AS Roma and AC Milan. Salernitana has shown weaknesses against Udinese and Inter Milan. The match will be tight, but the data favors Frosinone to win with a probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

In their last 5 matches, Frosinone has shown little offensive efficiency but a strong defense at home, while Salernitana has struggled to score goals and defend away from home. Frosinone has scored 5 goals at home while conceding 8, whereas Salernitana has struggled away from home with only 4 goals scored against 8 conceded.

Frosinone has an offensive potential of 36% and Salernitana 21%, while Frosinone displays a solid defense at 43% compared to Salernitana’s fragile defense at 86%.

In terms of probability, Frosinone has a 67.03% chance of winning the match. A draw is less likely at 19.23%. Salernitana is even less favored at 13.74%.

Predicting less than 1.5 goals in the match is risky with odds of 4.75, while more than 1.5 goals is more likely with a 82.97% chance.

Analyzing their recent matches, Frosinone has had consecutive draws at home against Bologna, Lazio Rome, Lecce, and AS Roma, with some losses. On the other hand, Salernitana has suffered consecutive losses away from home against Lazio Rome, Bologna, Cagliari, Udinese, and Inter Milan, with only one draw.

In conclusion, it seems reasonable to predict a Frosinone win with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, taking into account all the analytical and statistical elements presented in the article, it seems that Frosinone is favored to win this match against Salernitana. An exact score of 1-0 for Frosinone also seems to be a credible bet. However, football is unpredictable and anything can happen during the match in question. A bold but potentially profitable bet would be a wager on a draw considering the recent performances of Frosinone at home and Salernitana away. As for the number of goals, the statistics and offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams suggest a match with less than 2.5 goals. Finally, given the recent performances of both teams, it is likely that both teams will score during the match. That being said, every sports bet carries a risk so it is important to bet responsibly.