Tipps FSV Mainz 05 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Mainz wins the match

1. Analyzing Mainz’s home performances, we can see that they have a high win rate of 60% in their last 5 matches. Additionally, their offensive potential at home is higher (57%) than that of Hoffenheim away from home (50%).

2. Hoffenheim has a low 20% win rate away from home in their last 5 matches, and their defensive potential is weaker (71%). Furthermore, they have conceded more goals (12) compared to Mainz (10) in the last 5 matches.

3. The probabilities given suggest a higher chance of victory for Mainz (47.02%) compared to Hoffenheim (30.46%), reinforcing the prediction of a Mainz win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive statistics of both teams are strong: Mainz scored 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Hoffenheim scored 9 goals in their last 5 away matches. This indicates a good potential for goals in the match.
2. The defenses of both teams are also leaky, with Mainz conceding 10 goals at home and Hoffenheim conceding 12 goals away in their last 5 matches. Therefore, both teams are expected to score and potentially exceed the 2.5 goals threshold.
3. Based on the odds provided, the bet for over 2.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 61.59%, which is significant. Additionally, the bet that both teams will score has a probability of 66.23%, indicating that bookmakers also expect a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

“Both teams score: Yes”

1. The offensive potential of Mainz at home is 57% with an average of 1.8 goals per match, and the offensive potential of Hoffenheim away is 50% with an average of 1.4 goals per match, meaning both teams have a high likelihood of scoring.
2. Both teams have weak defensive performance, with a defensive potential of 64% for Mainz and 71% for Hoffenheim, indicating they are likely to concede goals.
3. The results of the last 5 matches for each team show that they both have a tendency to score and concede goals, suggesting a strong possibility of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Hoffenheim wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Mainz 2-1 Hoffenheim

1. Home Performances: Mainz, in their last 5 home matches, won 60% of the time, averaging 1.6 goals per match. This shows a strong offensive performance that could see them score 2 goals.

2. Away Performances: Hoffenheim, in their last 5 away matches, averaged 1.4 goals per match and conceded an average of 2 goals per match, indicating a 71% defensive vulnerability. This could explain Mainz scoring 2 goals and Hoffenheim scoring a goal.

3. Both Teams to Score – In 66.23% of cases, both teams score in their matches. This supports the prediction that both Mainz and Hoffenheim could score in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Mainz has been performing well at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, despite a mixed defensive record (10 goals conceded). On the other hand, Hoffenheim has struggled away from home with only a 20% win rate and a weaker defense (12 goals conceded).

In terms of attack, Mainz averages 1.6 goals per home game, while Hoffenheim scores an average of 1.4 goals per away game, indicating a slightly higher offensive potential for Mainz.

The prediction of “Mainz to win” seems appealing with odds of 1.98 and a 47.02% chance of success. However, a draw or a Mainz win seems safer, with a 69.54% chance of success and odds of 1.32.

In terms of the number of goals, there is a high probability (86.09%) of there being more than 1.5 goals, with attractive odds of 1.18. Furthermore, a more offensive match can be expected with a 61.59% probability of more than 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.55.

Looking at previous encounters, it is common for both teams to score (66.23% probability, odds of 1.52), which may explain the offensive risk present in this match.

In conclusion, a Mainz win or a match with over 1.5 goals seem to be interesting predictions for this match.

The potential number of goals

Mainz shows a strong form at home with a 60% win rate. However, they have conceded more goals (10) than they have scored (9). Hoffenheim, on the other hand, is less successful away from home with only a 20% win rate and a struggling defense that has conceded 12 goals.

The probability of success for Mainz is estimated at 47.02%, which is higher than Hoffenheim’s rate of 30.46%. It appears that Mainz has an advantage.

Mainz’s offense averages 1.6 goals per match, slightly higher than Hoffenheim’s average of 1.4.

There is a 61.59% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, a trend supported by the recent history of both teams. Additionally, there is a 66.23% probability that both teams will score.

Based on these statistics, a possible prediction could be a Mainz victory with over 2.5 goals in the match. This is a biased summary but based on the provided data.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Mainz and Hoffenheim appears to favor Mainz, especially due to their more competitive home performance and slightly superior offensive efficiency. However, Hoffenheim’s tendency to score goals away from home, coupled with a weakened defensive performance from Mainz, could lead to a match where both teams score. Therefore, while a Mainz victory seems like the expected outcome, a scenario where the match ends with a score of 2-1 in favor of Mainz could also be conceivable.

From a betting perspective, a score of over 2.5 goals seems like a safe option given the high probability (61.59%) and recent offensive performances of both teams. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring also seems probable with a success rate of 66.23%.

Nevertheless, as always in sports betting, it is important to understand that all these predictions are based on statistics and trends, and the actual result could differ. Furthermore, it is crucial to bet responsibly.