Tipps Fulham Leicester Premier League 24/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Fulham wins the match.

1. Fulham has had a quite strong performance at home with a defensive potential of 36% and managed to secure a draw in 80% of cases in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have a 51.27% chance of winning the match according to the probabilities, which is very favorable.

2. Leicester City has shown a weak performance away from home with a low chance of winning the match at 16.24% according to the probabilities, and they also have a weak offensive potential (21%) when playing away.

3. Even though both teams have scored a similar number of goals in their last 5 matches, Leicester City has conceded more goals, indicating that Fulham’s defense is comparatively stronger. Furthermore, the probability of “Draw or Fulham wins the match” is very high at 83.76%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. There is a trend of low-scoring matches for Fulham at home, with a total of 3 goals scored in their last 5 games. The same trend is seen in their defense, having conceded 4 goals in 5 matches.
2. Leicester City has been less prolific offensively when playing away, averaging 0.6 goals per game in their last 5 away matches, meaning their contribution to the total score could be limited.
3. The probability index indicates a success rate of 50.76% for over 2.5 goals, suggesting that the opposite prediction – under 2.5 goals – could have a similar success probability, supported by the recent performances of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Recent Performance Analysis: In their last 5 home matches, Fulham scored in 60% of the cases (3 goals in 5 matches) and Leicester City scored in 80% of their away matches (4 goals in 5 matches). The success probabilities for the “Both teams to score” scenario are thus 53.3% according to these recent encounters.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Fulham has an offensive potential of 57% by averaging 1.6 goals per home match and a weak defense with a defensive potential of 36%. On the other hand, Leicester City shows a low offensive potential of 21% away but an average defense with a defensive potential of 50%. These factors increase the chances of both teams scoring.

3. Head-to-Head History: Based on each team’s recent matches – Fulham playing at home and Leicester City playing away – both tend to score and concede goals, creating a likely scenario where both teams score in this match. Fulham has scored in each of their home matches against Sevilla, Crystal Palace, and Liverpool, while Leicester City has scored against Shrewsbury, Villarreal, and Preston North End.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Leicester City wins the match – 2.15

Bet on the exact result

Fulham 1-1 Leicester City

1. Fulham has a very high draw rate at home, with an 80% draw rate in their last 5 matches. This indicates that Fulham tends to be strong at home, even though their win rate is low.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive performance, Fulham and Leicester have relatively balanced statistics, with around 0.6 goals per match away for Leicester and 1.6 goals per match at home for Fulham. Additionally, both teams have similar defensive potential, with Fulham at 36% and Leicester at 50%, indicating a high potential for a draw.

3. The total number of goals scored and conceded by these two teams in their recent matches corresponds to a 1-1 scoreline. In their last five matches, Fulham scored 3 goals and conceded 4 goals at home, while Leicester scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals away. These numbers support the idea of a balanced and competitive match leading to a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fulham at home is on a streak of draws at 80%. Leicester City away has a significant win rate of 60%. Leicester has an offensive potential of 21%, but has conceded more goals (8 against Fulham’s 4).

In the last few Fulham matches, they have scored an average of 1.6 goals, showing an offensive potential of 57% but with a weak defense at 36%. Leicester seems less comfortable away with an average goals scored of 0.6 but a stronger defense at 50%.

The probability of Fulham winning is higher at 51.27%, rewarded at 1.78. On the other hand, a Leicester victory is only at 16.24%, with odds at 4.65. A draw is plausible at 32.49% with interesting odds at 3.95.

A match with over 1.5 goals seems likely at 80.2% given Fulham’s offensive potential. Over 2.5 goals are assessed at 50.76% chances and could be a risky but interesting bet.

Both teams have around 53.3% chances of scoring, slightly higher probability than both teams not scoring (46.7%).

The potential number of goals

Fulham, at home, has not won any of their last 5 matches but has managed to draw 80% of the time. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4 during these matches. Their offensive potential is quite strong at 57%, but their defense needs improvement at 36%.

Leicester City, in their last 5 away games, have secured 60% of victories. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Their offensive efficiency is relatively low at 21%, but their defense is solid at 50%.

The statisticians prefer Fulham to win the match with a probability of 51.27%, offering odds of 1.78. However, this result is far from certain, with the draw estimated at 32.49% chance with odds of 3.95.

Regarding the number of goals scored during the match, there is an 80.2% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals, at odds of 1.27. However, the probability decreases to 50.76% for more than 2.5 goals with odds of 1.81.

Referring to past performances, there is a 53.3% probability that both teams will score during the match, with odds of 1.75.

In conclusion, a Fulham victory with more than 1.5 goals in the match appears to be the most likely scenario according to the statistics.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, based on the analysis of recent performances and key statistics, it seems that Fulham has the advantage in the upcoming match against Leicester City due to their strong home record and Leicester City’s weak offensive potential on the road. Trends also suggest the match could be low-scoring, with likely less than 2.5 total goals. However, it is worth noting the possibility of both teams scoring. The most interesting bet could be “Draw or Leicester City to win” due to Leicester’s recent away performances and Fulham’s high rate of draws at home. Finally, a 1-1 exact score seems like a plausible outcome based on their recent matches and respective offensive and defensive statistics. As always in sports betting, while probabilities and statistics can provide an indication, the final result remains uncertain.