Tipps Fulham Liverpool Premier League 21/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Liverpool wins the match”

1. The percentage of victories for Liverpool in their recent away matches is better than Fulham’s home record (60% compared to 40%).
2. Even though Liverpool has conceded as many goals as they have scored in their recent away games, their offensive performance is superior to Fulham’s home record, with 12 goals scored compared to Fulham’s 10.
3. The odds and associated probabilities also favor Liverpool, with odds of 1.52 for an estimated win probability of 50%, compared to odds of 5.70 for an estimated win probability of 30% for Fulham. This indicates that bookmakers consider Liverpool as the favorite for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their last 5 matches are high: Fulham has scored 10 goals and conceded 11 goals at home, while Liverpool has scored 12 goals and conceded 12 goals away. This indicates an offensive playing style from both sides and a tendency for high-scoring matches.

2. Evaluating the offensive and defensive potential of both teams in their last 5 matches shows that they both have good offensive potential (64% for Fulham and 50% for Liverpool) and relatively weak defensive potential (50% for Fulham and 57% for Liverpool), which could lead to a high-scoring match.

3. Finally, the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a fairly high probability of success at 60%. Furthermore, the results of Fulham’s recent home matches and Liverpool’s away matches have often seen over 2.5 goals, strengthening the argument in favor of this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both Fulham and Liverpool have an average of goals per match higher than 1 in their last 5 matches, with Fulham at 1.8 and Liverpool at 1.4, demonstrating enough offensive potential to suggest that each team will score a goal.

2. The defenses of both teams have been fragile, as evidenced by Fulham conceding a total of 11 goals at home in their last 5 matches and Liverpool conceding 12 goals away in their last 5 matches. This results in an average of over 1.4/1.6 goals conceded per match, leaving ample room to anticipate both teams scoring in the match.

3. Both teams have mixed results: Fulham has won 60% of their home matches and Liverpool has won 60% of their away matches. This level of performance suggests that neither team will dominate the other to the point of preventing them from scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Fulham 1-2 Liverpool

1. Match history: In their last 5 matches, Liverpool has an average of 1.4 goals scored per match while Fulham has an average of 1.8 goals. This suggests that Liverpool has a strong defensive capability, whereas Fulham has a strong offensive potential at home.

2. Offensive and defensive capability: Fulham has a 64% offensive potential at home, indicating a strong ability to score, but also a 50% defensive potential, meaning they can also concede goals. Meanwhile, Liverpool has a 50% offensive rating and 57% defensive rating away, suggesting they are well balanced in both attack and defense.

3. Betting statistics: The success probabilities show that Liverpool has a 50% chance of winning the match, with odds of 1.52, while Fulham has a 30% success rate with odds of 5.70. Furthermore, there is a 60% probability that more than 2.5 goals will be scored in the match. These statistics lean towards a Liverpool victory with a likely score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fulham, not bad at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals but conceded 11, a bit delicate.

Liverpool, equally good, has won 60% of their last 5 away games. Their record of 12 goals scored and 12 conceded shows balance.

On average, Fulham scores 1.8 goals per home game and concedes 1.4. This contrasts with Liverpool, who score 1.4 goals away but concede 1.6.

According to the probabilities, Liverpool has a 50% chance of winning, with odds of 1.52. This odds are more favorable than expected.

For goals, betting on over 1.5 goals in the match has a 70% chance of success, with odds of 1.13. This reflects a high likelihood of a lively match.

Looking at past matchups, Fulham has managed to hold their own against strong teams at home, like their 3-0 win against Tottenham. Liverpool has shown their strength away, like their 5-1 win against Sparta Praha.

Overall, Liverpool seems to have the edge, but Fulham’s recent form at home should not be overlooked. A close match is expected with interesting odds for both teams to score at 1.51.

The potential number of goals

Fulham shows good form at home with a 60% win rate. Meanwhile, Liverpool also boasts a similar success rate in away matches.

Fulham has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home games and conceded 11. Their offensive potential is at 64% and defensive at 50%. Liverpool, as the visiting team, has scored 12 goals and also conceded 12. Their offensive potential stands at 50% and defensive at 57%.

The odds suggest a likely Liverpool win with a 50% chance at 1.52. A draw or a win for either Fulham or Liverpool has probabilities of 50% at 2.66 and 70% at 1.14, respectively.

A trend emerges for a game with over 1.5 goals (70% chance at 1.13) and under 4.5 goals (60% chance at 1.34). The probabilities also lean towards both teams scoring (60% chance at 1.51).

Reviewing recent encounters, Fulham scores consistently at home and Liverpool often achieves draws in away games. A close match is expected, with a slight edge for Liverpool but chances for Fulham to score too.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the detailed analysis of the upcoming match between Fulham and Liverpool, it appears that Liverpool is the favorite based on the recent statistics of both teams, as well as the odds and probabilities offered by bookmakers. However, all aspects of the game such as offense and defense, the current and past form of the teams suggest that it will be a close and highly competitive match.

Betting on a Liverpool win would be the safest choice, but it would also be wise to consider other interesting bets such as “Over 2.5 goals in the match”, both teams to score, and “Under 3.5 goals in the match”. For the exact score prediction, a 2-1 victory for Liverpool seems to be a reasonably probable possibility, given the offensive trend of both teams and Liverpool’s defensive balance.

In summary, regardless of the match outcome, it promises to be full of action, goals, and exciting moments. Please bet responsibly.