Tipps FYR Macedonia Armenia UEFA Nations League 10/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or North Macedonia wins the match.

1. North Macedonia has a better home performance compared to Armenia’s away performance. Considering the last 5 matches, North Macedonia has won or drawn in 40% of cases while Armenia has neither won nor drawn in their away matches.

2. The calculated probability strongly favors a draw or a North Macedonia win with a success probability of 73.06%. In comparison, the option where Armenia wins or there is a draw has a success probability of 60.1%.

3. Offensive and defensive potential analysis: North Macedonia has a higher defensive potential, 57%, compared to Armenia’s 50%. They also have a better goal record at home than Armenia does away, averaging 0.6 goals per match compared to Armenia’s 0.8. This suggests a higher probability that North Macedonia will win or the match will end in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performance of these two teams is quite low. In their last 5 home games, North Macedonia scores an average of 0.6 goals per match, while Armenia scores an average of 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 away games. This suggests a low probability of a high-scoring game.

2. Previous matches between these two teams also show a tendency towards low-scoring games. In previous matches between North Macedonia and Armenia, the total number of goals has never exceeded 4.

3. The odds offered for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.85, indicating a high likelihood of the match ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. Additionally, the probability % of success for different bets regarding the total number of goals in the match (over/under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals) shows a clear trend towards a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. North Macedonia has managed to score in all of their last 5 home matches, despite their low win rate, indicating a certain consistent offensive performance.
2. Armenia, although they haven’t won in their last 5 away matches, have managed to score in 3 of them, showcasing their ability to find the back of the net even in unfavorable conditions.
3. Statistics show a 64.25% likelihood of success for “Both Teams to Score.” Furthermore, in their previous match at home in North Macedonia, both teams scored (North Macedonia 3 – 1 Armenia), further reinforcing the likelihood of this scenario.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 3.55

Bet on the exact result

North Macedonia 1-1 Armenia

1. Match history: Looking at the match history, especially the last head-to-head match between North Macedonia and Armenia at home resulting in a 3-1 victory for North Macedonia. This demonstrates the competitiveness between the two teams and could potentially lead to a 1-1 draw.

2. Recent performance: The win percentage of North Macedonia at home and Armenia away is relatively low (20% and 0% respectively). Furthermore, their recent past scores indicate that they struggle to score many goals per match, suggesting that the exact score of 1-1 has a fairly high probability of occurring.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: North Macedonia has a 21% offensive potential and 57% defensive potential at home, while Armenia has a 29% offensive potential and 50% defensive potential away. These figures seem to indicate that both teams have a moderate attacking capability combined with a solid defense, which could result in a relatively balanced match and the final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

North Macedonia shows a tendency to balance things at home with 20% of wins and 20% of draws, scoring 8 goals and conceding 11. It’s a team that is not dominant at home.

On the other hand, Armenia struggles away from home with no wins or draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored only 3 goals and conceded 5.

In terms of potential, North Macedonia at home scores an average of 0.6 goals and concedes 1.6 goals per match. Armenia away from home scores more with an average of 0.8 goals but also concedes more with 1.4 goals per match.

The probability gives North Macedonia a higher chance of winning at 39.9% with odds of 2.14, the draw is at 33.16% (odds of 3.55) and Armenia is at a rate of 26.94% (odds of 3.20).

A bet of under 1.5 goals in the match offers odds of 3.50, while over 1.5 goals is likely at 76.17% with odds of 1.28.

Based on recent statistics, North Macedonia and Armenia both scoring in the same match stands at a probability of 64.25% (odds of 1.73).

Finally, based on previous matches, the last home encounter between North Macedonia and Armenia resulted in a 3-1 victory for North Macedonia.

The potential number of goals

North Macedonia performs better at home, winning and drawing in 20% of cases. They have an offensive strength of 21% and a defensive strength of 57%. On the other hand, Armenia struggles away from home, having not won or drawn in their last 5 matches. Their offensive strength is 29% with a defense at 50%.

Nevertheless, there is a high probability (73.06%) that the match will end in a draw or a victory for North Macedonia. This comes with odds of 1.35.

Let’s analyze the goals. Statistically, the likelihood of the match having over 1.5 goals is 76.17%, with odds of 1.28. On the other hand, there is a high chance of a match with less than 4.5 goals, at 95.85%, which could interest those looking for a safer bet.

Finally, in 64.25% of cases, both teams score. This indicates the offensive openness of both teams despite having average defenses.

In summary, a potentially open match, with a slight advantage for North Macedonia at home, and a high probability of seeing multiple goals. An interesting bet would be to wager on over 1.5 goals being scored during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, this clash between North Macedonia and Armenia promises to be a balanced encounter. Considering their respective performances and past statistics, the probability favors a draw or a win for North Macedonia. However, the match is expected to have a low score, given the limited attacking potential of both teams.

Reflecting this scenario, the most probable exact score seems to be a 1-1 draw based on the teams’ moderate attacking capabilities and solid defense. Additionally, it is highly likely that at least two goals will be scored during the match, providing an interesting betting opportunity.

Nevertheless, it is important to remember that all sports betting involves risks and should be done responsibly, with information based on thorough analysis and some football knowledge. This forecast provides a detailed analysis, but the final outcome remains unpredictable as with any sporting competition. Good luck with your bets!