Tipps Galway United Derry City Premier Division 30/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the data and statistics provided, my prediction for the Galway United – Derry City match would be: Galway United to win the match.

1. Galway United’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Galway United has experienced several significant victories, including a 6-0 win against Longford Town and a 3-0 win against Drogheda United. They have the home advantage and have secured at least a point in every home match, indicating a strong home performance.

2. Derry City’s away performance: According to the data, Derry City struggles to maintain a consistent performance away from home. In their last 5 away matches, they have lost twice, including a 2-0 loss against the Magpies and a 2-1 loss against Sligo Rovers. Their away performance is therefore less impressive than Galway United’s home performance.

3. Offensive statistics: Offensive statistics show that Galway United scored a total of 12 goals in their last 5 home matches, compared to Derry City who only managed to score 3 goals in their last 5 away matches. Galway United therefore has a better offensive performance compared to Derry City.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The recent statistics of both teams illustrate a low offensive potential. Galway United has only scored an average of 1 goal per home match, while Derry City has only scored an average of 1.2 goals away in their last 5 matches. Thus, the total goals could be quite low, supporting the Under 2.5 goals bet.

2. Derry City has a very strong defensive record in their away games, conceding only 0.2 goals on average per match. Coupled with the fact that Galway United concedes an average of 1 goal per home match, this suggests a game where defenses could prevail over attacks, resulting in a final score with less than 2.5 goals.

3. The performance of these two teams in their previous matches indicates a high likelihood of less than 2.5 goals being scored. The scores of Galway United’s recent home matches often contain 1 or 2 goals, as do Derry City’s away matches. These observations suggest a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Based on recent performances, both teams have shown good offensive form with Galway averaging 1 goal per home match and Derry averaging 1.2 goals per away match. This indicates potential for both teams to score.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams show weaknesses, with Galway conceding an average of 1 goal per home match and Derry conceding an average of 0.2 goals per away match. These trends suggest a possibility for both teams to concede goals.

3. Analysis of recent matches highlights a certain predictability in both teams scoring goals. For Galway, 4 of their last 5 home matches have seen the team score at least one goal. As for Derry City, they have scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Galway United 1-1 Derry City

1. The average goals scored and conceded by Galway United at home in their last 5 games is around 1 goal per match, which could explain a goal being scored in this match.
2. Derry City also has an average of around 1 goal scored and 0.2 goals conceded in their away games in their last 5 matches, which could justify a potential equalizer in this match.
3. The recent home games of Galway United and away games of Derry City have shown a trend towards draws or tight results, making a prediction of a 1-1 draw plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Galway United has shown strength at home, with 60% of wins in their last 5 matches. They are equally effective in both attack and defense, having scored 12 goals and conceded 12.

On the other hand, Derry City has had mixed performances away, with only 40% wins and 20% draws. Their offensive and defensive record is weak, having scored only 3 goals and conceded 5.

Galway’s recent home games have mostly been victories, except for a draw against St Patrick’s Athletic and Bohemians.

Derry City, on the other hand, has had good performances in their away matches against Waterford United and Cork City, but suffered losses against Magpies and Sligo Rovers.

According to statistics, less than 3.5 goals will be scored with a success probability of 100%. Both teams are unlikely to score, with a success probability of 100%.

Overall, the match seems to be closely contested, but with Galway having a slight advantage at home.

The potential number of goals

Galway United has a 60% home win rate with 12 goals scored and conceded, an average score of 1 goal per match. Derry City has won 40% of their away matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 goals conceded.
Galway’s offensive efficiency is 36%, similar to their defense. Derry’s offensive potential is slightly higher at 43%, however, their defense is stronger with a potential of 7%.
The match could be tight given their respective records. Galway managed to score 6 goals against Longford Town and 3 against Drogheda United. Derry has also shown strong performances with wins against Waterford and Cork City.
However, no statistics indicate a clear probability of victory for either team or a trend towards a draw, explaining the 0% probability for these predictions.
Nevertheless, both teams tend to score less than 3.5 goals per match. Additionally, a 100% probability suggests that at least one of the teams will not score. A low-scoring encounter seems probable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the previous performances of both teams and their offensive and defensive capabilities, the match between Galway United and Derry City is expected to be highly competitive. With the home advantage and a strong performance at home, Galway United appears slightly favored, although Derry City cannot be ruled out.

In terms of betting, the prognosis favors a match with fewer than 2.5 goals scored. Indeed, both teams have not shown strong offensive performances in their recent matches. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring seems low, although some data suggests otherwise.

An interesting bet could be on the exact score, with a prediction of a 1-1 draw. This is based on the fact that both teams tend to score approximately 1 goal per match and have had fairly tight results in their respective encounters.

Of course, while these predictions are based on past data and trends, the outcome of a football match can always be unpredictable and influenced by many unquantifiable factors, such as injuries, weather, and the players’ morale. It is therefore always recommended to bet with caution.