Tipps Galway United Drogheda United Premier Division 13/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Galway United wins the match.

1. Galway United has a higher home win percentage (40% compared to Drogheda United’s 0% away) indicating that they are more comfortable on their own turf.
2. The offensive and defensive potential of Galway United is superior to that of Drogheda United. They score on average more goals per match (1.2) and concede fewer (1.2) compared to Drogheda United (1 goal scored and 2.2 goals conceded on average).
3. Based on statistics, Galway United has a probability of winning the match of 59.47%, which is significantly higher than the probability of a draw (26.84%) or a victory for Drogheda United (13.68%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The analysis of the last 5 matches of Galway United and Drogheda United shows a low offensive efficiency from both teams, with an average of less than 1.5 goals scored per match for each.
2. Drogheda United has a poor away performance, not winning any of its last 5 matches and scoring an average of 1 goal per match, reducing the likelihood of a high number of goals in the match.
3. Based on the history of both teams, Galway United’s defense at home is quite solid, conceding an average of 1.2 goals, and Drogheda United’s defensive potential is very high at 79% despite their away results, making the probability of the match ending with fewer than 2.5 goals quite high.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Galway United’s strong home performance: In their last 5 home matches, they have managed to keep a clean sheet three times. This shows that they have a strong defense at home that could prevent Drogheda United from scoring.

2. Drogheda United’s poor offensive performance in away matches: In their last 5 away games, Drogheda United has only scored four goals in total and has conceded at least one goal each time. This indicates an offensive weakness when they play away.

3. Recent match trends point to a low score: Most recent matches involving Galway United and Drogheda United have seen fewer than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, “Under 3.5 goals in the match” has an 83.16% chance of success. This suggests that this match will likely be a low-scoring encounter, reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Galway United 1-0 Drogheda United.

1. Recent home form of Galway United: In their last 5 home matches, Galway United has won 40% of the games and remained unbeaten against strong teams such as Dundalk and Shelbourne. Their defense appears solid, having conceded only 5 goals in these matches.

2. Recent away performances of Drogheda United: Drogheda United’s results on the road have been relatively poor, with no wins and 8 goals conceded in 5 matches. Their defensive capabilities seem to be a concern, which could benefit Galway United.

3. Probabilities associated with Galway United: The very high probability share (86.32%) given to the combination “draw or Galway United wins the match” shows that Galway United is considered by bookmakers to be significantly more likely to not lose this match. The prediction regarding the number of goals scored, indicating a high probability that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored (83.16% success rate), suggests a low-scoring match, consistent with a final score of 1-0.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Galway United is showing strong form at home, with 2 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches. They have conceded 5 goals, but their offensive/defensive potential is balanced at 43%.

On the other hand, Drogheda United is struggling away from home, with no wins and only a single draw in their last 5 games. They have a weak offensive potential of 36% and concede an average of 2.2 goals per match.

The odds favor Galway United, with a 59.47% chance of winning. The draw has a 26.84% chance, while Drogheda United has only a 13.68% chance.

In terms of goals, there is a 76.32% probability of seeing over 1.5 goals, and an 83.16% probability of seeing under 3.5 goals.

In summary, the match leans towards Galway at home with a good probability of goals, based on recent performances.

The potential number of goals

According to the statistics, Galway United has an average performance at home with a one in two victory rate. Its offensive potential is at 43%, but its defense has weaknesses as it has conceded 5 goals.

On the other hand, Drogheda United lacks strength when playing away, with no recorded victories. Its scoring ability is limited to one goal per match, and its defense is relatively leaky, conceding more than two goals per match.

It appears likely that Galway United will dominate this match. The probability of them winning this match stands at 59.47%.

The chances of a draw are lower, at 26.84%, while Drogheda’s victory seems unlikely at only 13.68%.

As for the number of goals, there is an 83.16% chance of less than 3.5 goals being scored. This suggests a potentially close match with an advantage for Galway.

Ultimately, both teams have a 50% chance of scoring, indicating a balanced match at that level.

In summary, the most likely outcome seems to be a victory for Galway, with less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

The confrontation between Galway United and Drogheda United is set to be intense with a significant advantage for Galway United. Statistical analysis highlights Galway United’s strong potential at home, with a success rate of 59.47%. Furthermore, their defensive performance seems more solid, which limits Drogheda United’s chances of scoring a goal.

The number of goals in the match is also a crucial element to consider. The trend suggests that the total number of goals should be under 2.5 due to the low offensive output of both teams and a strong defensive potential, especially from Galway United at home.

Therefore, the interesting value bet to consider here is for a total of goals under 2.5 for this match. Given the offensive and defensive performances of both teams, it is highly likely that the match will result in a low score.

Lastly, the prediction for the exact score favors a 1-0 victory for Galway United. This aligns with the recent performances of both teams. Hence, for bettors, a win for Galway United with under 2.5 total goals seems to be the most probable scenario for this match.