Tipps Galway United Shelbourne Premier Division 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Shelbourne wins the match

1. The probability of Shelbourne winning is higher: With a 45.6% probability of success compared to 28.02% for Galway United, the forecast heavily favors Shelbourne as the potential winner of the match.

2. Shelbourne’s recent away performances are better: In their last 5 away matches, Shelbourne has obtained three wins, one draw, and one loss, while Galway has had three wins, one draw, and one loss at home. Although the difference is not huge, it slightly leans in favor of Shelbourne.

3. Goal management: Both teams have the same average goals scored/goals conceded ratio (1), but when looking at Shelbourne’s recent away matches, they have managed to keep a clean sheet twice and won three times, showcasing their ability to manage both defensively and offensively.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics from both teams show balanced offensive and defensive performances. Galway United and Shelbourne both score and concede an average of 1 goal per match, which could indicate a low-scoring game.

2. Galway United’s recent home matches and Shelbourne’s away matches have mostly featured less than 2.5 goals. For instance, 4 out of Galway United’s last 5 home matches and 3 out of Shelbourne’s last 5 away matches have had less than 2.5 goals.

3. The betting odds favoring less than 2.5 goals in the match are higher compared to over 2.5 goals (58.24% vs. 41.76%), which may indicate a general trend towards expecting a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The defensive performance of both teams is quite strong. On average, Galway United and Shelbourne concede only 1 goal per match, indicating a strong defensive capability limiting the possibility of both teams scoring in this match.
2. Shelbourne has a relatively weak offensive performance away, with an average of 1 goal per match in its last 5 matches. Therefore, there is a high probability that Shelbourne will fail to score against Galway United at home.
3. Recent home matches for Galway United and away matches for Shelbourne show that it is quite common for only one team to score. In Galway United’s home matches, there are at least two instances where the opposing team did not score. Similarly, in Shelbourne’s away matches, there are three instances where only Shelbourne or the opposing team scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Shelbourne wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Galway United 1-1 Shelbourne

1. The recent home performance of Galway United and the away performance of Shelbourne in their last 5 matches have both shown an average of scoring and conceding 1 goal per game. This indicates a high probability for a 1-1 draw.

2. The probability of a draw is relatively high at 26.37%, suggesting some level of parity between the two teams. Also, the odds for a draw or for each team to win being less than 2 highlight the potential for a closely contested match and potentially a draw.

3. Analyzing the recent home matches of Galway United and away matches of Shelbourne shows that both teams tend to have close scores, with each team often scoring 1 goal per game. This further strengthens the possibility of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Galway United is strong at home, winning 60% of their matches. They score and concede an average of one goal per match.

Shelbourne, when playing away, is less successful with only a 40% win rate. They have scored and conceded 4 goals in 5 matches.

The probabilities are in Shelbourne’s favor with a 45.6% chance of winning the match. However, a draw or a Galway United win is also possible at 54.4%.

There is a high likelihood (71.43%) of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match. This aligns with the trend of Galway United and Shelbourne scoring an average of one goal per match.

Both teams also have almost equal probabilities of scoring (47.25%) or not scoring (52.75%).

Given these factors, Shelbourne appears slightly favored, but a surprise from Galway United cannot be ruled out. An interesting betting strategy could be to bet on “Over 1.5 goals in the match”.

The potential number of goals

Galway United have shown decent form at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They have averaged 1 goal per game, both in attack and defense. This balance explains their win rate.

Venturing away, Shelbourne have won 40% of their last 5 matches. Their goal statistics mirror Galway’s, with an average of 1 goal scored and conceded per game.

In terms of win probabilities, Shelbourne seems to have the edge with a 45.6% chance of success, while Galway United has a 28.02% probability of winning. In the case of a draw, the odds are 26.37%.

In terms of goals, at least 1.5 goals are expected in the match with a high probability of 71.43%. The chance of seeing over 2.5 goals is 41.76%. The probability of both teams scoring is 47.25%.

Looking at previous matches, Galway United have proven their ability to score at home, with the exception of the match against Shamrock Rovers. On the other hand, Shelbourne has shown resilience by scoring in three of their last five outings.

Taking these data into account, betting on a low score and a Shelbourne victory seems intriguing.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion:

Based on detailed statistics and recent performances, Shelbourne is slightly favored to win this match against Galway United. The numbers indicate a win probability of 45.6%, despite the fact that the match is being played away for Shelbourne.

Furthermore, the match could potentially be low-scoring, with a higher likelihood of there being less than 2.5 goals in total. This is due to the solid and balanced defensive performances of both teams.

The “Both Teams to Score: No” option has been identified as probable based on Shelbourne’s relative offensive weakness away and Galway United’s strong defensive record at home.

As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw could be a good estimation given the average performances of both teams. However, with Shelbourne’s relatively high win probability, bets on this team could offer interesting value.

In summary, bettors should expect a tight match with potentially few goals and even chances for both teams. Bolder bettors may consider wagering on a Shelbourne win, which, while not guaranteed, presents some value based on the provided analysis.