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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Gamba Osaka Sagan Tosu
Tipps Gamba Osaka Sagan Tosu J1 League 14/04/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
“Gamba Osaka wins the match”
1. Gamba Osaka has a better home record, with a win rate of 40%, compared to Sagan Tosu who has not won any of their last 5 away matches.
2. The offensive and defensive potential of Gamba Osaka at home is higher than that of Sagan Tosu away. Gamba Osaka has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 36%. In contrast, Sagan Tosu has an offensive potential of 7% and a defensive potential of 86% away.
3. The calculated probability percentage also favors Gamba Osaka with a 48.02% chance of winning the match, compared to only 18.64% for Sagan Tosu.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Under 2.5 goals in the match”
1. Goal statistics show that both teams have a low average of goals per match recently, with Gamba Osaka scoring an average of 0.6 goals per home match and Sagan Tosu scoring only 0.2 goals per away match.
2. Looking at recent performances, the majority of Gamba Osaka’s home matches and Sagan Tosu’s away matches have seen less than 2.5 goals, indicating a continued trend.
3. The probability percentages for the match also show that the most likely scenario is under 2.5 goals in the match, with a success rate of 87.57% for under 3.5 goals and a success rate of only 44.07% for over 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Sagan Tosu’s weak offensive potential: away from home, Sagan Tosu has only scored an average of 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 appearances, indicating a low ability to score goals during this match.
2. Gamba Osaka’s strong defense: with an average of 1 goal conceded per match in their last 5 home games, Gamba Osaka has shown a good defensive capability. Additionally, they have not conceded any goals in 2 of their last 5 home matches.
3. History of low-scoring matches: in Gamba Osaka’s last five home matches, three of them had fewer than 1.5 goals, and in Sagan Tosu’s last five away matches, four of them had 3 goals or more, suggesting a match with very few goals in their current encounter.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw – 3.75
1. Performance history: Over their last 5 matches, both Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu have a 40% draw rate. While Gamba Osaka is slightly better at home with 40% win and draw rates respectively, Sagan Tosu has no wins away but still managed to draw in 40% of cases. Both teams therefore show a tendency to end in a draw.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Both Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu concede more goals than they score. Gamba Osaka averages 0.6 goals scored and 1 goal conceded at home. For Sagan Tosu, these numbers are further apart, with 0.2 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded away. This lack of offensive efficiency could also lead to a draw.
3. Probability of success: Based on probabilities, a draw has a 33.33% chance of occurring, which is the second highest probability after Gamba Osaka’s win. At odds of 3.75, this means bettors are willing to take the risk, as these statistics, combined with the poor form of both teams, make the draw prediction appealing.
Bet on the exact result
Gamba Osaka 1-0 Sagan Tosu
1. Gamba Osaka’s defensive potential at home is quite high (36%), meaning they tend to concede few goals, while Sagan Tosu’s offensive potential away is very low (only 7%), suggesting Sagan Tosu might struggle to score in this match.
2. Gamba Osaka’s home win rate is 40%, much higher than Sagan Tosu’s 0% away win rate. Additionally, there is a 48.02% probability of Gamba Osaka winning the match, higher than the probability of a draw or Sagan Tosu win.
3. In their previous home matches, Gamba Osaka has shown a tendency to win by a one-goal margin (such as against Jubilo Iwata and Albirex Niigata). Considering there is a 74.58% probability of there being over 1.5 goals in the match, it is plausible to predict Gamba Osaka winning the match with a 1-0 scoreline.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Gamba Osaka has a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate at home. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Sagan Tosu hasn’t won away and has a 40% draw rate. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5.
Gamba Osaka’s offensive potential at home is 21% with 0.6 goals per match, and their defensive potential is 36%, conceding 1 goal per match. For Sagan Tosu away, the offensive potential is low at 7% with 0.2 goals per match. They have an 86% defensive potential, conceding 2.4 goals per match.
The probabilities indicate a higher chance of victory for Gamba Osaka at 48.02% with odds of 1.72, while Sagan Tosu has a 18.64% chance of winning with odds of 4.50. The draw is at 33.33% with odds of 3.75.
The probability of Gamba Osaka winning or the match ending in a draw is 81.36% (odds of 1.15), while for Sagan Tosu, this probability is lower at 51.98% (odds of 2.05).
For goals in the match, the probability of over 1.5 goals is high at 74.58% (odds of 1.28), while the probability of over 2.5 goals is riskier at 44.07% (odds of 1.85).
Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is 48.59% (odds of 1.80), slightly lower than the probability of both teams not scoring at 51.41% (odds of 1.95).
In conclusion, based on these statistics, Gamba Osaka seems to have the advantage for this match. But, as always in football, anything can happen.
The potential number of goals
Gamba Osaka has shown consistent form at home, winning and drawing 40% of the time. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches. Their offensive and defensive potentials are 21% and 36% respectively.
On the other hand, Sagan Tosu has struggled away from home. They have not won a single time, with 4 goals scored and 5 goals conceded. Their very low offensive potential of 7% and high defensive potential of 86% reflect their difficulties.
The probability of Gamba Osaka winning the match is 48.02%, but a draw is also possible with a probability of 33.33%. Sagan Tosu has only an 18.64% chance of winning.
Less than 3.5 goals are expected in the match according to the probabilities of 87.57%. There is also a 74.58% chance that the match will see more than 1.5 goals.
The possibility of both teams scoring is almost equivalent to the chances of neither team scoring, with respective probabilities of 48.59% and 51.41%.
Looking at recent performances, Sagan Tosu has struggled away from home, suffering consecutive defeats. Gamba Osaka, on the other hand, has shown more positive form at home.
Based on this information, a low-scoring match can be predicted, likely in favor of Gamba Osaka.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
Based on the statistics, recent form of the teams, their offensive and defensive potential, and probabilities, Gamba Osaka seems to be the favorite to win this match at home against Sagan Tosu. However, the likelihood of a draw remains relatively high, considering Sagan Tosu’s inconsistent performance away from home and the recent trends of both teams not scoring many goals. The safest assumption here would therefore be a match with fewer than 2.5 goals, with a high probability of both teams not scoring. The exact score prediction could be a 1-0 win for Gamba Osaka. Nevertheless, as probabilities highlight, football is unpredictable and it is always important to approach any sports bet with caution.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Gamba Osaka against Sagan Tosu on 14/04/2024
1. Gamba Osaka has a better home record, with a win rate of 40%, compared to Sagan Tosu who has not won any of their last 5 away matches.
2. The offensive and defensive potential of Gamba Osaka at home is higher than that of Sagan Tosu away. Gamba Osaka has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 36%. In contrast, Sagan Tosu has an offensive potential of 7% and a defensive potential of 86% away.
3. The calculated probability percentage also favors Gamba Osaka with a 48.02% chance of winning the match, compared to only 18.64% for Sagan Tosu.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu match!
To not miss anything from the Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 14/04/2024 in the J1 League live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu
Lineups Gamba Osaka
Lineups Sagan Tosu
Match Highlights Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu on 14/04/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu match on 14/04/2024 at Panasonic Stadium Suita stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu
All statistics for the match between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Gamba Osaka against Sagan Tosu!
Form state of Gamba Osaka in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Gamba Osaka has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Gamba Osaka has a form rating of %.
Form state of Sagan Tosu in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Sagan Tosu has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Sagan Tosu has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Gamba Osaka against Sagan Tosu!
Average goals scored by Gamba Osaka in the current season.
Goals scored by Gamba Osaka in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Gamba Osaka in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Sagan Tosu in the current season
Goals scored by Sagan Tosu in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Sagan Tosu in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Goal statistics show that both teams have a low average of goals per match recently, with Gamba Osaka scoring an average of 0.6 goals per home match and Sagan Tosu scoring only 0.2 goals per away match.
2. Looking at recent performances, the majority of Gamba Osaka’s home matches and Sagan Tosu’s away matches have seen less than 2.5 goals, indicating a continued trend.
3. The probability percentages for the match also show that the most likely scenario is under 2.5 goals in the match, with a success rate of 87.57% for under 3.5 goals and a success rate of only 44.07% for over 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu!
The last 5 winning predictions für Gamba Osaka
The last 5 winning predictions für Sagan Tosu
How do I find the best forecast for Gamba Osaka Sagan Tosu?
Finding a forecast for the Gamba Osaka Sagan Tosu match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Gamba Osaka Sagan Tosu on 14/04/2024 in Panasonic Stadium Suita are the team's past performance in the J1 League, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Gamba Osaka at home and Sagan Tosu away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 14/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu on 14/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the J1 League, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Panasonic Stadium Suita, Gamba Osaka could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Gamba Osaka and the away win rate of Sagan Tosu, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 14/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 14/04/2024 at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu on 14/04/2024.
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