Tipps Gamba Osaka Tokyo Verdy J1 League 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Gamba Osaka wins the match.

1. Gamba Osaka has a high probability of success (75.26%) for the prediction of a draw or winning the match, which is higher than Tokyo Verdy’s winning probability.
2. Gamba Osaka demonstrates strong offensive and defensive capabilities when playing at home – they score an average of 1.8 goals per match and concede 1.6 goals on average.
3. By analyzing previous match results, Gamba Osaka has a better performance at home, with 60% of their last 5 matches ending in a win or draw, compared to Tokyo Verdy who have a win or draw rate of 80% in their away matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Both teams have similar offensive and defensive statistics, with an average of goals scored and conceded per match less than 2.5 in their recent encounters, indicating a well-defended match.

2. The highest probabilities are for scores with less than 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals in the match, suggesting a strong forecast for a low-scoring game.

3. By examining each team’s recent matches, many scores fall below the 2.5 goals mark, reinforcing the assumption of a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Analysis of previous performances: The previous performance statistics of both teams show a tendency to score an average of 1.8 goals per match (Gamba Osaka at home and Tokyo Verdy away). Furthermore, Gamba Osaka has scored 5 goals in their last 5 home matches and Tokyo Verdy has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches, which strengthens this trend.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Gamba Osaka has a 64% offensive potential at home, and Tokyo Verdy has the same offensive potential away. This indicates that both teams have a high level of offensive efficiency. Additionally, Gamba Osaka has a 57% defensive potential, showing that they are likely to concede goals.

3. Evaluation of the betting formula: The betting formula gives a 56.32% probability that both teams will score. This is a fairly high probability which, when combined with the previous arguments, supports the forecast that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Gamba Osaka 1-1 Tokyo Verdy

1. The two teams have had a similar number of goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches (5 goals scored and 6 conceded for Gamba Osaka, 6 goals scored and conceded for Tokyo Verdy), indicating a balanced encounter and justifying a prediction of a draw.

2. Gamba Osaka has a higher proportion of draws at home (40% of their last 5 matches) compared to Tokyo Verdy’s away victories (60% of their last 5 matches). This suggests Gamba Osaka’s ability to hold off Tokyo Verdy, potentially resulting in a 1-1 draw.

3. Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is quite high (56.32% success rate), implying that each team has a good chance of scoring at least once during the match, leading to a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gamba Osaka has struggled at home, with only one win in 5 matches. They also have a defensive issue, having conceded more goals than they have scored. In comparison, Tokyo Verdy shines away from home, winning three out of five. However, they have also conceded as many goals as they have scored.

Analyzing the offensive and defensive potential, both Gamba Osaka and Tokyo Verdy have a similar attacking efficiency. But Tokyo Verdy excels in defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match compared to Gamba Osaka’s 1.6.

Predictions indicate a higher chance of Gamba Osaka winning or drawing (75.26%), favoring a match with less than 3.5 goals (80.53%). However, both teams have a 56.32% chance of scoring, suggesting a competitive encounter.

Considering their recent performances, Gamba Osaka has been held to draws or lost more often than not, while Tokyo Verdy has shown good form with three wins.

In summary, this match seems to favor Gamba Osaka or a draw, with a trend towards fewer than 3.5 goals, but Tokyo Verdy’s ability to score away from home should be taken into account for your bet.

The potential number of goals

Gamba Osaka, on their home turf, is not in the best shape: victory in only 20% of cases, a draw in 40%. With 5 goals scored and 6 conceded in 5 matches, balance is not there.

Tokyo Verdy, on the other hand, is more solid away from home with a 60% win rate and only 20% draws. With 6 goals scored and 6 conceded, it is a team that knows how to remain defensively solid.

The analysis of offensive and defensive potential is interesting. Gamba Osaka, at home, has a 64% attacking potential and 57% in defense. They might concede some goals.

On the other hand, Tokyo Verdy has an equivalent attacking potential (64%) but a much tighter defense with a rate of only 21%.

The odds and probabilities favor a draw or a victory for Gamba Osaka with a probability of 75.26% at odds of 1.36. However, a victory for Tokyo Verdy is not to be ruled out (24.74% probability, odds of 3.10).

With a probability of 72.63%, we expect more than 1.5 goals in the match. A bolder option to consider is over 2.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 45.26%.

Looking at the recent performances of both teams, we see that Tokyo Verdy has managed to score at least once in each of their away matches. Gamba Osaka has had more difficulties at home, with several matches without scoring.

In conclusion, we could expect a fairly close match with potentially few goals. An interesting betting option would be a draw or Gamba Osaka to win the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, this J1 League match between Gamba Osaka and Tokyo Verdy looks set to be tight and fiercely contested. The odds favor a draw or a victory for Gamba Osaka (75.26% probability), yet Tokyo Verdy’s impressive away performance should not be overlooked.

Statistics also suggest that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals scored in the match, however, both teams have shown a strong attacking ability that could lead to a higher score than expected.

It is also likely that both teams will score during the match, due to their respective offensive efficiency, and especially Gamba Osaka’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Taking these factors into account, an interesting bet to consider could be a match with over 2.5 goals. Ultimately, while the numbers suggest a 1-1 prediction for the final score, the game is likely to be full of surprises, making this Japanese derby an exciting one to follow!

It is important to remember that all betting involves risks and to gamble responsibly.