Tipps Gamba Osaka Urawa J1 League 14/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Gamba Osaka wins the match

1. Gamba Osaka’s home statistics are favorable for a win or a draw, as 60% of their recent home matches have resulted in these outcomes.

2. Urawa Red Diamonds do not seem to be a strong team when playing away: they have only won 20% of their recent away matches and scored only 4 goals.

3. The calculated probability for the prediction “Draw or Gamba Osaka wins the match” is 68.56%, which is the highest percentage among all possible predictions.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent offensive performances of both teams have been poor. Urawa Red Diamonds have scored 4 goals away from home in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals per game. Similarly, Gamba Osaka have scored 5 goals at home in their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goal per game. These statistics indicate that both teams are struggling to score, increasing the likelihood of a total goals under 2.5.

2. Urawa Red Diamonds’ recent away matches have mostly ended in draws. This suggests they probably adopt a more defensive style of play when playing away, preferring to secure a point rather than risk losing by attacking. Additionally, the fact that they have only conceded 4 goals in these 5 matches supports this hypothesis.

3. The statistics show that the match is quite evenly poised with fairly similar chances of victory for each team and a draw. This means neither team is clearly dominating the other, making a high-scoring game less likely. Furthermore, the probability rate for the bet “under 2.5 goals in the match” is quite high, also suggesting a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Both teams have shown average offensive performances with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match for each team, and relatively low on their recent matches. Gamba Osaka has scored 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Urawa Red Diamonds has scored 4 in their last 5 away matches.
2. Both teams have demonstrated solid defense in their recent matches. Gamba Osaka has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Urawa Red Diamonds has conceded 2.2 goals per match.
3. In their recent encounters, several matches have seen only one team score, if any team scores at all. In the last 5 home matches of Gamba Osaka, 3 of them have seen only one team score or none at all. Similarly, in the last 5 away matches of Urawa Red Diamonds, 4 matches have seen only one team score or none at all.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Gamba Osaka 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds

1. Recent match statistics show a tendency for low scores between these two teams. Gamba Osaka has scored an average of 1.4 goals at home while Urawa Red Diamonds has also scored an average of 1.4 goals away. Therefore, the predicted score of 1-1 is in line with the average goals they have scored in past matches.

2. Urawa Red Diamonds have a strong tendency to draw away matches. They have drawn in 80% of cases in their last 5 away matches, highlighting the strong potential for another draw, such as the 1-1 scoreline.

3. Betting probabilities also support this prediction. The probability of a draw is 31.44%, which is a relatively high value, while the probability of both teams scoring is 47.94%. These two statistics, when combined, support the predicted score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gamba Osaka, at home, has had a mixed performance, with one win in five matches and two draws. They have scored 5 goals, but also conceded 6. Urawa Red Diamonds, playing away, have one win and four draws, scoring 4 goals and conceding the same.

Gamba Osaka’s offensive potential at home is at 50%, while their defensive potential is at 43%. Urawa Red Diamonds show similar offensive numbers but with a higher defensive potential of 79% when playing away.

Gamba Osaka has a 37.11% chance of winning, a draw is likely at 31.44%. Urawa Red Diamonds have only a 31.44% chance of winning this match. If you bet on either a draw or a Gamba Osaka win, the chances of success are 68.56%.

The number of goals also shapes the encounter. One can expect more than 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 68.56% and less than 3.5 goals in the match with a very high probability of 87.11%.

In general, betting on both teams to score gives a success rate of nearly 48%, while betting on a clean sheet on both sides has a slightly higher probability of 52.06%.

Therefore, a relatively tight match is expected between Gamba Osaka and Urawa Red Diamonds, with a tendency towards a low number of goals.

The potential number of goals

Gamba Osaka has had mixed results at home. They have won only one out of five matches and drawn two. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 6.

Urawa Red Diamonds are also struggling, with only one win in five away matches and four draws. They have scored and conceded 4 goals.

In terms of potential, Gamba Osaka has an average of 1.4 goals scored but concedes 1.2 goals at home. Urawa Red Diamonds have a similar attack (1.4) but a weaker defense, conceding an average of 2.2 goals.

The predictions indicate that a Gamba Osaka win is more likely (37.11%, odds of 2.40), but a draw is also possible (31.44%, odds of 3.20).

A bet on over 1.5 goals seems sensible (68.56% probability, odds of 1.33). But betting on under 3.5 goals is even safer (87.11% probability, odds of 1.25).

It is likely that both teams will not score (52.06% probability, odds of 1.95), which is consistent with the expected number of goals.

In summary, this match is likely to be defensive with few goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this J1 League match between Gamba Osaka and Urawa Red Diamonds appears to be a relatively tight game, with both teams having similar performances in their recent matches. However, Gamba Osaka seems to have a slight advantage on their home turf, and the trend would rather be in favor of a win or a draw on their part.

The low offensive potential of both teams, combined with a tendency towards defense, suggests a probably low number of goals, with a forecast of under 2.5 goals in the match. Furthermore, it appears more likely that only one of the two teams will score.

An interesting value bet to consider could be a bet on a draw, given the previous performances and betting statistics. The exact predicted score of 1-1 could also offer an interesting opportunity for bettors.

Overall, this matchup promises an interesting battle and competitive betting. As always, it is advisable to bet responsibly, taking into account not only the predictions and probabilities, but also the variables of the match day.