Tipps Gamba Osaka Vissel Kobe J1 League 22/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Vissel Kobe wins the match”

1. Vissel Kobe has a higher probability of winning the match: with a success probability of 47.21%, Vissel Kobe is favored over Gamba Osaka, who only has a success probability of 21.83%.

2. Vissel Kobe has shown better performance away from home: in their last 5 away matches, Vissel Kobe has won 40% of the time and drawn 40% of the time. In comparison, Gamba Osaka, while strong at home, has conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 home matches.

3. The away match history of Vissel Kobe shows a positive trend: Vissel Kobe’s recent away matches demonstrate that the team has been able to score goals, even against strong opponents. In particular, their performances against Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus, where they scored 4 and 2 goals respectively, highlight their offensive potential.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The comparisons of Gamba Osaka’s recent home matches and Vissel Kobe’s away matches show that both teams do not score an excessively high number of goals per game. Gamba Osaka has an average of 2.2 goals per game and Vissel Kobe 1 goal per game, suggesting a low-scoring match.

2. The defensive data of both teams indicate a fairly good performance. Gamba Osaka concedes an average of 0.6 goals per game and Vissel Kobe does as well, showing that they have a solid defense, limiting the potential for scoring a high number of goals.

3. The calculated probability for under 2.5 goals in the match is more favorable than for over 2.5 goals (no specific probability given, but the bookmaker offers lower odds for under 2.5 goals, suggesting they believe it is more likely).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes.

1. Gamba Osaka has a high home success rate, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match. This indicates that they have the ability to take the lead in this game.
2. Vissel Kobe also has a decent away performance, scoring an average of one goal per match, which increases the probability of both teams scoring as they have also demonstrated their ability to score.
3. Looking at their recent matches, Gamba Osaka has scored in each of their last 5 home matches, and Vissel Kobe has scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches. This recent form suggests that both teams are likely to be able to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Gamba Osaka wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Gamba Osaka 2-1 Vissel Kobe

1. Match history: Gamba Osaka’s recent home results show a dominant performance, having won 4 of their last 5 matches while averaging 2.2 goals per game. This highlights their strong offensive potential.

2. Strong defensive potential: Gamba Osaka’s home defensive potential is at 79%. This implies that they have a good chance of limiting the number of goals conceded. Vissel Kobe also has a similar defensive potential (79%) but their offensive potential seems weaker with a goal scoring rate of 1 per game on average away from home.

3. Win probabilities: Even though Vissel Kobe has a higher probability of winning the match (47.21% compared to 21.83% for Gamba Osaka), the option of a draw or a Gamba Osaka victory has a higher probability of success (52.79%). Considering Gamba Osaka wins 80% of its home matches, it is therefore rational to predict a Gamba Osaka victory with a score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gamba Osaka has a strong home performance, winning 80% of its matches and scoring 10 goals in total. However, its defense leaves something to be desired with 12 goals conceded.
Vissel Kobe is balanced on the road, with a 40% win rate, the same percentage for draws, and scores of 8 goals scored and conceded.
With Gamba Osaka having a 79% offensive potential at home and conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match, Kobe, despite its 36% offensive rate away, may struggle to score.
Probabilities indicate that Kobe is more likely to win the match with a rate of 47.21%, but the potential for a draw or a Gamba Osaka victory is not negligible at 52.79%.
In terms of goals, the match is more likely to see less than 3.5 goals, with a probability of 77.16%.
Recent trends show that Gamba Osaka has won four of its last five home matches. Vissel Kobe’s performances away include two wins, two draws, and one loss.
These data suggest a potentially closely contested match, and bettors may want to consider Gamba Osaka’s defensive balance at home and Vissel Kobe’s recent away record.

The potential number of goals

Gamba Osaka shows a strong performance at home with an 80% win rate and an average of 2.2 goals per match. However, a slightly shaky defense has led to conceding 12 goals in 5 matches.

On the other hand, Vissel Kobe is balanced with a 40% win rate and 40% draws away from home. They score an average of 1 goal per match, but their sturdy defense keeps the average goals conceded at 0.6 per match.

The probability of Vissel Kobe winning the match is 47.21%, the highest of the three possible outcomes, followed by a draw at 30.96%.

The number of goals scored is quite fluctuating. Less than 1.5 goals have only a 2.95% chance of happening, while more than 2.5 goals are at 40.1%. However, the probability is high (77.16%) of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals scored in the match.

Both teams have roughly the same chance (46.7%) of scoring.

In summary, the match between Gamba Osaka and Vissel Kobe will likely be closely contested. With a probability of 78.17%, the match will either end in a win for Vissel Kobe or a draw. However, it’s unlikely to see many goals with a 90.86% probability for fewer than 4.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis suggests a fairly close match between Gamba Osaka and Vissel Kobe. Despite Kobe being predicted as the favorite with a 47.21% chance of winning, we should not rule out a surprise from Gamba Osaka. Indeed, Gamba plays quite solid at home and could potentially reverse the trend, adding uncertainty to the match.

Punters looking for an interesting value bet could consider betting on a Gamba Osaka victory, which offers attractive odds despite their recent performances. On the other hand, those who prefer to bet on a more probable outcome would be wise to focus on the low probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.

It is also reasonable to bet that both teams will score, given their respective offensive performances. Finally, the safest bet here seems to be a correct score of 2-1 in favor of Gamba Osaka.

Ultimately, it all comes down to balance: between Gamba Osaka’s recent home performances, Vissel Kobe’s away performances, and the uncertainty surrounding the number of goals that will be scored during the match. These factors should be considered to maximize your chances of winning.