Tipps Genk Anderlecht Jupiler Pro League 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Genk wins the match

1. Genk has a good home performance with a 60% probability of winning. Even if the match is not won, there is a 20% chance of a draw. These statistics support the assumption that Genk will not lose the match.

2. Although Anderlecht also has a 60% probability of winning away, they have conceded more goals (13) compared to Genk (7). This means Anderlecht’s defense is weaker, which could favor Genk.

3. The provided odds indicate a higher probability (69.43%) for the scenario where Genk wins or the match is a draw. Therefore, it is a safer choice compared to just Anderlecht’s win (30.57%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Over their last 5 respective matches, Genk has scored 6 goals and Anderlecht 11 goals, resulting in an average of over 1.5 goals per game for each team. This suggests that both teams have a strong offense and are capable of scoring.

2. Defensive data also shows that Genk concedes an average of 0.4 goals per home game and Anderlecht concedes an average of 1 goal per away game, indicating some defensive vulnerability from both teams that could lead to an increased total number of goals.

3. Betting statistics indicate a 56.48% likelihood of the match containing over 2.5 goals. Combined with the offensive and defensive analyses of the teams, this further supports the prediction of over 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last home matches of Genk and away matches of Anderlecht show a trend for both teams to score. Genk has scored in 80% of their last home matches, while Anderlecht has scored in all of their recent away matches.

2. The overall performance of both teams suggests they have a good attack and slightly vulnerable defense, indicating a likelihood of both scoring and conceding goals. On average, Genk scores 1 goal and concedes 0.4 at home, while Anderlecht scores 1.4 and concedes 1 per away match.

3. The betting statistic indicates “Both teams to score – 60.1% success probability”, which is one of the highest probabilities among the provided scenarios, strongly suggesting that both teams are likely to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Anderlecht wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Genk 1-1 Anderlecht

1. Considering the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, Genk scores an average of 1 goal per home match and Anderlecht concedes an average of 1 goal per away match, which could lead to a 1-1 scoreline.

2. Looking at the match result statistics of Genk at home and Anderlecht away, we can see that both teams have drawn in 20% of cases in their last 5 matches under these conditions. This also supports the notion of a possible draw.

3. Recent match reviews: Genk has had two recent home draws (1-1 against Cercle Bruges and 0-0 against Bruges) and Anderlecht also had a draw in their last away match (2-2 against KV Mechelen). These recent results indicate a potential trend towards a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Genk is in good form at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches and a goals scored/conceded ratio of 6/7. Anderlecht, playing away, also has a 60% win rate with a goals ratio of 11/13.

Genk has an average offensive potential of 1 goal per match at home and a solid defense conceding 0.4 goals on average. Based on these numbers, their offensive potential is 36% and defensive potential is 14%.

On the other hand, Anderlecht averages 1.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match when playing away, resulting in an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 36%.

For the prediction, there is a 38.86% chance of Genk winning with odds of 2.10, compared to 30.57% for Anderlecht with odds of 3.25. The probability of a draw is 30.57% with odds of 3.60. It is worth noting that betting on under 4.5 goals in the match has a very high success probability of 85.49% with odds of 1.15.

In terms of recent scores, Genk has had mixed results at home, including a loss to Bruges (0-3). Meanwhile, Anderlecht has shown strong offensive performances away with a notable win against RWDM (3-0) and a draw with KV Mechelen (2-2).

In conclusion, we could expect a tight match with fewer than 4.5 goals to maximize the chance of winning, while keeping in mind that both teams have recently shown a strong ability to score, according to the probabilities.

The potential number of goals

Genk shows a stable home performance, with a 60% win rate. Their offensive capability is average with 1 goal per match. Their defensive security is superior, conceding only 0.4 goals per match.

On the other hand, Anderlecht also manages to win 60% of their away matches. However, they have a stronger offense, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match. It is worth noting that their defense is slightly weaker, conceding 1 goal per match on average.

According to the probabilities, Genk has a 38.86% chance of winning and Anderlecht 30.57%. The draw also has a probability of 30.57%.

The proposition “Draw or Genk wins the match” has a success probability of 69.43%. While “Draw or Anderlecht wins the match” has a 61.14% chance of success.

Regarding the number of goals, the highest probability is for “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 77.72%.

The last home matches of Genk ended with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. For Anderlecht away, they scored an average of 1.8 goals per match.

In conclusion, this match could see over 1.5 goals with a potential Genk win or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In this prediction for the Genk versus Anderlecht match in the Jupiler Pro League, a meticulous examination of historical data, current team performances, and betting statistics leads us to a number of key predictions.

Firstly, the 1X2 prediction strongly supports that Genk will not lose the match, with a high probability of 69.43% for a draw or a Genk win. It is worth noting that with a weaker defense, Anderlecht is in a precarious position, but they still have a 30.57% chance of winning the match.

Furthermore, the probabilities suggest a potential for over 2.5 goals in the match, supported by the offensive performances of both teams in their last five matches. Additionally, it is very likely that both teams will score in this match given their scoring tendencies and somewhat vulnerable defenses.

An interesting bet that offers value because it challenges the identified probabilities here is an Anderlecht win, considering their slightly superior offensive performance and recent form.

Regarding the exact score, a 1-1 draw seems possible based on the average goals scored and conceded by both teams.

In conclusion, this match promises to be closely contested, with the potential to see over 2.5 goals and at least one goal from each team. However, ultimately, Genk has a slightly higher probability of not losing the match. That being said, football being an unpredictable sport, anything can happen. It is important to bet with caution and never bet more than you are willing to lose.