Tipps Genk Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro League 11/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bruges wins the match

1. Bruges has won 40% of its last 5 away matches, whereas Genk has only won 20% of its home matches.
2. Bruges has shown a stronger defense compared to Genk, conceding only 0.8 goals per match on average in their last 5 away matches, while Genk has conceded an average of 2 goals per match at home.
3. According to the provided probabilities, Bruges has a higher probability of winning than Genk with 43.96% compared to Genk’s 26.92%, indicating a better expected performance.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show that both Genk at home and Bruges away score an average of 1 goal per match. Therefore, an average of two goals is expected in this match, bringing us closer to the total of 2.5 goals for the bet.

2. Genk has conceded an average of 2 goals per match at home in the last 5 matches. This number increases the chances of having more than 2.5 goals during the match.

3. The recent matches of Genk and Bruges show a trend towards scores with at least 3 goals (such as Genk 3 – 3 Charleroi, Genk 3 – 1 PAOK, or Antwerp 1 – 2 Bruges). This passive trend strengthens the argument for a potentially high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown their ability to score at least one goal on average per match in their last 5 respective games. Genk scored 9 goals in 5 home matches (an average of 1.8 goals per match) and Bruges scored 5 goals in 5 away matches (an average of 1 goal per match).

2. The defensive records of both teams are not exceptional. Genk conceded 12 goals in 5 home matches, which is an average of 2.4 goals conceded per match, while Bruges conceded 6 goals in 5 away matches, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match.

3. Looking at the match history, both teams have a tendency to score in their games. Genk’s recent home matches have ended with scores where both teams scored, except for the Genk 0 – 0 Standard Liège match. Similarly, in Bruges’ recent away matches, except for the Anderlecht 0 – 1 Bruges match, all other matches have seen both teams score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Genk 1-2 Bruges”

1. Defensive potential of Genk: Based on recent statistics, Genk concedes an average of 2 goals per match at home. As a result, Bruges, with a 40% success rate away, has a significant chance of scoring at least two goals.

2. Probability of Bruges winning: It can be observed that Bruges has a success rate of 43.96%, which is the highest among the three possible scenarios. Bruges therefore has a real chance of taking all three points, hence the prediction of 2 goals from them.

3. Recent goals scored by Genk: Even though Genk has shown a poor performance at home, their goal rate still stands at 1 per match. Therefore, it is quite reasonable to predict a goal from their side in this match against Bruges.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Genk, at home, has only won one out of 5 matches. They have only managed one draw. They have scored 9 goals but have conceded 12. Their offensive presence is at 36%, and defensive at 71%.

Bruges, away from home, has won twice and drawn twice. Scoring 5 goals, they have only conceded 6. Their offensive presence is also at 36%, but their defensive presence is lower, at 29%.

For this match, Bruges is the favorite with a 43.96% chance of winning. The possibility of a draw or a Bruges win is at 73.08%.

Over 1.5 goals is likely at 80.77%. Less than 3.5 goals is likely at 68.13%.

Both teams scoring has a probability of 63.19%.

This match promises goals with over 2.5 goals predicted at 54.4%.

Previous matches show an inconsistent Genk at home, and an appealing Bruges away from home.

Recommended bet: Bruges win or draw with over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

The form of Genk at home is concerning. They seem to struggle to impose themselves, winning only 20% of the time. Additionally, they have conceded more goals than they have scored with 9 goals for and 12 goals against.

On the other hand, Bruges is performing rather well away. They have won or drawn in 80% of cases. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Genk is weaker than Bruges. Genk’s offensive potential is 36%, while Bruges is also at 36%. Genk’s defensive potential is 71% compared to Bruges’ 29%.

With a probability of 43.96%, Bruges appears to be the favorite to win the match. However, the match could just as likely end in a draw with a probability of 29.12%.

According to the predictions, the match is likely to have over 1.5 goals with a probability of 80.77%. Moreover, the probability of both teams scoring is quite high at 63.19%.

Finally, by examining the teams’ recent matches, it can be seen that Genk often struggles to win at home while Bruges, despite some losses, has often prevailed away.

In conclusion, with a stronger defense and better form away, Bruges seems to have a slight advantage over Genk for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the factors mentioned in the article, it appears that Bruges is in a more favorable position to win the match against Genk. Bruges’ recent away form, combined with their solid defense and ability to score regularly, puts them as the favorites.

On the other hand, Genk struggles to maintain an effective defense at home and, despite their offensive potential, they only win a small percentage of their matches. The probability of more than 1.5 goals and both teams scoring is quite high, signaling the possibility of a high-scoring match.

Furthermore, the analysis of both teams’ recent form indicates a trend towards high-scoring matches. Betting on a score of over 2.5 goals could therefore offer interesting value for bettors.

Given Genk’s inconsistent home form and Bruges’ steady performances away, a bet on a Bruges win or a draw with over 1.5 goals seems to be an interesting betting recommendation.

In summary, this match between Genk and Bruges looks to be a highly competitive one with a strong likelihood of goals from both sides. With Bruges slightly favored, bettors should critically examine all probabilities and trends before placing their bets.