Tipps Genk St. Truiden Jupiler Pro League 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Genk wins the match”

1. Genk’s home performance: Genk has won 100% of its last 5 home matches, showing a strong home form. Additionally, the team has scored an average of 2.4 goals per home match, demonstrating a high offensive potential.

2. Saint-Trond’s away performance: Compared to Genk, Saint-Trond has a weaker performance away from home, winning only 20% of its last 5 away matches and averaging fewer goals (1.6 goals per match) than Genk at home.

3. Success probabilities: Based on the given probabilities, Genk has a greater chance of winning the match with a 67.35% probability of success, unlike Saint-Trond who only has a 12.76% probability of securing victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Genk team has shown an impressive offensive performance with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match at home in their last 5 matches and also has a tendency to concede goals (14 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), which could contribute to a high-scoring match.

2. Despite being less strong offensively, Saint-Trond still manages to score an average of 1.6 goals per match when playing away in their last 5 matches. When combining this with Genk’s statistics, the forecast of over 2.5 goals becomes likely.

3. Available statistics indicate a success probability of 63.78% for the forecast of over 2.5 goals in this match. This confirms the analysis drawn from the first two points and makes it a rather safe forecast.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal-scoring history: Both teams have a tendency to score in their matches; Genk has scored 12 goals in their last 5 home games, while Saint-Trond has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away games.

2. Defensive performance: Both Genk and Saint-Trond have relatively weak defensive records, conceding 14 and 7 goals respectively in their recent matches. This suggests they could both be vulnerable to opposition attacks, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Prediction statistics: There is a 54.59% probability that both teams will score in this match, with odds of 1.68. This indicates that prediction models also consider it more likely that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 19.9% success probability: 4.85

Bet on the exact result

Genk 2 – 1 Saint-Trond.

1. Genk’s recent home performances have been impressive: they have won all their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals per match, much higher than Saint-Trond who has averaged 1.6 goals per match in their away games.

2. Genk has a high probability of winning the match, at 67.35%, much higher than Saint-Trond’s probability of only 12.76%. Furthermore, the probability of the match ending in a draw or a Genk win is very high at 87.24%.

3. As for the number of goals, the probability of having more than 2.5 goals in the match is 63.78%, which is in line with the predicted score of 2-1. Additionally, Genk has shown a tendency to concede goals in their home matches, with an average of 1 goal per match, which could justify Saint-Trond scoring 1 goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Genk is undeniably strong at home, with a win in all of their last five matches. They have scored 12 goals, an impressive average of 2.4 goals per game.

Saint-Trond struggles on the road, with only one win in five matches. They have scored 6 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per game.

The match clearly favors Genk, with a 67.35% chance of winning. A draw is unlikely, with only a 19.9% chance.

We expect a high-scoring match, with high probabilities for over 1.5 goals (88.27%) and over 2.5 goals (63.78%).

Genk’s recent home matches have shown a strong defense, conceding an average of only one goal per game. Saint-Trond’s away results indicate difficulties in scoring and preventing goals, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game.

Overall, Genk appears to be the favorite in this match, with strong home performances and a solid defense. Saint-Trond will need to improve their game to achieve a good result.

The potential number of goals

Regarding the football match between Genk and Saint-Trond, an analysis of past performances reveals an interesting picture. Genk has shown impressive strength at home, winning 100% of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding 14. On the other hand, Saint-Trond has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches.

Genk demonstrates a high offensive potential of 86% and a defensive potential of 36%. Meanwhile, Saint-Trond shows a lower offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 29%.

The probabilities favor Genk, with a 67.35% chance of winning the match. A draw is estimated at 19.9% and a Saint-Trond victory at only 12.76%. Therefore, a bet on Genk or a draw seems to be a sensible choice with an 87.24% probability.

In terms of number of goals, a bet on over 1.5 goals could be fruitful with an 88.27% probability. The probabilities suggest that it is less likely to stay under 3.5 goals, with a 59.69% probability.

In conclusion, Genk appears to be the favorite to win this match with a 67.35% probability. In terms of goals, a bet on over 1.5 goals seems to be the safest choice.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

At the dawn of this confrontation and based on statistical analysis, it appears quite clear that Genk holds a significant advantage over Saint-Trond in this home match. However, Saint-Trond has shown tendencies to resist and keep the match result balanced despite Genk’s dominance.

Genk’s offensive prowess combined with their impressive home performance makes it highly likely for them to come out on top. But with Saint-Trond scoring in the majority of their recent outings, it is foreseeable that they will not leave empty-handed. In this context, betting on Genk to win with a 2-1 scoreline seems like an intriguing betting opportunity.

In any case, a high-scoring match (over 2.5 goals) is expected given the striking power of each team and their somewhat vulnerable defenses. Furthermore, both teams are likely to score in this encounter according to statistics.

Ultimately, while Genk is the favorite to secure the victory, a bet on a draw also presents an attractive return rate given its probability. It is a possibility not to overlook because even though Genk has excelled at home recently, their vulnerable defense could provide Saint-Trond with the chance to score and potentially equalize the match. Football is unpredictable, and that’s what makes it an exciting sport to follow and bet on.