Tipps Genk Standard Liege Jupiler Pro League 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Genk wins the match

1. Recent home performance statistics favor Genk’s victory: they won 40% of their last 5 home matches and drew in 40% of cases.
2. Standard Liège has shown weaknesses in their away matches, failing to win any of their last 5 matches. Their defense has particularly suffered, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match.
3. The high calculated probability for a Genk victory (60.2%) is a robust indicator of their potential superiority in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent past shows a trend towards high-scoring matches for both teams: indeed, in the last 5 away matches of Standard Liège, all have exceeded 2.5 goals while for Genk, 2 out of the last 5 home matches have exceeded this number of goals.
2. The defensive statistics of each team show that they concede an average of 1.8 and 2.2 goals per match respectively. This defensive weakness increases the risk of seeing several goals in the match.
3. The offensive potential of both teams is interesting, as they each score an average of 0.6 and 1 goal per match, which, combined with their defensive vulnerability, could lead to a match with a high potential of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded for both teams indicate a tendency to have goals on both sides. Genk has scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Standard Liège has scored 10 goals and conceded 15 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The calculated statistical probability that both teams score is quite high, at 60.2%. This is generally a strong indicator that both teams will have enough offensive opportunities to score during the match.

3. Standard Liège’s previous away matches have all seen a lot of goals, with a total of 22 goals scored in 5 matches, which equates to an average of 4.4 goals per match. This indicates a trend for their matches to have goals from both teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 21.94% success probability: 4.50

Bet on the exact result

Genk 1-1 Standard Liège

1. Recent statistics: In their last 5 matches, Genk and Standard Liège have drawn regularly, with 40% and 40% of the cases, respectively. A prediction of 1-1 thus corresponds to the past performances of both teams.

2. Average goals: Genk scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and Standard Liège scores 1 goal away, which is close to the predicted score of 1-1. Additionally, with a high average of goals conceded by both teams (1.8 for Genk and 2.2 for Standard Liège), there is a higher chance that each will score at least one goal.

3. Betting probabilities: The probabilities indicate a 60.2% chance that both teams will score, which aligns with a prediction of 1-1. Furthermore, with an 82.65% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match, this also supports the prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Genk shows a moderate performance at home, winning and drawing in 40% of cases. Their defense is weak, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match.
Standard Liège struggles away, with no recent wins and an average of 2.2 goals conceded per match.
The probability of the match favors Genk, with a 60.2% chance of winning. A draw is likely at 21.94%.
Statistics suggest there will be over 1.5 goals in the match (82.65%) and a strong likelihood that both teams will score (60.2%).
Based on these figures, a prediction could be a Genk win with over 1.5 goals across the match.

The potential number of goals

Genk, at home, have been getting mixed results: they win and draw in 40% of cases each, but with only 4 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Their defenses seem quite solid, conceding only 5 goals.

Standard Liège, away, has not been shining recently. Having not won any of their last 5 matches and only managing to draw in 40% of cases, they have, however, managed to score 10 goals but have conceded a disappointing total of 15 goals.

In terms of individual performance, Genk averages 0.6 goals per match but concedes an average of 1.8 in their recent home matches. Standard Liège scores slightly more, with 1 goal per match, but also concedes more away, with an average of 2.2 goals.

The probability of Genk winning the match is 60.2%, while Standard Liège faces more difficulty, with a victory probability of only 17.86%.

There is a high probability of more than 1.5 goals during the match (82.65%). And there is also a relatively high probability of 60.2% that the total goals scored will exceed 2.5.

Also, there is a relatively high probability (60.2%) that both teams will score. Given the recent offensive performances of both teams, this scenario is likely to happen.

Based on these figures, it seems that the safest prediction for this match would be a bet on “over 1.5 goals.” However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a certain level of risk.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering recent performance statistics, the prognosis leans towards a Genk victory, with a probability of 60.2%. However, the possibility of a draw should not be overlooked, with a probability of 21.94%.

These statistics also suggest a match with several goals. A bet on “over 2.5 goals” therefore seems wise, as well as the likelihood of both teams scoring.

For those seeking value bets, a draw (odds at 4.50) and an exact score of 1-1 could be options to consider.

Nevertheless, it is essential to remember that despite statistics and predictions, there is always a risk involved in sports betting. Each player should bet responsibly and in line with their budget and risk tolerance.