Tipps Gent KV Mechelen Jupiler Pro League 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Gent wins the match.

1. The win rate of La Gantoise at home in their last 5 matches is higher (60%) than the win rate of KV Mechelen away in their last 5 matches (40%).
2. La Gantoise has a higher offensive potential at home (71%) than KV Mechelen’s offensive potential away (64%), giving La Gantoise an advantage in terms of goal-scoring ability.
3. The probability of La Gantoise winning the match is estimated at 56.83%, which is significantly higher than the estimated probability of KV Mechelen winning the match (24.04%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Statistically, Ghent has an average of over 2 goals per home match with a strong offensive potential estimated at 71%. This trend increases the probability of a match with over 2.5 goals.
2. KV Mechelen also has an average of almost 2 goals (1.8) per away match with an offensive potential of 64%. This indicates that KV Mechelen also significantly contributes to the magnitude of the score when playing away.
3. Betting statistics indicate a high probability (59.56%) of a match with over 2.5 goals. This is reinforced by the fact that in previous matches for both teams, the total goals have often exceeded 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown significant offensive capabilities in their recent matches, with an average of 2 goals scored per match for La Gantoise at home and 1.8 for KV Mechelen away.
2. La Gantoise has conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 home matches (10 goals scored against 12 conceded), indicating a defensive vulnerability that could allow KV Mechelen to score.
3. In terms of probability, the likelihood of both teams scoring is 51.91%, slightly higher than the inverse probability (48.09%). This data suggests that statistically, it is more likely for both teams to score at least one goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

KV Mechelen wins the match

Bet on the exact result

The Gantoise 2-1 KV Mechelen

1. Gent has recently proven to be a strong team at home, winning in 60% of cases and with an offensive potential of 71%. This suggests that they have a high probability of scoring at least two goals in this match.

2. KV Mechelen, although they often achieve positive results away, tend not to score many goals, with an average of 1.8 goals per match. They also have a weaker defense with a defensive potential of 64%, which could open up opportunities for Gent to score.

3. Statistics show a high probability (82.51%) of over 1.5 goals during the match and a relatively high probability (59.56%) of over 2.5 goals. Therefore, a 2-1 result for Gent seems quite plausible given these trends.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gent is in good form at home, winning 60% of their last matches and scoring 10 goals in total. However, they have conceded more goals (12).

KV Mechelen, the away team, has a balanced performance with 40% of wins and draws, scoring and conceding 3 goals.

In terms of potential, Gent is stronger in attack with 71%, while KV Mechelen is moderately effective on both fronts, with 64% in attack and defense.

For this match, the highest probability is that Gent will win (56.83%) or a draw or Gent win (75.96%).

The odds are also high for over 1.5 goals in the match (82.51%), and less than 3.5 goals scored (81.42%).

Neither team clearly dominates, as the probability of both teams scoring is almost equal at 51.91%.

Based on these statistics, a competitive match with a few goals scored can be expected.

The potential number of goals

Gent plays strong at home, winning 60% of matches. KV Mechelen, on the other hand, has a more balanced away record with 40% wins and just as many draws.

As for goals, Gent at home has a lively record with 10 goals in 5 matches, but has also conceded 12 goals. Meanwhile, KV Mechelen is more conservative with 3 goals scored and conceded away in the same number of matches.

Gent’s home offense is effective at 71%, while their defense is at 29%. In comparison, KV Mechelen seems more balanced on the road with 64% efficiency both in attack and defense.

In terms of probabilities, Gent winning the match is the most likely scenario at 56.83%. A draw is the least likely at 19.13%.

For goals, expecting to see over 1.5 goals during the match seems more prudent with a probability of 82.51%. Similarly, betting on under 4.5 goals with a probability of 98.91% seems reasonable.

Finally, the numbers suggest a slight tendency for both teams to score at 51.91%, although the opposite scenario is almost as probable.

The prediction gains weight when considering each team’s recent matches: Gent has shown a propensity for high-scoring games at home, while KV Mechelen tends towards more defensive matches away.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between La Gantoise and KV Mechelen is shaping up to be intense and competitive. According to statistics, La Gantoise appears to have a slight edge, especially in attack, with greater efficiency at home. However, their defense tends to be vulnerable, providing KV Mechelen with scoring opportunities.

As for the number of goals, we can expect a high-scoring match, with a significant likelihood of more than 2.5 goals being scored. It also seems probable that both teams will manage to score.

Despite the statistical favor towards La Gantoise, KV Mechelen’s potential to surprise should not be underestimated, making the prediction less straightforward. Placing a ‘value bet’ on a KV Mechelen victory could prove interesting given the attractive odds.

Finally, the predicted exact score of 2-1 in favor of La Gantoise reflects the delicate balance between the two teams. This match promises to be exciting to follow and interesting in terms of sports betting.