Tipps Georgia Albania UEFA Nations League 14/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Georgia wins the match

1. Georgia has a better home performance history with a 60% win ratio compared to Albania, which only manages to be victorious in 20% of its away matches.

2. Higher offensive potential: Georgia has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in its last 5 home games, compared to Albania’s 1 goal per match during its away games.

3. Less risky defensive performance: Georgia has shown a stronger defensive ability by conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, compared to Albania’s 1.4 goals in its away matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show a high average of goals scored and conceded by both teams. Georgia scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 1.2 goals per match at home, while Albania scores 1 goal and concedes 1.4 goals on average in their away matches. This trend suggests that the match could have more than 2.5 goals.

2. The results of Albania’s recent away matches show that there have been more than 2.5 goals in 4 out of the last 5 matches (Ukraine 1 – 2 Albania, Croatia 2 – 2 Albania, Italy 2 – 1 Albania, Sweden 1 – 0 Albania, Moldova 1 – 1 Albania).

3. The results of Georgia’s recent home matches also show a tendency to have more than 2.5 goals, especially in the two matches where they scored 4 and 2 goals respectively (Georgia 4 – 1 Czech Republic, Georgia 2 – 0 Portugal, Georgia 1 – 1 Czech Republic, Georgia 0 – 0 Greece, Georgia 2 – 0 Luxembourg).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The numbers show that at home in their last 5 matches, Georgia has scored goals in every match: with a total of 9 goals, this means an average of 1.8 goals per match. Similarly, Albania has also scored goals in every away match, with a total of 6 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1 goal per match.
2. Both teams also tend to concede goals. Georgia has conceded 9 goals in 5 home matches, while Albania has conceded 7 goals in 5 away matches. These numbers demonstrate a weak defensive trend for both teams.
3. By looking at the scores from Georgia’s last five home matches and Albania’s last five away matches, it can be seen that there have been goals on both sides in most of these matches. Scores like 4-1, 2-0, 2-2, and 2-1 show that both teams are capable of scoring, especially considering that Albania has managed to score against often higher-ranked teams like Italy and Croatia.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Georgia 2-1 Albania

1. Georgia, when playing at home, has a tendency to win although not always by a wide margin. With a 60% win rate, their offensive capability is higher, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match.

2. Albania, despite having a low ability to win away (20%), has managed to score in all their recent away matches. With an average of 1 goal per match, they are capable of scoring, but their defense, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, is less effective.

3. Both teams tend to participate in low-scoring matches. The probability of over 3.5 goals is 0%. Even though Georgia scored 4 times against the Czech Republic, it is an exception among their home matches. Therefore, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Georgia is a likely scenario.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Georgia’s recent home performances show a strong team, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. The team has displayed significant offensive strength, scoring a total of 9 goals. However, their defense has also conceded an equal number of goals.

As for Albania, the statistics tell a different story. Indeed, in their last 5 away matches, they have only won 20% of the time, scoring a total of 6 goals. Their defense, allowing 7 goals, seems to be the team’s Achilles’ heel.

Albania’s away performances present a team less effective offensively, averaging 1 goal per match. Their defense, on the other hand, is slightly better than at home, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals per match.

The probability of scoring more than 3.5 goals in the match is zero, indicating a potentially close game. However, both teams not scoring stands at 100%, showing a strong defensive trend.

Based on these statistics, it is reasonable to predict a rather defensive match with fewer than 4.5 goals. One could expect to see Georgia take advantage of playing at home.

The potential number of goals

Georgia is strong at home, with a 60% win rate. This is positive, despite an equal number of goals scored and conceded (9). On the other hand, Albania struggles away from home with a 20% success rate and a negative goal difference (6 goals scored, 7 goals conceded).

Georgian scorers are in good form at home, averaging 1.8 goals per game. However, their defense remains average, conceding 1.2 goals per game. It’s a mixed performance, with an offensive efficiency of 64% compared to 43% in defense.

Albania, on the other hand, struggles in attack. They score an average of one goal per game and concede 1.4. Their attacking efficiency stands at 36%, while their defense is at 50%.

Georgia has impressed at home with a 4-1 victory against the Czech Republic and a 2-0 win over Portugal. As for Albania, their only notable results are a 2-1 victory against Ukraine and a 2-2 draw with Croatia.

It should be noted that there is no data on the probabilities of wins, draws, or number of goals.

Based on these statistics, a close match between Georgia and Albania can be predicted, with probably fewer than 3.5 goals, given the strong defenses and inconsistent attacks.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the Georgia-Albania match could provide interesting betting opportunities for those who can read statistics. Georgia’s performance at home and the offensive and defensive efficiency of both teams seem to indicate a likely victory for Georgia with a score of 2-1. The scenario of over 2.5 goals but under 3.5 goals could offer a value bet. The observed trend where both teams score in the same match could also occur. However, as with all sports betting, nothing is guaranteed and each bettor must exercise caution and judgement. A thorough analysis beforehand – taking into account the teams’ form, potential injuries, and other factors influencing the match – is necessary to optimize the chances of placing a winning bet.