Tipps Germany Greece Matchs amicaux 07/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Germany wins the match

1. Germany has a higher probability of success: Based on the provided statistics, Germany has a win probability of 65.48%, which is much higher than Greece’s 13.2%. This means that based on past performances and other evaluated factors, Germany is very likely favored to win.

2. Germany’s past performances at home: Looking at Germany’s last 5 home games, they managed to win in 40% of cases. Although their record is not perfect, they have still shown good home performance, which could work in Germany’s favor for this match.

3. Comparison of offensive and defensive potential: While Greece has a higher offensive potential (64% vs 43%), Germany compensates for this with a defensive potential equal to its offensive potential (43%). In comparison, Greece has a lower defensive potential, at only 21%. This suggests that Germany might have a better balance between attack and defense, which could give them an edge in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. The statistics show that Germany and Greece are offensive teams: Germany scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Greece scores an average of 1.8 goals per away match. The combination of these two averages gives an average prediction of 3 goals per match, which favors the over 2.5 goals bet.

2. Looking at the defense of both teams, Germany has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging over 2 goals per match. Additionally, Greece has conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1 goal per match. These statistics indicate that both teams have vulnerable defenses, increasing the chances of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. According to the provided probabilities, the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet has a success probability of 58.88%. This probability is relatively high, suggesting that bookmakers believe there are good chances of seeing over 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent History: In their respective last 5 matches, Germany has scored at least one goal in 4 matches and Greece has done the same in 3 matches. Additionally, both Germany and Greece have conceded at least one goal in 3 of their last 5 matches, suggesting a potential for both teams to score.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Germany and Greece have shown good offensive performances, averaging 1.2 and 1.8 goals per match respectively in their last 5 matches. On the other hand, their defensive performance has been average, with Germany conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match and Greece 0.6 goals. These statistics indicate that both teams have offensive potential and are likely to score.

3. Statistical Probability: The option for both teams to score has a success probability of 54.82% according to the odds given, which is high enough to justify the prediction of this bet – that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Germany 1-1 Greece

1. Recent performances: Recent performances of Germany and Greece are quite similar. Germany has won in 40% of cases and drawn in 40% of cases, while Greece has won in 40% of cases and drawn in 20% of cases. Moreover, recent head-to-head results between these two teams also show a close performance proximity, increasing the likelihood of a 1-1 result.

2. Offensive and defensive potentials: Looking at offensive and defensive potentials, Germany has an offensive and defensive potential of 43%, while Greece has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 21%. These statistics suggest compatibility for a potential 1-1 score.

3. Goal probabilities: Goal probabilities indicate that the match would have over 1.5 goals (80.71%) but less than 3.5 goals (68.53%). This aligns with a range of results that includes a 1-1 score. Additionally, a 54.82% probability that both teams will score, which is also consistent with a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Germany, playing at home, appears to be in a bit of a dilemma. In their last 5 matches, they have won 2, drawn 2, and suffered a heavy defeat. Despite scoring a total of 7 goals, the 11 goals conceded show a vulnerable defense.

Greece, playing away, remains strong with 2 wins, a draw, and two losses without conceding any goals. They have scored 5 goals and have an impermeable defense, having only conceded 5 goals.

In terms of statistics, Germany has a 65.48% chance of winning. A draw seems less likely at 21.32%, while Greece does not appear to be an outsider with only 13.2% chances.

A match with over 1.5 goals seems more certain with an 80.71% chance, with a more mixed probability for over 2.5 goals.

The probability of both teams scoring is 54.82%, rising to 68.53% for less than 3.5 goals.

My prediction is based on these statistics. Germany has a higher chance of winning the match, but Greece could surprise with their solid defense. A low-scoring game with less than 2.5 goals is likely. Betting on a match with over 1.5 goals could be a safe option.

The potential number of goals

In the last 5 matches, Germany has had mixed performances at home, with a 40% win rate, 40% draws, and a goals scored/conceded ratio of 7/11. Their offensive and defensive strength stands at around 43%.

On the other hand, Greece has shown some efficiency away from home with a 40% win rate, 20% draws, and 5 goals scored against 5 conceded. Their offensive potential is at 64% and defensive potential at 21%.

Statistically, Germany has a win probability of 65.48%, leaving Greece with a margin of 13.2%.

The statistics also favor Germany with an 86.8% probability of winning or drawing. Furthermore, there is an 80.71% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match.

However, recent form shows Greece being effective away from home (victories against Ireland and Gibraltar) and Germany being somewhat vulnerable at home (losses against Turkey and Japan).

In conclusion, while Germany is the favorite, the bet could be risky considering recent performances. A bet on a total over 1.5 goals scored might be a better option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics and performances of both teams, Germany seems to be favored to win the match against Greece. However, with vulnerable defenses on both sides, there is a strong likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals scored during the match. Greece’s high offensive potential could also be surprising, hence the possibility of both teams scoring. Nonetheless, considering the high possibility of a draw, a bet on a total of over 1.5 goals could be the safer option. Ultimately, although Germany is the favorite, sports betting is unpredictable and it’s always important to bet responsibly.