Tipps Getafe Alaves La Liga 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Alavès wins the match

1. Alavès has shown a strong offensive performance in their previous matches. With an average of 2 goals per away game and an offensive potential of 71%, it is likely that Alavès will score more goals in the match against Getafe, who have a defensive potential of only 29%.
2. Comparing the win percentage, Alavès has an advantage. Alavès has won 40% of their away matches compared to Getafe, who have only won 20% of their home matches. This indicates that Alavès is more successful on the field, especially when playing away.
3. Analyzing the probability odds, Alavès is favored to win the match with a higher success probability compared to Getafe (37.21% against 32.56%). This indicates that bookmakers believe Alavès has a better chance of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The low offensive output of Getafe at home: In their last 5 matches, Getafe has scored only 3 goals, which averages to 0.6 goals per game. This lack of offensive power limits the likelihood of many goals in the match.
2. Getafe’s defensive performances at home: Similarly, Getafe has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game at home, which shows a relatively strong defensive performance contributing to a potentially lower total number of goals, possibly under 2.5.
3. Alavès scores but also concedes a lot away from home: Although Alavès averages 2 goals scored per game away, they have also conceded an average of 1.6 goals. This means that they often face as much, if not more, defensive pressure as they exert offensive pressure, which could ultimately lead to fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Getafe’s offensive potential at home is relatively weak at only 14%, suggesting a lower probability of the team scoring in the match.
2. Alavès, despite having a higher offensive potential, has a defensive potential of less than 60% when playing away, which strengthens the argument that Alavès may not score in this match.
3. The prediction for “under 1.5 goals in the match” has reasonable odds, indicating that the match could be a low-scoring one. This supports the argument that one or even both teams may not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Alavès wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Getafe 1-2 Alavès

1. The offensive potential of Alavès in away matches is much higher than that of Getafe at home. They score an average of 2 goals per match compared to just 0.4 goals for Getafe, which could indicate Alavès would score more.
2. Compared to their recent performances, Alavès has won more away matches (40%) than Getafe at home (20%), meaning that Alavès has shown better performance in similar situations.
3. The scoring history for Alavès in away matches shows that they have managed to score at least 2 goals in most of their recent matches. At the same time, Getafe has managed to score at least one goal in most of its home matches. This suggests a possible score of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Getafe has a poor home performance, with only 20% of wins and 3 goals scored in their last 5 matches. They have a low offensive potential of only 14%.

On the other hand, Alavès wins 40% of their away matches and scores twice as much with an average of 2 goals per game. Their offensive potential is strong, at 71%.

The success probabilities suggest that Alavès is more likely to win the match, with 37.21% against 32.56% for Getafe.

Getafe’s home matches generally have fewer goals, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game. Alavès’ away matches are more lively, scoring an average of 1.6 goals.

Both teams are more likely not to score in this match, with a 53.49% probability.

Taking these factors into account, the analysis suggests several possible predictions: Alavès winning the match, less than 2.5 goals in the match, or both teams not scoring.

The potential number of goals

Getafe struggles to win at home, with only a 20% success rate. Additionally, they have a low offensive potential of 14%. On the other hand, Alavès wins 40% of their away matches with an average of 2 goals per game.

With a solid defense, Getafe concedes few goals at home, averaging 0.8 per match. However, Alavès scores a lot away from home, with an average of 2 goals per match and a 71% probability of scoring in every game.

Getafe has a 32.56% chance of winning, but Alavès has a higher success rate at 37.21%. The forecast suggests a low-scoring game with over 1.5 goals in the match at a 74.42% probability, and under 3.5 goals at 90.7%.

Furthermore, both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a probability of 46.51%. Check the latest matches of these two teams for additional information.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the forecast for the match between Getafe and Alavès on September 28, 2024, leans towards Alavès. Statistics and recent performances indicate that Alavès has a superior offensive capability, especially away from home, which could make the difference in this match.

However, it is important to note that Getafe’s home matches are typically characterized by a lower number of goals. The option of under 2.5 goals in the match could therefore be a safe bet. Likewise, it seems unlikely that both teams will score in this match, which could provide another interesting betting option.

In terms of betting on the exact score, a 1-2 result in favor of Alavès appears to be a plausible option considering the past performances of both teams.

Nevertheless, ultimately, every bet carries a certain level of risk, and it is therefore recommended to bet responsibly.