Tipps Getafe Rayo Vallecano La Liga 24/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Getafe wins the match.

1. Getafe’s Home Match History: In the last five home matches of Getafe, they have a good trend of not losing by winning 1 match and drawing 3 matches. This performance sends a positive signal for this prediction.

2. Getafe’s Defensive Performance: Getafe’s defense at home is quite strong, conceding only 1 goal on average per match – a lower statistic than Rayo Vallecano away from home, who conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. Additionally, Getafe has shown that they are capable of keeping the score very low in their home matches, which favors the idea of a draw or Getafe’s victory.

3. Success Probabilities: The provided success probabilities favor the prediction of a draw or Getafe winning the match with a probability of 68.21%, significantly higher than that of the opposite prediction (Rayo Vallecano wins or draw) which is 64.62%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Low Offensive Potential: The statistics show that Getafe and Rayo Vallecano have a low offensive potential by scoring an average of only 0.6 and 0.8 goals per match respectively. Therefore, the total number of goals scored during the match is likely to be below 2.5.

2. Low-Scoring Upcoming Matches: The recent matches of Getafe and Rayo Vallecano have generally been low-scoring. In Getafe’s last 5 home matches, 4 had less than 2.5 goals. For Rayo Vallecano’s away matches, 3 out of 5 had less than 2.5 goals.

3. prevalence of Draws: Getafe has a high rate of draws, which usually signifies a lower number of goals scored. Indeed, in 60% of home games, Getafe has drawn, which may indicate a total number of goals below 2.5 in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Getafe’s home statistics show a low offensive potential (21%) with an average of only 0.6 goals per match. The data also indicates a strong tendency towards a draw for Getafe at home (60% in their last 5 matches).

2. Rayo Vallecano, in their away games, also has a low offensive potential (29%) and an average of 0.8 goals per match. Furthermore, the high number of goals conceded (9 in their last 5 matches) suggests that their games are generally low-scoring.

3. The probabilities suggest that the most likely scenario is a match with less than 3.5 goals (87.18% probability of success). This, combined with the low offensive potentials of both teams, reinforces the idea that both teams may not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.50

Bet on the exact result

Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

1. Getafe and Rayo Vallecano both have a high draw rate in their last 5 matches, with Getafe at 60% at home and Rayo Vallecano at 20% away. This indicates a tendency for both teams to finish with balanced scores.

2. The offensive potential of Getafe and Rayo Vallecano is 21% and 29% respectively, while their defensive potential is 36% and 57%. These statistics suggest a small gap in terms of goals scored and conceded, strongly hinting at a balanced match and a likely 1-1 result.

3. The prediction percentage for fewer than 2.5 goals per match is quite high (87.18%) and strongly suggests a match with a low number of goals. Combined with Getafe’s most common home score (1 goal) and Rayo Vallecano’s average of 0.8 goals scored per away match, this reinforces the probability of a 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Getafe is struggling to win at home, with only a 20% victory rate in their last 5 matches. However, they keep it tight with a 60% draw rate.

On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano shows better performance away, winning 40% of their last 5 matches. But the issue lies in defense, conceding 9 goals.

Despite their low win rate, Getafe has a solid defense, conceding only 1 goal per match on average at home. However, they lack attacking prowess, scoring only 0.6 goals per match.

Rayo Vallecano scores more, with 0.8 goals per match away, but their defense is leaky, conceding 1.6 goals per match.

Getafe has a 35.38% chance of winning, and a draw is almost equally likely at 32.82%.

Rayo Vallecano is slightly less favored, with a 31.79% chance of winning.

Covering the draw and Getafe gives a 68.21% probability of winning.

A match with under 1.5 goals pays 2.55, but a match with over 1.5 goals is more likely at 69.74%.

Looking at Getafe’s recent home matches, they scored in only 2 out of 5 and won just one.

Rayo Vallecano, in their away matches, scored in 4 out of 5 and won two.

Therefore, my prediction leans towards a low-scoring match, possibly a draw. Based on the odds, a match with under 2.5 goals could be an interesting bet.

The potential number of goals

Getafe has had a variable performance at home recently. Out of their last 5 games, only 20% were won, while 60% were draws. During these matches, Getafe scored 2 goals and conceded 2 as well.

Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, has shown better performance away from home, winning 40% of their last 5 matches. However, they have been less solid defensively, conceding 9 goals while scoring only 4.

Analyzing the offensive and defensive potentials reinforces these observations. Getafe and Rayo Vallecano have attacking potentials of 21% and 29% respectively, and defensive potentials of 36% and 57%.

These statistics suggest a competitive match, with the odds indicating almost equal chances of victory for each team: 35.38% for Getafe and 31.79% for Rayo Vallecano. Additionally, a relatively high probability of a draw is also noted at 32.82%.

In terms of goals, the match may not be high-scoring. The probability of a match with less than 1.5 goals is favored with odds of 2.55. Furthermore, the likelihood of the score staying under 3.5 goals is a comfortable 87.18%.

Both teams to score? The odds are almost even, but slightly favor a scenario where both teams do not score, with a 52.31% probability.

Considering all this, a cautious bet would be on a match with under 3.5 goals. For those who enjoy riskier bets, a draw could be an enticing option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of past performances, offensive and defensive potentials, team forms, as well as the likely odds for the match between Getafe and Rayo Vallecano suggest interesting betting opportunities despite a possible prevalence of draws. A safe bet would be to wager on a total of under 2.5 goals in the match, given the low offensive potential of both teams. The most probable score could be a 1-1 draw, based on the recent performances of both teams. Therefore, those looking to take a bigger risk could bet on a draw. Finally, statistics suggest that it is likely that both teams will not score. Remember, of course, that sports betting always involves a level of risk and it is essential to bet responsibly.