Tipps Gibraltar Wales Matchs amicaux 06/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Wales wins the match”

1. Wales has a much higher offensive potential (57%) compared to Gibraltar (0%), indicating that Wales has a much better ability to score goals.
2. Wales also has a significantly weaker defensive potential (29%) than Gibraltar (186%), showing that Wales is more capable of preventing goals than Gibraltar.
3. Recent match statistics clearly demonstrate a trend: Gibraltar does not win in its home matches while Wales has shown an ability to win or draw in its away games.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of Wales away from home is noteworthy, with an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches. As a result, they have the ability to score 2 to 3 goals against Gibraltar to reach a total of over 2.5 goals.

2. Gibraltar has a very weak defensive potential, conceding an average of 5.2 goals per game at home in their last 5 matches. This increases the likelihood that Wales will score over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Gibraltar’s recent home matches have nearly all exceeded the 2.5 goals threshold (except for the match against Lithuania), indicating a tendency for high-scoring games when Gibraltar plays at home.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. Gibraltar is statistically weak in attack, not scoring any goals in their last 5 home matches. Therefore, it is highly unlikely that Gibraltar will score in the match against Wales.
2. Wales has a strong defense, conceding on average only 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 away games. It is therefore very likely that they will manage to keep a clean sheet against Gibraltar.
3. The previous statistics of both teams suggest a defensive game, with few total goals scored (Gibraltar having an offensive potential of 0% and Wales a defensive potential of 29%). It is therefore likely that only one of the two teams – in this case, Wales, given its higher offensive potential – will manage to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Gibraltar 0-3 Wales

1. Gibraltar’s previous home performances show a weak defense, with an average of 5.2 goals conceded per match and no goals scored, indicating a low chance for them to score against Wales.
2. Wales’ recent away results demonstrate a strong attacking ability, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match and only conceding 0.8 goals per match, suggesting they could score multiple goals against Gibraltar while also having a good chance of keeping a clean sheet.
3. The match odds also heavily favor a Wales victory (0% probability for Gibraltar to win and a low chance for a draw) and a very high probability of both teams not scoring (100%), further supporting the argument for a likely Wales win without conceding a goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gibraltar struggles at home, with no goals scored and 3 conceded in 5 matches. They always end up with a draw. On the other hand, Wales has only won 1 of their last 5 away matches. However, they have scored 5 times and conceded only 6 goals, indicating a stronger defense.

Gibraltar’s offensive potential is very low (0%), while their defense remains weak with an average of 186% of goals conceded at home. In contrast, Wales has an offensive potential of 57% and a more effective defense at 29%.

The probabilities of success are zero for Gibraltar and a draw. Nevertheless, precise probabilities for a Wales victory are not available.

According to the statistics, there is a high likelihood that fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals will be scored (100% probability) and that both teams will not score (also 100% probability).

Looking at previous matches, Gibraltar suffered significant defeats against teams like France and the Netherlands. Wales managed to draw against teams like Armenia and the USA.

In conclusion, Wales seems to have the advantage over Gibraltar, both in terms of overall performance and in attack and defense. The number of goals should be moderate during this match.

The potential number of goals

Gibraltar’s home performances are not brilliant, with a total absence of wins in five matches and 15 goals conceded. The offensive potential is non-existent and the defense is fragile with an average of over 5 goals conceded per match.

On the other hand, Wales performs better away from home, winning once and securing three draws, scoring 5 goals and conceding only 6. The offensive potential is respectable with an average of 1.6 goals per match, their defense is also solid with 0.8 goals conceded on average per match.

The match result probabilities are not in favor of Gibraltar. The odds for a Wales win are 1.01, indicating a high probability. However, the “Both teams not to score” option seems interesting, with a 100% success rate and odds of 1.20.

Statistics suggest a Wales win with a high probability that Gibraltar fails to score. A low-scoring match can be expected, with less than 3.5 goals at odds of 2.95.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, all statistics and performance indicators favor Wales for this match against Gibraltar. Wales’s higher offensive potential and stronger defense, as well as their tendency to win or draw away from home, clearly make them the favorites. Gibraltar, with their repeated failures at home, weak offense, and fragile defense, have little chance of causing an upset.

As for the Over/Under 2.5 goals bet, the combination of Wales’s offense and Gibraltar’s defense suggests that more than 2.5 goals could be scored during the match. However, the prediction for the total goals in this match seems to lean towards under 3.5 goals, considering Gibraltar’s struggles to produce high-scoring games and Wales’s solid defensive potential, even away from home.

Regarding the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) bet, the statistics clearly point towards a “No,” given Wales’s strong defensive ability and Gibraltar’s lack of offensive efficiency.

For those looking to bet on the exact score, a 0-3 result in favor of Wales seems the most likely, taking into account both teams’ previous performances.

Overall, bettors should lean towards a Wales victory, likely with under 3.5 total goals and a potential exact score of 0-3 in favor of Wales. It is advisable to exercise caution based on statistical analysis, as football can always spring surprises.