Tipps Girona Rayo Vallecano La Liga 25/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Girona wins the match.

1. Girona has a tendency to win or draw at home, having won 40% of their matches and drawn in 40% of cases in their last 5 home games. This makes a favorable result for Girona or a draw more likely.
2. Rayo Vallecano has an average performance away, only winning 40% of their last matches and drawing in 20% of cases. Furthermore, they have scored fewer goals away than Girona has scored at home, increasing the likelihood of a win or draw for Girona.
3. Probability statistics also confirm this forecast. The probability of Girona winning the match is 58.88%, while the probability of a draw is 23.35%. The fact that the probability of “Draw or Girona wins the match” is 82.23% further confirms the prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics show that Girona and Rayo Vallecano have similar offensive and defensive results, with both teams averaging around 1.4 goals per match. The average number of goals scored by these two teams does not reach the 2.5 goals threshold.

2. Statistics indicate that Rayo Vallecano is less productive in terms of goals when playing away, having scored only 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. This could reduce the total number of goals during the match.

3. The recent matches of both teams show some variability in scoring, suggesting that the offensive potential of each team may be limited depending on the opponent they are facing. The fact that these two teams can sometimes fail to score or only score one goal adds weight to the argument for under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics show that, although Girona has a strong offensive potential at home, they are also likely to concede goals to the opponent. However, Rayo Vallecano has shown a weak offensive performance in their away matches, scoring only 4 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Girona has a higher probability (58.88%) of winning the match. Therefore, if the team performs according to the expected probabilities, they may prevent Rayo Vallecano from scoring.

3. Taking into account the statistics of “under 2.5 goals in the match” which has odds of 1.85 and a success rate of 49.24% for “over 2.5 goals in the match”, a trend towards a low-scoring match is indicated. This supports the prediction that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Rayo Vallecano wins the match – odds: 2.00

Bet on the exact result

Girona 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

1. The performance of Girona at home in their last 5 matches is noteworthy. Although their win and draw rate is 40%, their tally of 15 goals scored is very impressive, indicating a strong ability to find the back of the net when playing on their turf.

2. In contrast, Rayo Vallecano has had a less impressive away performance in their last 5 matches. While their win percentage matches Girona’s at 40%, they have scored fewer goals (4) and conceded more (5). This suggests they may struggle to score against Girona.

3. Looking at the odds, Girona has a higher probability of winning (58.88%) and averages 1.4 goals scored per home game. With Rayo Vallecano’s defense conceding an average of 1.2 goals per away game, predicting a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Girona is not unreasonable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Girona shows solid form at home with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have also shown an impressive offensive attack by scoring 15 goals, despite a leaky defense with 15 goals conceded.

Rayo Vallecano, however, is also competitive on the road, winning 40% of their last 5 away matches and only conceding a draw in 20% of cases. Their attack seems more reserved with a total of 4 goals scored, but their defense is slightly more solid, having only conceded 5 goals.

In terms of goals, both teams average 1.4 goals per match. Girona has a fair defense, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Rayo Vallecano slightly edges out Girona in this area with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match.

Probabilities based on previous statistics heavily favor Girona to win with a probability of 58.88%, while Rayo Vallecano gets 17.77%. A draw has a probability of 23.35%.

Overall, the match between Girona and Rayo Vallecano could prove to be a tight one. However, considering Girona’s home record and Rayo Vallecano’s away record, the advantage seems to slightly lean towards Girona.

The potential number of goals

Girona and Rayo Vallecano have been quite evenly matched in their last 5 games. Girona won 40% of their home games, similar to Rayo’s away record. In these matches, Girona showed more attacking prowess with 15 goals scored, compared to only 4 for Rayo.

Girona also displayed a solid defense, conceding as many goals as they scored. Rayo, on the other hand, conceded more goals than they scored away from home.

The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is quite similar, around 50%. This indicates a tight contest.

Statistics give Girona a 58.88% chance of winning, while Rayo has only 17.77%. A draw has a 23.35% chance of occurring.

In terms of goals, there is a 73.1% probability of over 1.5 goals, and 49.24% for over 2.5 goals.

There is also a very close to 50% chance that both teams will score.

Analyzing the teams’ recent matches, Girona has shown a wide range of scores at home, ranging from heavy defeats to massive victories. Rayo, on the other hand, has had close matches away, often involving just one goal being scored or conceded.

In conclusion, it could be a tight match, with a slight inclination towards Girona as the favorite to win. However, the leaning is even stronger towards a high-scoring game, especially given Girona’s tendency to be involved in high-scoring matches. This could lead to a prediction of over 1.5 goals for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on this detailed analysis, it appears that Girona is in a favorable position to win this La Liga match against Rayo Vallecano, considering their recent home field results and Rayo’s somewhat less impressive away performance. However, given Girona’s attacking potential and Rayo’s resilient defense, the match could be a tight affair with few goals expected. Therefore, under 2.5 goals are anticipated for this match, with a likely win or draw for Girona. Nevertheless, an interesting value bet would be to wager on “Draw or Rayo Vallecano to win the match” considering Rayo’s ability to secure results on the road. Ultimately, all information and analysis presented here are merely indications based on historical statistics and do not guarantee the actual match result, which can be influenced by numerous unpredictable factors.