Tipps Girona Villarreal La Liga 14/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Girona wins the match.”

1. Girona’s home performance is outstanding: they have won 100% of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.6 goals per match. Their offensive potential is at 93%, showing they have a strong ability to score goals, especially at home.
2. Villarreal’s away performance is less impressive: they have only won 40% of their last 5 matches and have an average of 1.8 goals per match. With an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 50%, Villarreal seems less effective in both attack and defense, especially when playing away.
3. Comparing the success probabilities, Girona has a 83.33% chance of winning compared to 0% for Villarreal. This suggests that the odds are strongly in favor of Girona to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Girona has a strong home goal average: in their last 5 home matches, the team has scored an average of 2.6 goals per game.
2. Villarreal also has a decent ability to score away goals: in their last 5 away matches, the team has scored an average of 1.8 goals per game.
3. Both Girona and Villarreal have defensive weaknesses: Girona has conceded 1.6 goals per game at home, while Villarreal has conceded 1.4 goals per game away.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Girona has shown significant offensive performances at home: in their last 5 matches, Girona scored 16 goals, averaging 3.2 goals per match. This strong attacking power is likely to be evident in the match against Villarreal.

2. Villarreal has displayed defensive weaknesses in their away matches, conceding 12 goals in their last 5 games. This defensive vulnerability provides an opportunity for Girona to score.

3. While Villarreal’s performances may not be as strong as Girona’s, they have still managed to score 8 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. This indicates that they still have the ability to score in the match against Girona.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – odds: 4.75

Bet on the exact result

Girona 3-2 Villarreal

1. Girona’s home performance is exceptional with a 100% win rate in their last 5 matches and an average of 2.6 goals scored per game. Girona’s matches tend to be high-scoring, with at least 3 goals in the majority of their recent games.

2. Villarreal has shown a tendency to concede more goals away than they score, with an average of 1.8 goals scored against 1.4 goals conceded in their last 5 away matches. Additionally, they have a relatively low win rate of 40%, suggesting a weakness for Villarreal when playing away.

3. The odds and probabilities all point towards a Girona victory with over 2.5 goals in the match. The odds also suggest that both teams are likely to score, which aligns with the goal averages of both teams in their last 5 matches.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Girona is strong at home. They have won all their last 5 matches. Their total score is 16 goals for and 16 goals against.
Villarreal has less success away. They win in 40% of the cases and score less, with 8 goals for and 12 goals against.
Girona shows an offensive potential of 93%. Villarreal struggles more with 64%.
Defensively, Girona is at 57%, Villarreal at 50%.
Girona has a 83.33% probability of winning this match. A draw is unlikely (16.67%).
Betting on ‘over 3.5 goals in the match’ can be wise (66.67% success rate).
It is preferable to bet on “Girona wins or draw”, with 100% chance.
Finally, Villarreal will struggle to win; the probability is 0%.
The recent matches confirm these trends. Especially Girona 4 – 2 Barcelona and Marseille OM 4 – 0 Villarreal.
Thus, Girona seems to be the safest choice for this bet.

The potential number of goals

Girona has shown an impressive home performance, securing victories in all their recent matches. They have an offensive potential of 93%, averaging 2.6 goals per game. Their defense, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, demonstrates a moderate performance with a defensive potential of 57%.

On the other hand, Villarreal has displayed a moderate away performance, winning only 40% of their recent matches. Their offensive potential is 64%, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. Their defense is similar to Girona’s, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, with a defensive potential of 50%.

The forecast strongly favors Girona with an 83.33% probability of winning the match. The possibility of a draw or a Villarreal victory seems unlikely. Betting also suggests a high potential for goals, with lower odds for over 1.5 goals in the match.

Looking at their recent performances, Girona has shown a trend of scoring at least 2 goals at home. Villarreal struggles to keep a clean sheet away from home, always conceding at least 1 goal.

In conclusion, Girona appears to be the safe choice for this match, with a strong offensive potential and a high probability of winning at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the statistics and recent performances of Girona and Villarreal strongly suggest a dominance of Girona for this home match. Girona has shown impressive offensive performance and moderate defensive solidity at home, while Villarreal has struggled away from home. The 83.33% win probability for Girona against 0% for Villarreal clearly indicates the advantage is in favor of Girona.

Additionally, both Girona and Villarreal have shown a tendency to participate in high-scoring matches. Therefore, a bet on “over 2.5 goals in the match” seems wise, as well as a bet on “both teams to score.”

Furthermore, despite Girona’s dominance, a draw offers attractive odds and could be considered a ‘value bet.’ Finally, the exact score of Girona 3-2 Villarreal could be a good option for those seeking higher odds.

However, it’s important to emphasize that while these predictions are based on detailed analysis, sports betting always involves a level of risk. Therefore, it is crucial to bet responsibly.