Tipps Granada CF Malaga LaLiga 2 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Granada wins the match

1. Performance statistics: Over their respective last 5 matches, Granada has managed to win or draw in 60% of the cases, while Malaga has only won in 20% of the cases. Based on these recent performances, Granada seems to be in better form than Malaga.

2. Defensive potential: Granada has a better defensive potential at home (57%) compared to Malaga away (29%). Furthermore, Granada has conceded as many goals as they have scored (5) in their last 5 home matches, whereas Malaga has conceded more goals than they have scored away (9 goals conceded against 8 scored). This could indicate that Granada has a stronger defense, which could reduce Malaga’s chances of winning.

3. Calculated probabilities: The calculated probability of Granada winning or the match ending in a draw is 78.33%, which is much higher than the probability of Malaga winning the match (21.67%). This high probability suggests that Granada has a significant chance of not losing this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Historical scores: The scores in the last 5 matches of Granada at home and Malaga away show an average trend of scoring 1.2 goals per match. Therefore, a total of under 2.5 goals in the match is realistic.

2. Teams’ offensive and defensive potentials: Granada has a home offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 57%, while Malaga has an away offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 29%. These statistics suggest that both teams tend to score few and concede few goals.

3. Probabilities: The “Under 2.5 goals in the match” option has odds of 1.68, indicating that bookmakers also consider this outcome likely, given the past performances of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal Statistics: The statistics display a certain number of goals scored and conceded by both teams, Granada and Malaga, in their last 5 matches, indicating a tendency for goals to be scored.

2. Match History: The recent results of Granada’s home matches and Malaga’s away matches show that it is common for both teams to score. In Granada’s last 5 home matches, they scored in 4 of them. Similarly, Malaga scored in 3 out of their last 5 away matches.

3. Probabilities: The statistics provided by the odds suggest a 53.89% probability of both teams scoring, exceeding the 50% mark, implying it is a likely outcome based on historical and recent data.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Granada 1-1 Malaga

1. Recent away statistics for Malaga show a strong tendency towards draws (80% of cases) with an average score of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded, aligning well with the prediction of 1-1.
2. Granada, at home, scores and concedes on average the same number of goals per match as Malaga in their away matches (1.2). Additionally, Granada has scored at least one goal in each of their last five home matches, which also supports the prediction of 1-1.
3. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is similar, with an average success rate of 43% for both teams and a slightly higher defense rate for Granada at 57% compared to 29% for Malaga. This suggests a tight and balanced match can be expected, making a draw score like 1-1 plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Granada struggles to win at home, with only a 20% victory rate in the last 5 matches. Their performances are quite balanced, with 5 goals scored and conceded.

Malaga shows a similar performance, with a 20% win rate, but stands out with a very high draw rate of 80%. Despite this, they have managed to score more goals than Granada (8 against 5), but have also conceded more goals (9 against 5).

Granada displays offensive and defensive potentials of 43% and 57% respectively, while Malaga manages to maintain an offensive potential of 43%, but with a weaker defensive performance at 29%.

Probabilities indicate that Granada has a greater chance of winning the match, 46.11% against 21.67% for Malaga. A draw has a probability of 32.22%.

There is a 72.22% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a probability of 47.78% for more than 2.5 goals.

There is a 53.89% probability that both teams will score, a figure supported notably by Malaga’s offensive record in recent matches.

Based on the statistics, Granada seems to have a very slight advantage, but a draw is quite probable, given the past performances of both teams.

The potential number of goals

Granada, playing at home, has a balanced performance: 20% wins, 40% draws, 5 goals scored and conceded. Their offensive potential is 43%, defensive 57%, and they score 1.2 goals per match.

Malaga, playing away, shows a draw tendency (80%), with 20% wins. The team has scored 8 goals and conceded 9. With 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, Malaga has offensive and defensive potentials of 43% and 29% respectively.

The numbers indicate a 46.11% probability of Granada winning (odds 1.90) and a 32.22% probability of a draw (odds 3.40). The probability of Malaga winning is 21.67% (odds 4.00).

Predicting less than 4.5 goals in the match is an option with a success probability of 100.56% (odds not available). For more than 1.5 goals in the match, the probability is 72.22% (odds 1.36).

Finally, both teams could score, with a probability of 53.89% (odds 1.95). There is a 46.11% probability that both teams will not score (odds 1.80).

Historically, Granada has scored a goal in each of their last 5 home matches. Malaga has scored in all away matches except one.

In conclusion, the match between Granada and Malaga could be tight, with a slight edge for Granada. A plausible option would be less than 4.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the analysis of past and recent performances, statistics, and probabilities, it is clear that the match between Granada and Malaga promises to be tight and the possibility of a draw seems quite probable. Despite a slight advantage for Granada, the recent history of both teams shows a strong tendency towards draws, raising this possibility. As for goals, the match is unlikely to be high-scoring with a marked trend for under 2.5 goals. The prediction of “both teams to score” also seems like an interesting option, given that both teams have shown a certain offensive ability in their recent matches. Finally, in terms of exact score betting, a 1-1 draw seems plausible. It would also be wise to monitor the odds and any potential changes leading up to the match kickoff.