Tipps Greece Finland UEFA Nations League 07/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Greece wins the match.”

1. Greece has a better performance at home compared to Finland away: Greece has won 60% of their last 5 home matches while Finland has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches.
2. Greece has a better defense at home compared to Finland’s attack away: Greece has conceded only 0.8 goals per match on average at home, while Finland only scores 1.8 goals away on average.
3. Overall probability statistics favor Greece: Based on the given probabilities, Greece has a 53.75% chance of winning the match (odds of 1.80) while Finland only has a 20% chance of securing victory (odds of 4.33).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Greece has an average of 2 goals per home match in their last 5 games, indicating a strong offensive potential. Moreover, they have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches.

2. Finland, on the other hand, has averaged 1.8 goals per away match in their last 5 games and conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match. This suggests that their away matches tend to have high scores, and they could contribute to the goals needed to reach over 2.5 goals.

3. Recent scores in Greece’s home matches and Finland’s away matches consistently show a total of over 2.5 goals. For instance, Greece’s match against Kazakhstan had 5 goals, and Finland’s match against Portugal had 6 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have a good ability to score goals, with Greece having scored 11 goals in 5 home matches and Finland having scored 7 goals in its last 5 away matches.
2. The defense of both teams seems to be their weakness, as Greece has conceded 12 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Finland has conceded 10 goals in its last 5 away matches.
3. The recent matches of both teams also indicate a high probability of both teams scoring, as shown by the scores in Greece’s recent home matches and Finland’s away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Finland wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Greece 2-1 Finland

1. Greece’s Home Performance: According to statistics, Greece has a strong home performance, winning 60% of its matches. It also has an offensive potential of 71%, scoring an average of 2 goals per match, which supports the predicted score of 2 goals.

2. Finland’s Away Performance: Although Finland has a win rate of only 20% away from home, they have shown that they can score, with an offensive potential of 64% and an average of 1.8 goals per match, supporting the prediction of a goal scored by Finland.

3. Probability in Favor of Greece: The odds also favor Greece, with a 53.75% probability of winning the match. Additionally, the prediction of “over 1.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 70.63%, making a scoreline of 2-1 plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Greece is in good form at home with a 60% win rate. They have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals per home game, and have kept clean sheets recently against Malta and Kazakhstan.

Defensively, Greece has only conceded 12 goals in 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals conceded per game, showcasing a 29% defensive potential.

Finland struggles on the road with only a 20% win rate. They have scored 7 goals in 5 away games, averaging 1.8 goals per match on the road. In their last away game, they lost 3-0 to Slovenia.

Defensively, Finland tends to concede a lot. They have conceded 10 goals in 5 matches on the road, averaging 2.4 goals conceded per game, with an 86% defensive potential.

The probability of a Greece win is 53.75%, a draw is at 26.25%, and a Finland win is at 20%.

For goals, under 1.5 goals in the match is priced at 3.00, while over 1.5 goals has a 70.63% success rate. Over 2.5 goals has a 46.25% success rate.

In summary, Greece appears to have the advantage. A home win or a draw could be good bets considering the recent performances of both teams. Start preparing your bet.

The potential number of goals

The analysis shows that Greece has a strong home performance with a 60% win rate and an average of 2 goals per match. Also, their defense is quite resilient, reducing the number of goals conceded to 0.8 per match. This gives them a 53.75% chance of winning the match.

On the other hand, Finland struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate and a leaky defense, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. Their offensive potential is also inferior to Greece’s, with only 1.8 goals per match.

The data suggests a match in favor of Greece with a high likelihood of goals (70.63% probability for over 1.5 goals in the match). The probability of both teams scoring is 47.5%, slightly lower than the probability of at least one team not scoring (52.5%).

According to the statistics, the most likely scenario is a Greece win with fewer than 4.5 goals in the match (116.25% probability). The recent matches of both teams confirm these trends.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and recent performances of both teams indicate that Greece has the edge over Finland for this match. However, it is important not to overlook that football is a sport where uncertainty plays a crucial role. Betting on a Finland win, despite its low chances of success, could indeed represent an interesting value bet, considering the potentially high return on investment.

In terms of goals, the statistics suggest a high-scoring match, with a strong probability of more than 2.5 goals. Betting on both teams to score is also very likely, given the strong attacks from both sides and defenses that tend to concede goals.

The safest bet appears to be a Greece win, as they have shown remarkable home performance. A predicted exact score of 2-1 for Greece seems plausible considering their previous and current performances. However, since football is unpredictable, it is recommended to take into account other factors such as injuries, player form, or team dynamics before placing your bet. Remember, betting should be for entertainment purposes, always bet responsibly.