Tipps Greece Rep. Of Ireland UEFA Nations League 13/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Greece wins the match.

1. Greece has a stronger home performance history than Ireland does away. Greece has a 60% probability of winning and has scored 12 goals in their last 5 home matches, whereas Ireland has only a 20% probability of winning and has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Goal statistics show that Greece is more offensive at home with an average of 1.6 goals per match and more defensive with an average of 0.4 goals conceded per match. In contrast, Ireland struggles to score away with an average of 0.4 goals per match and concedes more with an average of 1.8 goals per match. This is a positive indication that Greece has a better defense and more dynamic attack at home than Ireland does away.

3. The bet “Draw or Greece wins the match” has a higher success probability of 83.77% and a payout rate of 1.16. This means that based on previous and current statistics, it is more likely that the match will end in a draw or with a win for Greece than for Ireland to win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Ireland’s offensive performance away from home is very weak, with an average of 0.4 goals per match, which is well below average. This offensive weakness could limit the total number of goals scored in the match.

2. Considering Greece’s home performance, they concede very few goals on average (0.4 per match). Greece’s defensive system seems solid enough to contain Ireland’s attack and keep the total goals low.

3. Probability statistics suggest a high likelihood of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match (odds are at 1.53). This indicates a general trend of seeing fewer goals in this type of match, especially when both teams have relatively good defensive performances.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent statistics show that Ireland has been struggling to score away from home, with an average of just 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 games.
2. Ireland has a low offensive potential at only 14%, while Greece has a strong defensive capability at home, with a potential of 14%.
3. Ireland’s recent away matches have been characterized by their inability to score in three out of the last five games (Portugal 3 – 0 Ireland, Netherlands 1 – 0 Ireland, France 2 – 0 Ireland).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Greece 2-0 Ireland

1. The offensive potential of Greece at home is significantly higher than the offensive potential of Ireland away (57% vs 14%). This is a strong argument in favor of a 2-0 scoreline in favor of Greece.

2. Ireland’s recent away performances demonstrate their struggles to score goals, averaging only 0.4 goals per match. They have also conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 away games, supporting a 2-0 scoreline in favor of Greece.

3. Historical statistics also support this prediction. In the last match between the two teams played in Greece, Ireland failed to score and lost 2-1. This reinforces the idea that Greece has a solid defense and good offensive potential against this team.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Greece, in good form at home, wins 60% of its matches. They have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches. Defensively, they concede very few goals, only 13.

On the other hand, Ireland struggles away from home, with rare victories. They only have a 20% win rate and have scored very few goals, only 5. They concede more goals than they score, with 7 goals conceded.

In terms of statistics, Greece has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 14%. Meanwhile, Ireland has an offensive potential of 14% and a defensive potential of 64%.

The probabilities favor Greece with a 47.4% chance of winning compared to 16.23% for Ireland.

A total of over 1.5 goals in the match seems probable with a 59.74% chance at odds of 1.50. Both teams not scoring also appears to be a strong possibility with a 57.79% probability at odds of 1.62.

In summary, Greece seems to be the favorite at home, and a match with over 1.5 goals and both teams not scoring would likely be the outcome for this match.

The potential number of goals

Greece has had strong performances at home, winning 60% of the time and scoring 12 goals in 5 matches. Clearly, they are a team that knows how to capitalize on their home turf.

On the other hand, Ireland struggles away from home, only winning 20% of their matches and scoring just 5 goals in 5 games.

The Greek defense appears solid, conceding only 0.4 goals per game on average. In contrast, Ireland seems to struggle defensively on the road, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per match.

The probability of Greece winning is estimated at close to 50%, compared to a low 16% for Ireland. Betting on Greece could be a wise choice.

The match is expected to have few goals, with a high probability of less than 4.5 goals in the game.

On the other hand, the chances of both teams scoring are almost balanced, with a slight preference for a scenario where both teams fail to score.

In conclusion, we can expect a match more favorable to Greece with a likely low score. However, uncertainties remain given the varying performances of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Following a detailed analysis of the recent performances of the Greece and Ireland teams, several trends seem to stand out. Firstly, Greece has shown strong performance at home with a 60% probability of winning and a significant goal output. Meanwhile, Ireland struggles to score away from home and has a lower win rate. Additionally, Greece’s defensive performances at home are solid, which could limit the number of goals scored by Ireland. By betting on a draw or a Greece win, a correct score of 2-0 in favor of Greece, both teams not scoring, and a total of under 3.5 goals in the match, one would optimize the chances of success. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is ever guaranteed, so it’s important to bet thoughtfully and responsibly.