Tipps Gremio Botafogo Serie A 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Botafogo RJ wins the match.

1. Historical performance: Botafogo RJ has shown a strong performance in their recent away matches, with a 60% win rate and a 40% draw rate. This demonstrates the team’s strength in away games.

2. Betting probabilities: The betting odds indicate a high likelihood of victory for Botafogo RJ with a probability of 42.02%, the highest rate among all three outcomes.

3. Defensive potential: Botafogo RJ has a solid defense when playing away, conceding an average of only 0.2 goals per match. This is a key factor that could help them prevent Grêmio RS from scoring, thereby increasing their chances of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The statistics from previous matches indicate a low average of goals per match for both teams (Gremio RS scores an average of 1.2 goals per match and Botafogo RJ 1 goal per match). Furthermore, both teams have a solid defense with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match for Gremio RS and 0.2 goals for Botafogo RJ.

2. In their respective last 5 matches, Gremio RS scored 8 goals and conceded 8 goals, while Botafogo RJ scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals. The combined total of 27 goals in the 10 matches shows an average of 2.7 goals per match, indicating a high probability of having less than 2.5 goals.

3. Finally, the odds offered for the “under 2.5 goals” bet are attractive and seem to be an accurate reflection of the actual probability. When we combine this with the first two points, there is a strong likelihood that the match will produce fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Score history: Looking at the recent matches of both teams, they have both shown an ability to score goals. Botafogo RJ has scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches while Gremio RS has scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.

2. Home and away performances: Gremio RS has an average of goals scored per match at home greater than 1, indicating that they are strong offensively when playing at home. Botafogo RJ has an average of 1 goal scored per away match, also demonstrating their ability to score away from home.

3. Betting probabilities: Based on the data, the probability of both teams scoring is estimated at 57.45%, which is quite high and supports the prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Gremio RS 1-1 Botafogo RJ

1. The statistics of Gremio RS at home and Botafogo RJ away show that they both have a balance between their offensive and defensive capabilities. Gremio RS has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 0.6, while Botafogo RJ has scored 1 goal per match and conceded 0.2. This indicates that a draw with a 1-1 score is plausible.

2. The probability rate for a draw is 29.79%, which is quite close to the probability for a win by Gremio RS (28.19%) or Botafogo RJ (42.02%). This suggests that a draw, like a 1-1, is a possible outcome.

3. Regarding the last five matches, both for Gremio RS at home and Botafogo RJ away, we observe that there has been at least one occurrence of a 1-1 draw (Gremio RS 1 – 1 Estudiantes La Plata and Fortaleza EC 1 – 1 Botafogo RJ). This also reflects the potential for a 1-1 draw in the upcoming match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gremio RS has a modest home record, with 60% wins and 20% draws. They have scored and conceded 8 goals in total. Their offensive potential stands at 43% and their defense at 21%.

Botafogo RJ has shown strong form away from home with 60% wins. They have managed to score 5 goals but have conceded 6. Their attack is at 36% and defense at 7%.

Current odds indicate a higher probability of victory for Botafogo RJ at 42.02%, followed by a draw at 29.79%, and Gremio RS at 28.19%.

The option of a draw or Botafogo RJ win has a success probability of 71.81%. In terms of goals, there is a 77.13% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match.

In their recent matches, Gremio RS has had mixed results. As for Botafogo RJ, their recent away games have been rather successful.

Key prediction: A close encounter is expected with a slight favorable trend towards Botafogo RJ. Also consider the potential for over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

The Gremio RS has a decent home performance. With 60% of wins, Gremio RS shows that it holds its ground well on its own turf. However, it concedes as many goals as it scores, indicating a somewhat fragile defense.

Botafogo RJ is a tough opponent away from home, with 60% of wins and 40% of draws. It scores less but also concedes fewer goals, boasting a stronger defensive potential than Gremio RS.

For the upcoming match, the predictions lean more towards a victory for Botafogo RJ, with a probability of 42.02% and odds at 2.40. However, the probability of a draw or a Gremio RS win is also worth considering, with 57.98% and odds at 1.57.

Regarding the number of goals, the forecast suggests a match with less than 3.5 goals, a probability of 82.98% and odds at 1.28. The assumption that both teams score is also to be considered with a probability of 57.45%.

Given this information, the match is likely to be competitive and uncertain. One thing is certain, it promises to be interesting!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, this match between Gremio RS and Botafogo RJ is shaping up to be highly contested. Historically and statistically, Botafogo RJ holds a slight edge, particularly due to their solid away results. Therefore, a bet on Botafogo RJ to win seems sensible, with some attention to the possibility of a draw.

In terms of the number of goals, the match is likely to produce fewer than 2.5 goals, although both teams have shown the ability to score. This raises some interest in the bet that both teams will score during the match.

Lastly, the most likely exact score bet appears to be a 1-1 draw, a plausible outcome given the balanced performances on the field by these two teams.

In summary, it is recommended to focus on bets with high probability and interest. Bettors should exercise caution and analysis while considering the factors highlighted in this article.