Tipps Gremio Flamengo Serie A 22/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Gremio RS wins the match

1. Statistically, Gremio RS has a stronger performance at home in their last 5 matches, with a win in 40% of cases and a draw in 40% of cases, compared to Flamengo who only wins in 20% of cases away from home and never draws.

2. According to the provided probabilities, the combination of a draw or Gremio RS winning the match has a success probability of 67.69% compared to Flamengo’s winning probability of only 32.31%.

3. Gremio RS has a 43% offensive potential at home and a 64% defensive potential. Flamengo, on the other hand, has a 43% offensive potential away from home but a weaker defensive potential of 29%. These offensive and defensive potential ratios favor Gremio RS or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent Performances: Both teams have displayed a low offensive performance in their last matches. Gremio RS scored 5 goals in 5 home matches while Flamengo scored only 3 goals in 5 away matches.

2. Goal Statistics: On average, Gremio RS scored 1.2 goals per home match and Flamengo scored 1.2 goals per away match, suggesting a low total number of goals in the match.

3. Match Probabilities: Bookmakers’ odds also suggest a low number of goals. The probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match is quite high, indicating that bookmakers also believe the match will be low-scoring.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the latest matches show that Gremio RS has a high home concession rate (1.8 goals per match), giving Flamengo the opportunity to score.
2. Secondly, despite a lower level of away victories, Flamengo still manages to score an average of 1.2 goals per match, highlighting their ability to score goals on the road.
3. Lastly, success probabilities slightly indicate a preference (50.26%) for both teams to score during the match, supporting the prediction that each team will score at least one goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Gremio RS 1-1 Flamengo

1. The performance statistics of both teams show a relative balance. On average, Gremio RS and Flamengo both score 1.2 goals per match, suggesting a close game and potentially a draw.
2. At home, Gremio RS has shown a tendency to draw, with a 40% rate in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, they have scored and conceded the same number of goals, confirming this balanced trend.
3. The odds indicate a higher probability for less than 2.5 goals in the match (70.77%), suggesting a low total number of goals. This is in line with a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Gremio has a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws at home. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 5 goals as well.

Flamengo has only a 20% win rate away. They have scored 3 goals but have conceded 4 goals in these matches.

Gremio averages 1.2 goals per game at home. They concede 1.8 goals per game. Strong defense at 64% but offensive at 43%.

When playing away, Flamengo also scores 1.2 goals per game and concedes only 0.8 goals per match. Balanced offensive and defensive potential at 43% and 29% respectively.

The probabilities favor Gremio at 37.44%, Draw 30.26%, or Flamengo at 32.31%. Respective odds: 2.45, 3.30, 2.90.

The option Gremio to win or draw has a 67.69% chance. Odds at 1.42. For Flamengo to win or draw, there are 62.56% possibilities. Odds at 1.57.

Over 1.5 goals in the match could be an interesting option at 70.77%. Odds at 1.38.

This match looks tight with both teams capable of scoring at 50.26%. Odds at 1.87. However, there is also a 49.74% chance that it won’t happen. Odds at 1.90.

Gremio needs to bounce back from recent losses against Atletico MG and Bahia BA. On the other hand, Flamengo needs to regain confidence after defeats to Corinthians, Bolívar, or Botafogo.

Keep an eye on the teams and their performances in the upcoming matches.

The potential number of goals

Gremio RS has shown strength at home. They win or draw 80% of the time. Their attack and defense are balanced, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Flamengo struggles away from home. They have only won 20% of their matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4.

Both teams average the same amount of goals scored and conceded: 1.2 goals.

Gremio RS has a 37.44% chance of winning this match. A draw is also possible at 30.26%. Flamengo has a 32.31% chance of winning.

A match with fewer than 3.5 goals is likely at 86.67%, reflecting the teams’ low offensive output in the analysis.

Overall, a low-scoring match is predicted, with Gremio RS having a strong chance of not losing. The exact score remains uncertain. The option of a draw or a Gremio RS victory at odds of 1.42 seems appealing.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, in order to bet effectively on the match between Gremio RS and Flamengo, various factors must be taken into account. Firstly, Gremio RS appears to be favored to win the match or draw, with a success probability of 67.69%. Statistics also suggest that a match with less than 2.5 goals is quite likely, as both teams have shown limited offensive performance in their recent matches. However, it is also probable that both teams will manage to score.

As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw could be an interesting bet considering the teams’ performances. In terms of value bets, a draw seems to be an attractive option due to the high odds and the high percentage of home draws for Gremio RS.

Finally, it is crucial to follow both teams’ upcoming matches before placing a bet, as the current performances of the teams can influence the outcome. It is important to remember that sports betting involves an element of uncertainty; despite analysis and statistics, chance remains an unavoidable factor.

Ultimately, as with all sports betting, it is recommended not to bet more than one can afford to lose.